What we publish
A model board for every fixture on the slate across the top five European leagues: match result, total goals, corners and cards, plus shots on target and tackles for individual players. Each board carries the model's probability for each line, and the best price we captured for that line where a price exists.
Where the prices come from, and when
Prices come from public bookmaker and exchange listings. For each selection we record the best price available, the book that offered it, and the moment we took it. Every price on the site is shown with that timestamp, so a reader can see how old it is. A price is never restated later at a number we did not capture.
What becomes a published pick
A row becomes a published pick when the gap between the model's probability and the price clears the value threshold, an edge of 12.5% or more, and the price passes an integrity check. Every qualifying row in the markets we run is published, including several lines on the same market. Ladder rungs are marked; every rung counts as a pick.
How picks are graded
Grades come from the official match statistics in our data feed (API-Football), not from us. Corners and match results settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties never count. A player stats pick is void unless the player is in the starting XI, even if he comes on and beats the line. A postponed or abandoned fixture is void. A bet landing exactly on a whole-number line is a push, and the stake is returned. A pick stays pending until its result is in that data, so a Saturday fixture can still read Pending on Saturday night.
What never happens
A published pick is never withdrawn. Nothing is deleted and nothing is rewritten. If a grade changes after publication, the change is published as a correction, with the date and the reason, on the record page.
The record itself — every pick, its price, its book, the moment we took it and how it settled — is on Track Record. Data, not tips.