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Match board · Bundesliga · 2026-09-19

Borussia Mönchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Mönchengladbach
27.7%
Draw
23.1%
FSV Mainz 05
49.2%
Headline value
—
xG 1.3 – 1.8Borussia Mönchengladbach form LLLWLFSV Mainz 05 form LWDWL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Phillip Tietzover 0.51.261.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+8.2%
Sheraldo Beckerover 0.51.341.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+5.4%
Nadiem Amiriover 0.51.481.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.7%
Hugo Bolinover 0.51.671.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.9%
Ransford-Yeboah Konigsdorfferover 0.51.711.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-10.7%
Otto Ruoppiover 0.53.391.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-28.4%
Florian Neuhausover 0.53.471.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-31.2%
Jae-Sung Leeover 0.53.971.65 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-35.4%
Tim Kleindienstover 0.52.861.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-42.8%
Robin Hackover 0.56.761.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-45.2%
Shuto Machinoover 0.55.281.45 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-50.0%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultBorussia Mönchengladbach win3.61—no price—
ResultDraw4.333.79 Matchbook · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.3%
ResultFSV Mainz 05 win2.03—no price—
CornersUnder 7.51.393.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+39.7%
CornersUnder 6.51.684.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+38.4%
CornersUnder 8.51.222.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+37.7%
CornersUnder 9.51.121.7692 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+33.1%
CornersUnder 10.51.061.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+26.7%
CornersUnder 11.51.021.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+19.8%
GoalsUnder 3.51.601.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsUnder 2.52.492.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.1%
GoalsUnder 4.51.251.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.2%
GoalsUnder 5.51.101.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsUnder 1.55.415.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsUnder 0.522.2019.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsUnder 6.51.041.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 7.570.3641.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsOver 8.5213.5367.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsOver 5.510.609.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.7%
GoalsOver 6.525.7717.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.0%
GoalsOver 4.54.964.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.0%
GoalsOver 1.51.231.1875 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.7%
GoalsOver 2.51.671.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsOver 3.52.672.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.2%
CornersOver 11.541.673.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-23.9%
CornersOver 10.518.082.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-30.8%
CornersOver 9.59.682.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-38.5%
CornersOver 8.55.611.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-44.1%
CornersOver 6.52.471.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-45.2%
CornersOver 7.53.561.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-45.3%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (60)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Tim KleindienstAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Phillip TietzAnytime scorer2.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Isac LidbergAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Benedict HollerbachAnytime scorer2.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ransford KonigsdorfferAnytime scorer2.95 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Sheraldo BeckerAnytime scorer3.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Shuto MachinoAnytime scorer3.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nicolas KuhnAnytime scorer3.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jae-Sung LeeAnytime scorer3.60 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Hugo BolinAnytime scorer3.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Robin HackAnytime scorer3.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marco RichterAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nadiem AmiriAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Otto RuoppiAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Paul NebelAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Wael MohyaAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Franck HonoratAnytime scorer4.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Florian NeuhausAnytime scorer5.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kevin StogerAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jens CastropAnytime scorer6.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kevin DiksAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Eric MartelAnytime scorer7.50 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Enzo LeopoldAnytime scorer8.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kaishu SanoAnytime scorer8.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Philipp SanderAnytime scorer8.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Rael NakuzolaAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Mathieu NguefackAnytime scorer9.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Anthony CaciAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Danny Da CostaAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Dominik KohrAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Fabio GruberAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Phillipp MweneAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Silvan WidmerAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Sota KawasakiAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Stefan BellAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Stefan PoschAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Zento UnoAnytime scorer9.50 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jan LeszczynskiAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Joseph ScallyAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kacper PotulskiAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ko ItakuraAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
David HeroldAnytime scorer11.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Daiki HashiokaAnytime scorer12.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Lennard MaloneyAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Yukhym KonoplyaAnytime scorer12.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Lukas UllrichAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Fabio ChiarodiaAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jae-Sung LeeAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Sheraldo BeckerAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Franck HonoratAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nadiem AmiriAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Rael NakuzolaAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kaishu SanoAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kevin StogerAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Otto RuoppiAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Phillip TietzAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Robin HackAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Hugo BolinAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Stefan PoschAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Tim KleindienstAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC