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Match board · Bundesliga · 2026-10-10

Union Berlin v SV Elversberg

Union Berlin
37.8%
Draw
24.3%
SV Elversberg
37.8%
Headline value
—
xG 1.5 – 1.5Union Berlin form LLLDWSV Elversberg form DLWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

Tackles · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Lukas Petkovover 0.51.021.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+11.2%
Tom Rotheover 0.51.051.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+3.4%
Janik Habererover 0.51.171.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
Andras Schaferover 0.51.111.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.1%
Rani Khediraover 0.51.161.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.8%
Jan Gyamerahover 0.51.181.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.8%
Christopher Trimmelover 0.51.241.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.9%
Aljoscha Kemleinover 0.51.291.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-10.3%
Maximilian Rohrover 0.54.871.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-66.1%
shots on target (SOT) · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Lukas Petkovover 0.51.481.7778 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+11.1%
David Mokwaover 0.52.361.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-13.3%
Andras Schaferover 0.53.471.95 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-22.5%
Marin Ljubicicover 0.52.241.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-23.2%
Robert Skovover 0.55.522.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-09 03:13 UTC
-29.5%
Livan Burcuover 0.57.652.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-36.9%
Woo-yeong Jeongover 0.517.171.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-49.7%
Tim Skarkeover 0.59.601.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-54.8%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultUnion Berlin win2.642.51 Matchbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.0%
ResultDraw4.123.80 Betfred · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.0%
ResultSV Elversberg win2.64—no price—
CornersUnder 9.51.321.9524 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+24.3%
CornersUnder 10.51.181.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+20.8%
CornersUnder 11.51.071.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+20.0%
CornersUnder 8.51.802.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+17.5%
CornersUnder 10.01.321.6842 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+16.2%
CornersUnder 12.51.071.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+10.0%
CornersUnder 9.01.802.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+7.7%
CornersUnder 7.53.463.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.6%
GoalsUnder 3.51.551.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.2%
GoalsUnder 1.55.025.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.231.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.5%
GoalsUnder 5.51.091.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.7%
GoalsUnder 2.52.362.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.7%
GoalsUnder 0.520.0921.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.2%
CornersUnder 6.55.005.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
0.0%
GoalsOver 8.5262.9581.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsUnder 6.51.031.025 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 5.511.9210.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsOver 7.584.0041.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 1.51.251.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.7%
GoalsOver 6.529.8418.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.2%
GoalsOver 4.55.414.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.4%
CornersOver 7.51.411.3448 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsOver 3.52.832.55 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.9%
GoalsOver 2.51.731.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.2%
CornersOver 6.51.251.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.7%
CornersOver 12.515.004.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-14.2%
CornersOver 8.52.251.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-18.7%
CornersOver 11.515.003.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-22.8%
CornersOver 10.56.432.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-24.4%
CornersOver 9.54.091.9286 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-27.4%
CornersOver 10.06.432.0435 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-33.4%
CornersOver 9.04.091.6364 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-36.7%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (65)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Andrej IlicAnytime scorer2.15 BetVictor · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Emmanuel Latte LathAnytime scorer2.87 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
David MokwaAnytime scorer3.10 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Noel FutkeuAnytime scorer3.20 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Luca SchnellbacherAnytime scorer3.45 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lukas PetkovAnytime scorer3.50 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Marin LjubicicAnytime scorer3.60 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Tim SkarkeAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Luca PfeifferAnytime scorer3.94 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Oliver BurkeAnytime scorer3.94 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Maurice KrattenmacherAnytime scorer4.33 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Kastriot ImeriAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Tom ZimmerschiedAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Cole CampbellAnytime scorer4.53 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaAnytime scorer4.53 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Noah DarvichAnytime scorer4.53 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Woo-yeong JeongAnytime scorer4.53 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Livan BurcuAnytime scorer4.82 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Frederik SchmahlAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Linus GutherAnytime scorer6.29 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Andras SchaferAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Leopold QuerfeldAnytime scorer8.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Michel AebischerAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Amara CondeAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Robert SkovAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Rani KhediraAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Josip JuranovicAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Janik HabererAnytime scorer12.30 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Maximilian RohrAnytime scorer12.30 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Felix KeidelAnytime scorer12.80 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Luca SirchAnytime scorer12.80 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Stanley NSokiAnytime scorer13.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Tom RotheAnytime scorer14.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Aljoscha KemleinAnytime scorer15.20 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lukasz PorebaAnytime scorer15.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Nicholas MickelsonAnytime scorer15.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jan GyamerahAnytime scorer16.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Derrick KohnAnytime scorer17.20 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lasse GuntherAnytime scorer17.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Christopher TrimmelAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Marvin FriedrichAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Zeno Van Den BoschAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Florian Le JoncourAnytime scorer20.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ohis UduokhaiAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lukas PinckertAnytime scorer26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Tom ZimmerschiedAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Christopher TrimmelAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Oliver BurkeAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Robert SkovAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Luca SchnellbacherAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Nicholas MickelsonAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Noah DarvichAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Woo-yeong JeongAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Linus GutherAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Luca PfeifferAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Andrej IlicAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Cole CampbellAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
Felix KeidelAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-09 21:13 UTC
Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Kastriot ImeriAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lasse GuntherAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Livan BurcuAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
Lukas PetkovAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
Noel FutkeuAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-09 21:13 UTC
Tim SkarkeAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC