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Match board · Bundesliga · 2026-09-19

Werder Bremen v FC Augsburg

Werder Bremen
31.7%
Draw
23.6%
FC Augsburg
44.7%
Headline value
+19.5%
Anton Kade · SOT
xG 1.4 – 1.7Werder Bremen form DWLLLFC Augsburg form DWWLW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEAnton Kadeshots on target (SOT)1.6154+19.5%

Player props

SOT · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Anton Kadeover 0.51.231.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+19.5%
Michael Gregoritschover 0.51.411.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-6.7%
Niclas Fullkrugover 0.51.591.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-10.5%
Rodrigo Ribeiroover 0.51.791.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-10.7%
Arijon Ibrahimovicover 0.51.801.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-11.2%
Eren Dinkciover 0.52.191.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-12.2%
Robin Fellhauerover 0.52.711.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-17.7%
Marco Grullover 0.52.541.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-27.3%
Cedric Ittenover 0.56.401.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-61.3%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultWerder Bremen win3.152.375 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-10.4%
ResultDraw4.244.00 Betfred · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.4%
ResultFC Augsburg win2.24—no price—
CornersUnder 7.52.804.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+10.7%
CornersUnder 8.52.252.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+8.0%
CornersUnder 9.51.842.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+5.6%
GoalsUnder 3.51.601.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+4.6%
GoalsUnder 2.52.492.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+3.8%
GoalsUnder 4.51.251.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+2.9%
GoalsUnder 1.55.416.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.8%
CornersUnder 10.51.571.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.7%
GoalsUnder 5.51.101.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.7%
GoalsUnder 0.522.2023.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.2%
GoalsUnder 6.51.041.04 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.401.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.2%
CornersOver 12.54.264.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsOver 8.5213.5367.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsOver 7.570.3634.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.5%
CornersUnder 12.51.311.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.5%
GoalsOver 6.525.7713.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.8%
GoalsOver 5.510.607.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.9%
CornersOver 11.53.483.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.6%
GoalsOver 1.51.231.1579 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.8%
GoalsOver 4.54.963.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-6.1%
GoalsOver 2.51.671.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-6.8%
GoalsOver 3.52.672.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-7.5%
CornersOver 10.52.752.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-9.1%
CornersOver 9.52.191.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-11.5%
CornersOver 8.51.801.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-13.1%
CornersOver 7.51.551.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-15.7%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (63)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Cedric IttenAnytime scorer2.625 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Salim MusahAnytime scorer2.625 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kenny QuetantAnytime scorer2.70 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Niclas FullkrugAnytime scorer2.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Michael GregoritschAnytime scorer2.75 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo RibeiroAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marco GrullAnytime scorer3.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Justin NjinmahAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Anton KadeAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Arijon IbrahimovicAnytime scorer3.60 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ivan ChukiAnytime scorer3.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Eren DinkciAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Paul ErevbenagieAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Fabian RiederAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jens StageAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Alexis Claude MauriceAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Robin FellhauerAnytime scorer5.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Dariusz StalmachAnytime scorer5.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Mert KomurAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ludovit ReisAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Mitchell WeiserAnytime scorer6.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Uchenna OgunduAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kristjan JakicAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Marius WolfAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Arthur AugustoAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Chrislain MatsimaAnytime scorer9.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Felix AguAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Han-Noah MassengoAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Hennes BehrensAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Noahkai BanksAnytime scorer9.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Olivier DemanAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Sima SusoAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Tim SchnitzerAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Yannik KeitelAnytime scorer9.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Youri RegeerAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Oskar WojcikAnytime scorer9.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Mick SchmetgensAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Moussa NDiayeAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Senne LynenAnytime scorer10.50 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Amos PieperAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Calvin BrackelmannAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jeffrey GouweleeuwAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Mats HeitmannAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Young-Woo SeolAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Niklas StarkAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Juma BahAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marco FriedlAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Arijon IbrahimovicAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Paul ErevbenagieAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ivan ChukiAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Mitchell WeiserAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Niclas FullkrugAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Cedric IttenAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marco GrullAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marius WolfAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Anton KadeAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Fabian RiederAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kenny QuetantAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Young-Woo SeolAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Arthur AugustoAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Eren DinkciAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jens StageAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Moussa NDiayeAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC