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Match board · Bundesliga · 2026-09-19

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund

VfB Stuttgart
41.2%
Draw
21.6%
Borussia Dortmund
37.2%
Headline value
—
xG 1.9 – 1.8VfB Stuttgart form LWLDWBorussia Dortmund form WWWWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Serhou Guirassyover 0.51.241.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
Ermedin Demirovicover 0.51.461.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-5.0%
Chris Fuhrichover 0.51.881.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-8.7%
Dzenan Pejcinovicover 0.51.611.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-11.2%
Deniz Undavover 0.51.531.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-16.5%
Jamie Lewelingover 0.52.121.55 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-17.3%
Ethan Nwaneriover 0.52.331.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-20.8%
Fabio Silvaover 0.52.331.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-26.4%
Leo Sauerover 0.52.861.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-36.5%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultVfB Stuttgart win2.43—no price—
ResultDraw4.634.00 Betfred · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.4%
ResultBorussia Dortmund win2.692.80 William Hill · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.5%
CornersOver 12.53.625.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+7.6%
CornersOver 11.52.863.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+6.4%
CornersOver 10.52.342.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+2.7%
GoalsOver 4.53.203.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.9%
GoalsOver 5.55.896.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.6%
CornersOver 9.51.871.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.2%
GoalsOver 2.51.401.4167 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.9%
GoalsOver 3.51.982.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsOver 6.512.2213.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.5%
GoalsOver 7.528.3826.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsOver 1.51.131.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.5%
GoalsOver 8.572.9851.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
CornersOver 8.51.571.5455 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 9.5206.2667.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsUnder 0.540.4526.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.4%
CornersUnder 7.53.673.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.2%
CornersOver 7.51.371.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.3%
CornersUnder 8.52.762.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.3%
GoalsUnder 1.58.617.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.7%
GoalsUnder 5.51.201.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.7%
GoalsUnder 6.51.091.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.4%
GoalsUnder 4.51.461.3684 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.4%
GoalsUnder 2.53.503.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.8%
CornersUnder 9.52.161.9524 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.8%
GoalsUnder 3.52.021.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-5.1%
CornersUnder 10.51.741.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-6.3%
CornersUnder 11.51.541.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-11.9%
CornersUnder 12.51.381.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-14.3%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (64)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Serhou GuirassyAnytime scorer2.12 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Deniz UndavAnytime scorer2.15 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Dzenan PejcinovicAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ermedin DemirovicAnytime scorer2.55 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jeremy ArevaloAnytime scorer2.625 bet365 · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Tiago TomasAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Fabio SilvaAnytime scorer3.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Mathis AlbertAnytime scorer3.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Maximilian BeierAnytime scorer3.15 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ethan NwaneriAnytime scorer3.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Samuele InacioAnytime scorer3.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Bilal El KhannoussAnytime scorer3.60 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jamie LewelingAnytime scorer3.60 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jarzinho MalangaAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Leo SauerAnytime scorer3.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Carney ChukwuemekaAnytime scorer4.33 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Chris FuhrichAnytime scorer4.33 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Grischa PromelAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Justin LermaAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Felix NmechaAnytime scorer5.25 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Konstantinos KaretsasAnytime scorer5.25 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Joey VeermanAnytime scorer5.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ramy BensebainiAnytime scorer5.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jobe BellinghamAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Maximilian MittelstadtAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marcel SabitzerAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nikolas NarteyAnytime scorer7.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Lorenz AssignonAnytime scorer7.50 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nico SchlotterbeckAnytime scorer7.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Julian RyersonAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Joshua VagnomanAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kaua PratesAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Angelo StillerAnytime scorer9.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Daniel SvenssonAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kouakou GadouAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Luca ReggianiAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Atakan KarazorAnytime scorer9.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Leonidas StergiouAnytime scorer9.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Luca JaquezAnytime scorer10.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Waldemar AntonAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Yanik SpaltAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Maximilian HerwerthAnytime scorer10.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ameen Al DakhilAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Finn JeltschAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Julian ChabotAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Dan-Axel ZagadouAnytime scorer13.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Filippo ManeAnytime scorer13.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ramon HendriksAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Joey VeermanAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Bilal El KhannousAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Angelo StillerAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Chris FuhrichAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jamie LewelingAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jeremy ArevaloAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Julian RyersonAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Mathis AlbertAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Yanik SpaltAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Deniz UndavAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Fabio SilvaAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Konstantinos KaretsasAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Lorenz AssignonAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Maximilian MittelstadtAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Samuele InacioAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Leo SauerAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC