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Match board · 2026-09-06

Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV
26.2%
Draw
22.4%
FSV Mainz 05
51.5%
Headline value
—
xG 1.3 – 1.9Hamburger SV form LDWWLFSV Mainz 05 form DWLWL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

SOT · 8 lines
Nadiem Amiri o0.51.561.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+9.4%
Sheraldo Becker o0.51.431.6364 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+8.8%
Terem Moffi o0.51.461.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+8.6%
Phillip Tietz o0.51.401.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+6.4%
Ransford-Yeboah Konigsdorffer o0.51.881.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
Yussuf Poulsen o0.51.771.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-1.5%
Patson Daka o0.54.091.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-31.1%
Bilal Nadir o0.520.502.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-05 03:13 UTC
-35.1%
Tackles · 8 lines
Anthony Caci o0.51.121.1333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+1.0%
Nicolas Capaldo o0.51.091.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-0.0%
Danny Da Costa o0.51.221.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-2.4%
Silvan Widmer o0.51.271.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-8.1%
Kaishu Sano o0.51.361.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-12.2%
Sota Kawasaki o0.51.351.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-13.7%
Kacper Potulski o0.51.441.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-05 03:13 UTC
-14.1%
Lennard Maloney o0.51.581.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-26.8%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edge
ResultHamburger SV win3.82— no price—
ResultDraw4.473.50 Matchbook · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-6.2%
ResultFSV Mainz 05 win1.94— no price—
CornersUnder 7.51.733.90 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+32.1%
CornersUnder 8.51.462.70 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+31.5%
CornersUnder 9.51.302.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+28.3%
CornersUnder 6.52.276.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+27.5%
CornersUnder 10.51.211.6471 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+22.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.131.4167 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+17.7%
CornersUnder 10.01.301.6842 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+17.4%
GoalsOver 2.51.611.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+9.6%
GoalsOver 3.52.523.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+9.4%
CornersUnder 12.51.101.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+8.8%
GoalsOver 4.54.567.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+7.6%
GoalsOver 1.51.211.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+5.1%
GoalsOver 5.59.4913.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+2.9%
GoalsOver 6.522.4123.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
GoalsOver 7.559.4261.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
+0.0%
GoalsOver 8.5175.0067.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsUnder 0.524.5315.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsUnder 5.51.121.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-4.7%
GoalsUnder 1.55.844.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-5.6%
GoalsUnder 4.51.281.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-7.6%
GoalsUnder 3.51.661.4667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-7.9%
GoalsUnder 2.52.632.15 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-8.5%
CornersOver 12.510.684.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-12.4%
CornersOver 11.58.523.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-18.6%
CornersOver 10.55.782.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-24.4%
CornersOver 9.54.361.85 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-31.1%
CornersOver 10.05.592.0345 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-31.3%
CornersOver 6.51.791.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-31.6%
CornersOver 8.53.181.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-35.2%
CornersOver 7.52.371.2727 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
-36.3%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (65)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Terem MoffiAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Phillip TietzAnytime scorer3.16 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Rayan PhilippeAnytime scorer3.20 Unibet · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Patson DakaAnytime scorer3.40 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Ransford KonigsdorfferAnytime scorer3.40 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Emir SahitiAnytime scorer3.80 BetVictor · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Sheraldo BeckerAnytime scorer3.80 VE · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Yussuf PoulsenAnytime scorer4.14 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Immanuel PheraiAnytime scorer4.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Marco RichterAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Paul NebelAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Otto StangeAnytime scorer4.72 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Alexander Rossing-LelesiitAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Jae-Sung LeeAnytime scorer4.82 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Albert GronbaekAnytime scorer5.20 VE · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Nadiem AmiriAnytime scorer5.21 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Fabio VieiraAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Otto RuoppiAnytime scorer6.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Martin AdelineAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Eric MartelAnytime scorer8.50 BetVictor · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Daniel ElfadliAnytime scorer9.50 William Hill · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Bakery JattaAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Bilal NadirAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Zakaria El OuahdiAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Albert-Mboyo Sambi LokongaAnytime scorer9.82 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Danny Da CostaAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Dominik KohrAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Silvan WidmerAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Sota KawasakiAnytime scorer10.50 VE · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Rael NakuzolaAnytime scorer10.80 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Andreas Hanche-OlsenAnytime scorer11.50 BetVictor · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Miro MuheimAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Nicolai RembergAnytime scorer12.80 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Nicolas CapaldoAnytime scorer13.30 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Stefan PoschAnytime scorer13.70 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Phillipp MweneAnytime scorer14.20 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Kaishu SanoAnytime scorer14.70 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Stefan BellAnytime scorer14.70 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Sebastiaan BornauwAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Fabio GruberAnytime scorer15.20 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Kofi AmoakoAnytime scorer16.70 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Louis LemkeAnytime scorer16.70 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Warmed OmariAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
David WolfeAnytime scorer17.20 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Anthony CaciAnytime scorer17.70 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Jordan TorunarighaAnytime scorer17.70 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Kacper PotulskiAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Lennard MaloneyAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Shafiq NandjaAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Nadiem AmiriAssistso0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Sheraldo BeckerAssistso0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Marco RichterAssistso0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Rayan PhilippeAssistso0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Emir SahitiAssistso0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Immanuel PheraiAssistso0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Miro MuheimAssistso0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Anthony CaciAssistso0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-05 03:13 UTC
Bilal NadirAssistso0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-05 03:13 UTC
Fabio VieiraAssistso0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Hyun-seok HongAssistso0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Paul NebelAssistso0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Phillip TietzAssistso0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Jae-Sung LeeAssistso0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Otto RuoppiAssistso0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC
Ransford-Yeboah KonigsdorfferAssistso0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-06 09:13 UTC