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Model probability versus market price across the top five European leagues — measured, graded, published.

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Every fixture is modelled pre-match. Edge ranking is model probability versus the best captured market price — every board row is a real captured price, checkable on the board.

Today2 fixtures

Celta Vigo v Osasuna

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Barcelona v Athletic Club

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Tomorrow6 fixtures

Racing Santander v Elche

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Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart

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AC Milan v Venezia

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Lille v Paris Saint Germain

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Crystal Palace v Manchester City

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Alaves v Villarreal

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Sat 29 Aug22 fixtures

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest

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1. FC Köln v 1899 Hoffenheim

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FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn 07

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RB Leipzig v Borussia Mönchengladbach

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SV Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen

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Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt

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Bournemouth v Everton

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Coventry v Hull City

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Levante v Real Betis

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Strasbourg v Lens

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Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV

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Fiorentina v Frosinone

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Monza v Udinese

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Sassuolo v Torino

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Tottenham v Newcastle

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Real Sociedad v Espanyol

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Auxerre v Angers

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Juventus v Parma

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Lorient v Estac Troyes

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Lyon v Le Havre

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Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse

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Sevilla v Atletico Madrid

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Sun 30 Aug15 fixtures

Chelsea v Brighton

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Leeds v Brentford

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Paris FC v Nice

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Sunderland v Fulham

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SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen

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Real Madrid v Malaga

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Rennes v Le Mans

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FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04

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Manchester United v Ipswich

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Model board · markets · edges

Deportivo La Coruna v Valencia

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Cagliari v Inter

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Model board · markets · edges

Monaco v Marseille

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Celta Vigo v Athletic Club

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Mon 31 Aug5 fixtures

Lecce v AS Roma

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Osasuna v Getafe

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Atalanta v Bologna

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Aston Villa v Arsenal

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Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano

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Top five leagues

Premier League/La Liga/Serie A/Bundesliga/Ligue 1