xOdds
Curated top-tier value · not tips

Best picks

The full board stays fully visible on Matches - you decide for yourself. Here we surface only the top-tier value: the biggest gap between our model's probability and the live run-up price.

Domestic leagues — GW1 slate · Run-up prices · Captured 2026-08-27 15:13 UTC · 50 upcoming fixtures · 26 with Best/Value picks

Best · edge ≥ 25% · 7Value · edge ≥ 12.5% · 87
Fixture & edge shown · pick hidden until free signup

Best — edge ≥ 25%

7 selections
FixturePickEdge
Tomorrow2 picks
Alaves v Villarreal🔒 Sign up to reveal+26.7%
Alaves v Villarreal🔒 Sign up to reveal+25.6%
Sat 29 Aug4 picks
Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt🔒 Sign up to reveal+27.1%
Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt🔒 Sign up to reveal+26.8%
Coventry v Hull City🔒 Sign up to reveal+37.9%
Tottenham v Newcastle🔒 Sign up to reveal+34.8%
Sun 30 Aug1 pick
Sunderland v Fulham🔒 Sign up to reveal+25.2%

Value — edge ≥ 12.5%

87 selections
FixturePickEdge
Today18 picks
Celta Vigo v Osasuna🔒 Sign up to reveal+20.7%
Celta Vigo v Osasuna🔒 Sign up to reveal+19.8%
Celta Vigo v Osasuna🔒 Sign up to reveal+19.0%
Celta Vigo v Osasuna🔒 Sign up to reveal+18.2%
Celta Vigo v Osasuna🔒 Sign up to reveal+16.4%
Celta Vigo v Osasuna🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.8%
Celta Vigo v Osasuna🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.1%
Celta Vigo v Osasuna🔒 Sign up to reveal+14.2%
Celta Vigo v Osasuna🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.0%
Barcelona v Athletic Club🔒 Sign up to reveal+22.3%
Barcelona v Athletic Club🔒 Sign up to reveal+19.9%
Barcelona v Athletic Club🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.5%
Barcelona v Athletic Club🔒 Sign up to reveal+16.8%
Barcelona v Athletic Club🔒 Sign up to reveal+16.7%
Barcelona v Athletic Club🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.7%
Barcelona v Athletic Club🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.6%
Barcelona v Athletic Club🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.4%
Barcelona v Athletic Club🔒 Sign up to reveal+12.8%
Tomorrow15 picks
Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.8%
Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.7%
Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.4%
Bayern München v VfB Stuttgart🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.4%
Lille v Paris Saint Germain🔒 Sign up to reveal+16.1%
Lille v Paris Saint Germain🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.7%
Lille v Paris Saint Germain🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.5%
Lille v Paris Saint Germain🔒 Sign up to reveal+12.6%
Crystal Palace v Manchester City🔒 Sign up to reveal+19.7%
Crystal Palace v Manchester City🔒 Sign up to reveal+18.4%
Crystal Palace v Manchester City🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.6%
Crystal Palace v Manchester City🔒 Sign up to reveal+16.7%
Alaves v Villarreal🔒 Sign up to reveal+21.3%
Alaves v Villarreal🔒 Sign up to reveal+20.6%
Alaves v Villarreal🔒 Sign up to reveal+12.5%
Sat 29 Aug21 picks
Liverpool v Nottingham Forest🔒 Sign up to reveal+12.5%
Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt🔒 Sign up to reveal+24.4%
Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.9%
Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.8%
Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.3%
Coventry v Hull City🔒 Sign up to reveal+25.0%
Strasbourg v Lens🔒 Sign up to reveal+21.4%
Strasbourg v Lens🔒 Sign up to reveal+14.7%
Sassuolo v Torino🔒 Sign up to reveal+22.2%
Sassuolo v Torino🔒 Sign up to reveal+22.0%
Sassuolo v Torino🔒 Sign up to reveal+20.3%
Sassuolo v Torino🔒 Sign up to reveal+19.7%
Sassuolo v Torino🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.1%
Fiorentina v Frosinone🔒 Sign up to reveal+16.0%
Fiorentina v Frosinone🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.2%
Lorient v Estac Troyes🔒 Sign up to reveal+23.5%
Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse🔒 Sign up to reveal+23.2%
Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse🔒 Sign up to reveal+21.6%
Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse🔒 Sign up to reveal+20.8%
Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.9%
Auxerre v Angers🔒 Sign up to reveal+12.8%
Sun 30 Aug31 picks
Chelsea v Brighton🔒 Sign up to reveal+22.1%
Sunderland v Fulham🔒 Sign up to reveal+21.1%
Sunderland v Fulham🔒 Sign up to reveal+20.6%
Sunderland v Fulham🔒 Sign up to reveal+19.9%
Chelsea v Brighton🔒 Sign up to reveal+19.4%
Chelsea v Brighton🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.9%
Chelsea v Brighton🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.7%
Sunderland v Fulham🔒 Sign up to reveal+16.5%
Sunderland v Fulham🔒 Sign up to reveal+16.4%
Chelsea v Brighton🔒 Sign up to reveal+14.4%
Sunderland v Fulham🔒 Sign up to reveal+14.0%
Paris FC v Nice🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.7%
SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen🔒 Sign up to reveal+21.7%
SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.8%
SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen🔒 Sign up to reveal+16.3%
SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.9%
SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.7%
SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.1%
FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04🔒 Sign up to reveal+17.6%
FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.0%
FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04🔒 Sign up to reveal+14.1%
Napoli v Como🔒 Sign up to reveal+23.4%
Napoli v Como🔒 Sign up to reveal+22.9%
Napoli v Como🔒 Sign up to reveal+22.0%
Napoli v Como🔒 Sign up to reveal+19.9%
Napoli v Como🔒 Sign up to reveal+19.3%
Napoli v Como🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.5%
Napoli v Como🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.4%
Deportivo La Coruna v Valencia🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.8%
Lazio v Genoa🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.9%
Lazio v Genoa🔒 Sign up to reveal+13.7%
Mon 31 Aug2 picks
Aston Villa v Arsenal🔒 Sign up to reveal+15.3%
Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano🔒 Sign up to reveal+20.2%

94 plays above — reveal free

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Selections marked club-history include club-history data. Top-tier value we surface from the data, not tips — how the tiers have performed is on Track Record.