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Match board · La Liga · 2026-10-17

Valencia v Athletic Club

Valencia
23.7%
Draw
25%
Athletic Club
51.3%
Headline value
—
xG 1 – 1.6Valencia form DLWLLAthletic Club form DDWWL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Daniel Rabaover 0.51.792.15 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+9.4%
Alex Berenguerover 0.51.971.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-4.7%
Gorka Guruzetaover 0.51.601.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-5.3%
Robert Navarroover 0.51.911.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-7.7%
Inaki Williamsover 0.51.901.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-10.9%
Maroan Sannadiover 0.51.881.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-13.4%
Arnaut Danjumaover 0.52.501.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-20.1%
Hugo Duroover 0.54.871.85 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-33.5%
Ryunosuke Satoover 0.56.402.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-34.4%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultValencia win4.233.40 Ladbrokes · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-5.8%
ResultDraw4.003.50 Betfred · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-3.6%
ResultAthletic Club win1.952.25 Matchbook · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+6.9%
CornersOver 11.52.593.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+10.9%
CornersOver 9.51.742.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+9.7%
CornersOver 10.52.142.6471 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+8.9%
CornersOver 8.51.501.6471 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+5.9%
CornersOver 7.51.321.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+4.1%
CornersOver 10.02.142.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+0.5%
GoalsOver 4.58.168.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.2%
GoalsOver 2.52.082.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsOver 6.558.2441.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsOver 8.5672.52101.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsOver 3.53.793.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
CornersUnder 6.55.235.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
CornersOver 6.51.241.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 7.5187.4867.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsOver 5.520.3917.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
CornersOver 9.01.741.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-1.5%
GoalsUnder 0.513.4610.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsUnder 1.53.743.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-2.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.141.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-3.2%
GoalsUnder 3.51.361.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsUnder 2.51.931.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-3.7%
CornersUnder 7.54.093.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-5.9%
CornersUnder 8.53.002.3889 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-8.5%
CornersUnder 9.52.341.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-11.9%
CornersUnder 10.51.881.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-11.9%
CornersUnder 9.03.002.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-14.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.631.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-16.4%
CornersUnder 10.02.341.66 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-17.6%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (61)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Gorka GuruzetaAnytime scorer3.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Sadiq UmarAnytime scorer3.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Oihan SancetAnytime scorer3.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Inaki WilliamsAnytime scorer3.40 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Maroan SannadiAnytime scorer3.40 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Nico WilliamsAnytime scorer3.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Hugo DuroAnytime scorer3.60 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Aimar BlazquezAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Robert NavarroAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Nico SerranoAnytime scorer4.10 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Daniel RabaAnytime scorer4.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Arnaut DanjumaAnytime scorer4.60 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alex BerenguerAnytime scorer4.75 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alvaro DjaloAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Christian ImgaAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Ryunosuke SatoAnytime scorer5.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Peio CanalesAnytime scorer5.75 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Javi GuerraAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alejandro RegoAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
David OtorbiAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Harvey ElliottAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Luis RiojaAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Guido RodriguezAnytime scorer9.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Mikel JauregizarAnytime scorer9.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Benat GerenabarrenaAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Filip UgrinicAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Aaron MayolAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Aitor ParedesAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Benat PradosAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jose PepeluAnytime scorer10.50 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alex PanachAnytime scorer12.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Hugo RinconAnytime scorer12.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Inigo Ruiz de GalarretaAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Mouctar DiakhabyAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Aliou DiengAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Berchiche YuriAnytime scorer13.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Dani VivianAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Justin de HaasAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Arnau MartinezAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Aymeric LaporteAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Dimitri FoulquierAnytime scorer15.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Iker CordobaAnytime scorer15.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Johaneko LouisjeanAnytime scorer15.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jose GayaAnytime scorer15.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jose Manuel CopeteAnytime scorer15.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jesus VazquezAnytime scorer16.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Pablo MaffeoAnytime scorer16.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Cesar TarregaAnytime scorer17.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jesus AresoAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Yeray AlvarezAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alex BerenguerAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Christian ImgaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Inaki WilliamsAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Robert NavarroAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Daniel RabaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Luis RiojaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Arnaut DanjumaAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
David OtorbiAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Gorka GuruzetaAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Harvey ElliottAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Ryunosuke SatoAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC