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Match board · Bundesliga · 2026-10-24

RB Leipzig v SV Elversberg

RB Leipzig
61%
Draw
17.6%
SV Elversberg
21.4%
Headline value
—
xG 2.7 – 1.6RB Leipzig form LWWLWSV Elversberg form WLDLW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 6 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Brajan Grudaover 0.51.561.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-13.5%
Antonio Nusaover 0.51.651.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-22.8%
Christopher Nkunkuover 0.51.621.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-22.9%
Ezechiel Banzuziover 0.52.271.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-25.2%
Rocco Reitzover 0.52.971.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-30.0%
Neil El Aynaouiover 0.53.471.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-49.0%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultRB Leipzig win1.641.35 William Hill · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-13.1%
ResultDraw5.696.00 Betfred · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+0.9%
ResultSV Elversberg win4.66—no price—
GoalsOver 3.51.611.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+5.1%
GoalsOver 4.52.332.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+4.9%
GoalsOver 5.53.804.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+4.6%
GoalsOver 2.51.251.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+3.3%
GoalsOver 6.56.938.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+1.9%
GoalsOver 1.51.081.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+0.5%
GoalsOver 7.514.0815.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+0.4%
GoalsOver 9.577.4851.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsOver 8.531.5526.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsUnder 9.51.011.002 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsUnder 8.51.031.01 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.2%
GoalsUnder 1.513.919.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-3.9%
GoalsUnder 7.51.081.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-4.2%
GoalsUnder 2.55.073.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-6.6%
GoalsUnder 6.51.171.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-6.7%
GoalsUnder 5.51.361.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-8.2%
GoalsUnder 3.52.652.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-8.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.751.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-9.6%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (60)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Marc GuiuAnytime scorer1.909 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Samba KonateAnytime scorer1.93 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Christopher NkunkuAnytime scorer1.98 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Romulo da CruzAnytime scorer2.08 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Antonio NusaAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Brajan GrudaAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Tidiam GomisAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Johan BakayokoAnytime scorer2.55 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Andrija MaksimovicAnytime scorer2.95 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Neil El AynaouiAnytime scorer3.30 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Assan OuedraogoAnytime scorer3.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
David MokwaAnytime scorer3.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ezechiel BanzuziAnytime scorer3.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Luca PfeifferAnytime scorer3.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Noel FutkeuAnytime scorer3.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lukas PetkovAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Luca SchnellbacherAnytime scorer3.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rocco ReitzAnytime scorer3.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Benno KaltefleiterAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Noah DarvichAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ridle BakuAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Cole CampbellAnytime scorer4.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Tom ZimmerschiedAnytime scorer4.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Maurice KrattenmacherAnytime scorer5.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
David RaumAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Frederik SchmahlAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Max FinkgrafeAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Willi OrbanAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Abdoul KoneAnytime scorer6.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Benjamin HenrichsAnytime scorer6.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Amara CondeAnytime scorer7.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Nicolas SeiwaldAnytime scorer7.00 Unibet · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lukasz PorebaAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Castello LukebaAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lasse GuntherAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lukas KlostermannAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Maxime EsteveAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Felix KeidelAnytime scorer10.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Florian Le JoncourAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jan GyamerahAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Luca SirchAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lukas PinckertAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Maximilian RohrAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Nicholas MickelsonAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
David RaumAssistsover 0.53.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Antonio NusaAssistsover 0.53.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Assan OuedraogoAssistsover 0.53.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Brajan GrudaAssistsover 0.53.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Christopher NkunkuAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ridle BakuAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Andrija MaksimovicAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Johan BakayokoAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Romulo da CruzAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Benjamin HenrichsAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ezechiel BanzuziAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Marc GuiuAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rocco ReitzAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Samba KonateAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Tidiam GomisAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC