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Match board · Bundesliga · 2026-09-18

Bayern München v Union Berlin

Bayern München
78.2%
Draw
12.4%
Union Berlin
9.4%
Headline value
—
xG 3.2 – 1.1Bayern München form WDWWWUnion Berlin form LLDWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

Tackles · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Leopold Querfeldover 0.51.121.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-0.5%
Tom Bischofover 0.51.151.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-1.8%
Nathaniel Brownover 0.51.131.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-2.1%
Robert Skovover 0.51.151.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-3.8%
Janik Habererover 0.51.151.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-4.0%
Andras Schaferover 0.51.111.04 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-6.0%
Rani Khediraover 0.51.161.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-6.3%
Christopher Trimmelover 0.51.171.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-6.8%
Konrad Laimerover 0.51.191.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-7.0%
Aljoscha Kemleinover 0.51.331.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-17.2%
shots on target (SOT) · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Luis Diazover 0.51.371.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-7.0%
Harry Kaneover 0.51.201.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-7.4%
Lennart Karlover 0.51.391.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-11.1%
Michael Oliseover 0.51.281.1176 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-11.6%
Serge Gnabryover 0.51.461.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-17.4%
Nathaniel Brownover 0.52.861.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-27.0%
Harry Kaneover 1.51.861.4167 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-16.9%
Michael Oliseover 1.52.241.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-19.1%
Serge Gnabryover 1.53.131.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-22.6%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultBayern München win1.28—no price—
ResultDraw8.0719.10 Matchbook · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+7.2%
ResultUnion Berlin win10.6233.00 10bet · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+6.4%
CornersOver 12.52.233.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+11.5%
CornersOver 11.51.892.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+9.5%
CornersOver 10.51.601.8462 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+8.3%
GoalsUnder 4.51.752.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+7.0%
GoalsUnder 3.52.653.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+6.5%
CornersOver 9.51.421.5455 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+5.8%
GoalsUnder 5.51.361.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+4.9%
GoalsUnder 2.55.076.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+4.3%
GoalsUnder 6.51.171.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+3.8%
CornersOver 8.51.291.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+2.4%
GoalsUnder 7.51.081.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+2.0%
GoalsUnder 1.513.9117.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+1.3%
GoalsUnder 8.51.031.04 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+0.7%
GoalsUnder 0.573.7081.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
+0.1%
CornersOver 7.51.211.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-1.7%
GoalsOver 10.5207.2641.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 21:13 UTC
-2.0%
GoalsOver 9.577.4823.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-3.1%
CornersUnder 8.54.433.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-3.7%
GoalsOver 1.51.081.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-4.3%
GoalsOver 8.531.5513.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-4.5%
CornersUnder 7.55.844.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-6.0%
GoalsOver 7.514.087.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-6.2%
GoalsOver 6.56.934.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-6.4%
GoalsOver 2.51.251.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-7.2%
CornersUnder 9.53.392.70 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-7.5%
GoalsOver 3.51.611.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-9.1%
GoalsOver 5.53.802.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-9.4%
GoalsOver 4.52.331.87 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-10.5%
CornersUnder 10.52.662.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-11.2%
CornersUnder 11.52.131.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-14.9%
CornersUnder 12.51.811.4167 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
-15.4%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (58)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Harry KaneAnytime scorer1.30 Coral · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Luis DiazAnytime scorer1.83 Coral · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Ismael SaibariAnytime scorer1.87 Coral · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Michael OliseAnytime scorer1.95 BetVictor · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Jamal MusialaAnytime scorer2.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Lennart KarlAnytime scorer2.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Serge GnabryAnytime scorer2.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Bara NdiayeAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Nathaniel BrownAnytime scorer3.25 Betfred · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Tom BischofAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Aleksandar PavlovicAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Andrej IlicAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Joshua KimmichAnytime scorer5.50 Coral · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Emmanuel Latte LathAnytime scorer6.00 Skybet · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Alphonso DaviesAnytime scorer6.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Konrad LaimerAnytime scorer6.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Marin LjubicicAnytime scorer7.00 Skybet · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Oliver BurkeAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Tim SkarkeAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Dayot UpamecanoAnytime scorer7.50 Coral · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Hiroki ItoAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Josip StanisicAnytime scorer7.50 Coral · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Kastriot ImeriAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Min-Jae KimAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Jonathan TahAnytime scorer8.50 Coral · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Sacha BoeyAnytime scorer9.00 William Hill · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Woo-yeong JeongAnytime scorer9.00 Skybet · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Livan BurcuAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Linus GutherAnytime scorer12.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Robert SkovAnytime scorer12.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Andras SchaferAnytime scorer13.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Michel AebischerAnytime scorer17.00 Skybet · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Andrik MarkgrafAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Leopold QuerfeldAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Marvin FriedrichAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Rani KhediraAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Tom RotheAnytime scorer20.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Derrick KohnAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Janik HabererAnytime scorer21.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Stanley NSokiAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Aljoscha KemleinAnytime scorer23.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Josip JuranovicAnytime scorer23.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Christopher TrimmelAnytime scorer34.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Zeno Van Den BoschAnytime scorer36.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Ohis UduokhaiAnytime scorer46.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Michael OliseAssistsover 0.51.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Luis DiazAssistsover 0.52.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Serge GnabryAssistsover 0.52.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Joshua KimmichAssistsover 0.52.625 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Lennart KarlAssistsover 0.52.625 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Nathaniel BrownAssistsover 0.53.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Harry KaneAssistsover 0.53.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Tom BischofAssistsover 0.53.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Konrad LaimerAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Josip StanisicAssistsover 0.53.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Sacha BoeyAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Aleksandar PavlovicAssistsover 0.54.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 03:13 UTC
Hiroki ItoAssistsover 0.54.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 21:13 UTC