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Match board · La Liga · 2026-10-23

Alaves v Malaga

Alaves
48%
Draw
30.4%
Malaga
21.6%
Headline value
—
xG 1.2 – 0.7Alaves form LLDLLMalaga form LDLLD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 7 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Miguel Rodriguezover 0.51.431.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-1.6%
Lucas Boyeover 0.51.361.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-10.1%
David Larrubiaover 0.52.191.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-13.2%
Abde Rebbachover 0.52.541.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-22.6%
Pablo Ibanezover 0.53.651.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-31.4%
Joaquin Munozover 0.511.621.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-45.9%
Lucas Boyeover 1.52.631.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-16.5%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultAlaves win2.081.80 William Hill · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-7.6%
ResultDraw3.293.69 Matchbook · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+3.3%
ResultMalaga win4.635.21 Matchbook · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+2.4%
CornersOver 9.51.451.8571 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+15.0%
GoalsUnder 1.52.313.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+14.0%
GoalsUnder 2.51.421.7647 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+13.7%
CornersOver 10.51.802.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+13.5%
CornersOver 8.51.291.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+11.1%
GoalsUnder 3.51.141.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+9.7%
CornersOver 11.52.413.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+8.2%
CornersOver 7.51.181.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+6.7%
GoalsUnder 0.56.6910.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+5.0%
GoalsUnder 4.51.051.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
+4.7%
GoalsOver 6.5290.1841.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-2.1%
GoalsOver 5.575.6517.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-4.6%
GoalsOver 4.522.698.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-8.1%
CornersUnder 7.56.433.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-13.0%
GoalsOver 3.57.983.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-13.8%
CornersUnder 11.51.711.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-14.8%
CornersUnder 8.54.502.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-17.8%
GoalsOver 2.53.382.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-18.0%
CornersUnder 10.52.251.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-19.2%
CornersUnder 9.53.211.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
-21.3%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (64)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Lucas BoyeAnytime scorer2.35 Coral · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Antonio MartinezAnytime scorer2.50 Coral · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Mariano DiazAnytime scorer3.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Aitor ManasAnytime scorer3.20 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Carlos ChupeteAnytime scorer3.20 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Miguel RodriguezAnytime scorer3.60 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Adrian NinoAnytime scorer4.10 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Eneko JaureguiAnytime scorer4.20 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Juan CruzAnytime scorer4.80 BetVictor · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Julen LobeteAnytime scorer5.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Angel Hidalgo PerezAnytime scorer5.50 Betfred · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
David LarrubiaAnytime scorer5.75 Coral · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Pablo IbanezAnytime scorer5.75 Coral · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Carles AlenaAnytime scorer6.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Joaquin MunozAnytime scorer6.25 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Mikel RodriguezAnytime scorer6.50 BetVictor · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Abde RebbachAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Francisco JuaniAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Haitam AbaidaAnytime scorer7.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Selu DialloAnytime scorer7.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Denis SuarezAnytime scorer7.50 Coral · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Rafa RodriguezAnytime scorer7.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Antonio BlancoAnytime scorer8.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Carlos ProtesoniAnytime scorer9.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Daniel LorenzoAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Pablo MartinezAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Xanet OlaizAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Ander GuevaraAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Carlos DotorAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Nahuel TenagliaAnytime scorer10.50 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Youseff EnriquezAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Facundo GarcesAnytime scorer13.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Hugo NovoaAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Jens CajusteAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Nicolas ValentiniAnytime scorer13.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Ramon EnriquezAnytime scorer13.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Adam AznouAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Ville KoskiAnytime scorer15.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Izan MerinoAnytime scorer16.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Castro Jonny OttoAnytime scorer17.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Fernando CaleroAnytime scorer19.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Rafa GarridoAnytime scorer19.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Alex PastorAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Angel RecioAnytime scorer21.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Azaceta Einar GalileaAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Carlos PugaAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Jose SalinasAnytime scorer21.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Juan BerrocalAnytime scorer21.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Moussa DiarraAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Carles AlenaAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Abde RebbachAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Denis SuarezAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Miguel RodriguezAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Pablo IbanezAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC
Ramon EnriquezAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC
Aitor ManasAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Izan MerinoAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC
Lucas BoyeAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Mariano DiazAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC
Selu DialloAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC
Joaquin MunozAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Pablo MartinezAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Youseff EnriquezAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC
Hugo NovoaAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 05:43 UTC