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Match board · Bundesliga · 2026-09-19

Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln

Hamburger SV
30%
Draw
22.9%
1. FC Köln
47%
Headline value
+24.1%
Mikey Moore · SOT
xG 1.4 – 1.8Hamburger SV form LLLDW1. FC Köln form DLWLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEMikey Mooreshots on target (SOT)1.6154+24.1%

Player props

SOT · 7 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Mikey Mooreover 0.51.161.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+24.1%
Thijs Dallingaover 0.51.421.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.9%
Marius Bulterover 0.51.661.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.8%
Terem Moffiover 0.51.761.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-12.4%
Ragnar Acheover 0.51.821.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-21.9%
Yussuf Poulsenover 0.510.511.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-52.4%
Patson Dakaover 0.59.601.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-61.0%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultHamburger SV win3.33—no price—
ResultDraw4.363.75 Betfred · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.7%
Result1. FC Köln win2.13—no price—
CornersUnder 7.52.564.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+14.0%
CornersUnder 8.52.042.70 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+12.0%
CornersUnder 9.51.642.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+10.9%
CornersUnder 10.51.381.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+9.9%
CornersUnder 11.51.251.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+7.0%
GoalsOver 3.52.522.55 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.5%
CornersUnder 12.51.191.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.4%
GoalsOver 4.54.564.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.2%
GoalsOver 2.51.611.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.1%
GoalsOver 5.59.499.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.0%
GoalsOver 6.522.4121.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsOver 1.51.211.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsOver 7.559.4241.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsOver 8.5175.0067.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsUnder 0.524.5317.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.8%
GoalsUnder 4.51.281.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.9%
GoalsUnder 5.51.121.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.9%
GoalsUnder 1.55.845.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.9%
GoalsUnder 3.51.661.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.9%
GoalsUnder 2.52.632.375 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.1%
CornersOver 12.56.164.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-7.6%
CornersOver 11.55.083.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-13.6%
CornersOver 10.53.622.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-15.9%
CornersOver 9.52.561.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-16.5%
CornersOver 8.51.961.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-16.8%
CornersOver 7.51.641.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-16.8%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (61)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Ragnar AcheAnytime scorer2.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Patson DakaAnytime scorer2.75 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Said El MalaAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Thijs DallingaAnytime scorer2.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Luca WaldschmidtAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Terem MoffiAnytime scorer3.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Imad RondicAnytime scorer3.20 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Otto StangeAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marius BulterAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Yussuf PoulsenAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Mikey MooreAnytime scorer3.75 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Albert GronbaekAnytime scorer4.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Immanuel PheraiAnytime scorer4.33 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Alexander Rossing-LelesiitAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Reigan HeskeyAnytime scorer4.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Fabio VieiraAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Isak JohannessonAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jan ThielmannAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Albert-Mboyo Sambi LokongaAnytime scorer5.25 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Bakery JattaAnytime scorer5.25 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Linton MainaAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Zakaria El OuahdiAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Martin AdelineAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Bilal NadirAnytime scorer7.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Alessio Castro-MontesAnytime scorer8.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ellyes SkhiriAnytime scorer8.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nicolas CapaldoAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kofi AmoakoAnytime scorer8.50 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Louis LemkeAnytime scorer8.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nicolai RembergAnytime scorer8.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Borna SosaAnytime scorer9.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Paul Okon-EngstlerAnytime scorer9.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jonathan FriemelAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Luka LochoshviliAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Sebastian SebulonsenAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Tom KraussAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
David WolfeAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Joel SchmiedAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Miro MuheimAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Sebastiaan BornauwAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jahmai Simpson-PuseyAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Shafiq NandjaAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jordan TorunarighaAnytime scorer15.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Rav van den BergAnytime scorer15.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Warmed OmariAnytime scorer15.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Gideon MensahAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Fabio VieiraAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Mikey MooreAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Linton MainaAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marius BulterAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ragnar AcheAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Borna SosaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Immanuel PheraiAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Miro MuheimAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Isak JohannessonAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Jonathan FriemelAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Louis LemkeAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Otto StangeAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Said El MalaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Sebastian SebulonsenAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Thijs DallingaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC