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Match board · Bundesliga · 2026-10-11

1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach

1. FC Köln
51.5%
Draw
21%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
27.5%
Headline value
+18.3%
Mikey Moore · SOT
xG 2.1 – 1.51. FC Köln form LDLWLBorussia Mönchengladbach form LLLLW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEMikey Mooreshots on target (SOT)1.5333now 1.6154+18.3%

Player props

SOT · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Mikey Mooreover 0.51.201.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+21.6%
Said El Malaover 0.51.231.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+1.0%
Marius Bulterover 0.51.561.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-2.4%
Wael Mohyaover 0.52.972.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-15.2%
Linton Mainaover 0.52.971.95 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-17.6%
Tim Kleindienstover 0.52.621.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-19.8%
Luca Waldschmidtover 0.52.221.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-28.2%
Shuto Machinoover 0.55.522.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-31.9%
Robin Hackover 0.57.181.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-40.6%
Tackles · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Philipp Sanderover 0.51.131.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-3.6%
Joseph Scallyover 0.51.191.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-6.0%
Lukas Ullrichover 0.51.251.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-7.3%
Kevin Stogerover 0.51.321.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-16.7%
Gideon Mensahover 0.51.391.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-18.1%
Paul Okon-Engstlerover 0.51.451.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-21.0%
Hugo Bolinover 0.51.441.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-21.3%
Kevin Diksover 0.51.551.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 03:13 UTC
-22.0%
Borna Sosaover 0.51.721.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-36.0%
Fabio Chiarodiaover 0.52.471.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-46.1%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Result1. FC Köln win1.94—no price—
ResultDraw4.764.00 Betfred · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-4.0%
ResultBorussia Mönchengladbach win3.64—no price—
CornersUnder 8.52.213.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+12.0%
CornersUnder 9.51.762.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+11.4%
CornersUnder 11.51.271.45 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+9.7%
CornersUnder 7.53.124.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+9.3%
CornersUnder 10.51.491.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+9.2%
CornersUnder 12.51.171.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+8.0%
CornersUnder 6.54.797.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+6.6%
GoalsOver 4.53.414.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+5.5%
GoalsOver 2.51.431.5455 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+5.0%
GoalsOver 3.52.062.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+5.0%
CornersUnder 9.02.212.4615 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+4.7%
GoalsOver 5.56.429.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+4.5%
GoalsOver 1.51.141.1875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+3.2%
CornersUnder 10.01.761.8571 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+3.0%
GoalsOver 6.513.6515.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+0.7%
CornersUnder 11.01.491.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+0.4%
GoalsOver 7.532.4834.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
GoalsOver 8.585.6881.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsUnder 0.536.6023.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-1.6%
GoalsUnder 6.51.081.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-4.4%
GoalsUnder 1.57.965.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-4.8%
GoalsUnder 5.51.181.1176 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-5.1%
CornersOver 12.57.034.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-6.8%
GoalsUnder 4.51.421.2727 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-7.9%
GoalsUnder 2.53.302.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-8.2%
GoalsUnder 3.51.941.6471 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-9.2%
CornersOver 10.53.042.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-9.2%
CornersOver 11.54.693.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-9.4%
CornersOver 6.51.261.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-9.8%
CornersOver 7.51.471.2727 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-10.6%
CornersOver 9.52.321.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-11.4%
CornersOver 8.51.831.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-12.0%
CornersOver 11.04.692.35 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-21.2%
CornersOver 10.03.041.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-22.7%
CornersOver 9.02.321.4615 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-25.3%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (58)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Ragnar AcheAnytime scorer2.25 AK Bets · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Said El MalaAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Thijs DallingaAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Imad RondicAnytime scorer2.75 BOYLE Sports · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Marius BulterAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Tim KleindienstAnytime scorer3.25 Ladbrokes · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Luca WaldschmidtAnytime scorer3.35 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Isac LidbergAnytime scorer3.55 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Mikey MooreAnytime scorer3.60 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Nicolas KuhnAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Shuto MachinoAnytime scorer4.14 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Reigan HeskeyAnytime scorer4.43 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Jan ThielmannAnytime scorer4.60 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Hugo BolinAnytime scorer4.92 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Linton MainaAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Robin HackAnytime scorer5.02 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Franck HonoratAnytime scorer5.25 BetVictor · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Wael MohyaAnytime scorer5.41 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Isak JohannessonAnytime scorer5.75 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Florian NeuhausAnytime scorer5.80 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ellyes SkhiriAnytime scorer7.08 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Enzo LeopoldAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Zento UnoAnytime scorer8.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Jonathan FriemelAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Kevin DiksAnytime scorer9.00 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Alessio Castro-MontesAnytime scorer9.04 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Kevin StogerAnytime scorer9.04 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Sebastian SebulonsenAnytime scorer9.04 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Paul Okon-EngstlerAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Mathieu NguefackAnytime scorer10.80 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Joseph ScallyAnytime scorer12.00 PricedUp · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Philipp SanderAnytime scorer13.70 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Luka LochoshviliAnytime scorer15.70 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Gideon MensahAnytime scorer16.20 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Rav van den BergAnytime scorer16.20 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Tom KraussAnytime scorer16.20 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Joel SchmiedAnytime scorer16.70 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ko ItakuraAnytime scorer17.70 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Borna SosaAnytime scorer18.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Daiki HashiokaAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
David HeroldAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Jahmai Simpson-PuseyAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Jan LeszczynskiAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Lukas UllrichAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Fabio ChiarodiaAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Franck HonoratAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Linton MainaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Mikey MooreAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ragnar AcheAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Marius BulterAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Alessio Castro-MontesAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Isak JohannessonAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Jonathan FriemelAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Said El MalaAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Thijs DallingaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Imad RondicAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Kevin StogerAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Reigan HeskeyAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC