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Match board · Bundesliga · 2026-10-24

FC Augsburg v Union Berlin

FC Augsburg
63.9%
Draw
18.4%
Union Berlin
17.6%
Headline value
—
xG 2.4 – 1.2FC Augsburg form LDLDWUnion Berlin form DWLLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Alexis Claude Mauriceover 0.51.531.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+9.8%
Anton Kadeover 0.51.361.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+8.1%
Oliver Burkeover 0.51.851.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.4%
Arijon Ibrahimovicover 0.51.561.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.4%
Michael Gregoritschover 0.51.391.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-8.1%
Fabian Riederover 0.52.191.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-14.3%
Mert Komurover 0.52.191.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-16.2%
Robin Fellhauerover 0.52.501.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-26.7%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultFC Augsburg win1.56—no price—
ResultDraw5.424.00 Betfred · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-6.6%
ResultUnion Berlin win5.673.80 Unibet · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-8.7%
GoalsOver 3.52.062.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+6.8%
GoalsOver 2.51.431.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+6.6%
GoalsOver 4.53.414.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+6.3%
GoalsOver 5.56.429.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+4.5%
GoalsOver 1.51.141.1875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+3.2%
GoalsOver 6.513.6517.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+1.4%
GoalsOver 0.51.031.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+0.2%
GoalsOver 7.532.4829.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsUnder 7.51.031.0067 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.4%
GoalsUnder 0.536.6017.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-3.1%
GoalsUnder 6.51.081.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-4.4%
GoalsUnder 1.57.965.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-6.5%
GoalsUnder 5.51.181.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-6.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.421.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-9.4%
GoalsUnder 2.53.302.45 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-10.5%
GoalsUnder 3.51.941.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-11.0%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (58)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Michael GregoritschAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo RibeiroAnytime scorer2.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mekhi GrayAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Arijon IbrahimovicAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Emmanuel Latte LathAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Uchenna OgunduAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Anton KadeAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Marin LjubicicAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mert KomurAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Fabian RiederAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Robin FellhauerAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Livan BurcuAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Woo-yeong JeongAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alexis Claude MauriceAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Linus GutherAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Oliver BurkeAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Tim SkarkeAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Kastriot ImeriAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Robert SkovAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Marius WolfAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Andras SchaferAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Chrislain MatsimaAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Han-Noah MassengoAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Hennes BehrensAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jeffrey GouweleeuwAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Juma BahAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Noahkai BanksAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Sima SusoAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Tim SchnitzerAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Yannik KeitelAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Aljoscha KemleinAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Christopher TrimmelAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Janik HabererAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Michel AebischerAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Tom RotheAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Calvin BrackelmannAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Leopold QuerfeldAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ohis UduokhaiAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rani KhediraAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Young-Woo SeolAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Derrick KohnAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Josip JuranovicAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Zeno Van Den BoschAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Arijon IbrahimovicAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Marius WolfAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Anton KadeAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Christopher TrimmelAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Fabian RiederAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Young-Woo SeolAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alexis Claude MauriceAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mert KomurAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Robin FellhauerAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Uchenna OgunduAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Kastriot ImeriAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo RibeiroAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Hennes BehrensAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Robert SkovAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Woo-yeong JeongAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC