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Match board · La Liga · 2026-10-17

Espanyol v Atletico Madrid

Espanyol
26.2%
Draw
24.9%
Atletico Madrid
49%
Headline value
—
xG 1.1 – 1.6Espanyol form DLLWDAtletico Madrid form WWWWL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Alex Calatravaover 0.51.561.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+4.3%
Julian Alvarezover 0.51.391.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-1.1%
Alex Grimaldoover 0.51.791.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-4.0%
Rodrigo Mendozaover 0.51.991.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-4.2%
Roberto Fernandezover 0.51.671.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-6.9%
Alexander Sorlothover 0.51.461.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-11.7%
Alex Baenaover 0.52.161.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-15.7%
Javier Hernandezover 0.52.711.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-17.7%
Jonathan Davidover 0.51.701.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-21.1%
Pere Millaover 0.52.921.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-23.6%
Ademola Lookmanover 0.52.271.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-27.4%
Kang-In Leeover 0.52.401.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-33.3%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultEspanyol win3.824.63 Matchbook · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+4.5%
ResultDraw4.023.90 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-0.8%
ResultAtletico Madrid win2.041.85 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-5.1%
CornersOver 11.53.043.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+6.2%
CornersOver 12.53.815.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+6.2%
CornersUnder 6.53.884.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+4.7%
CornersUnder 7.52.813.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+4.3%
CornersOver 10.52.472.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+3.4%
CornersUnder 8.52.342.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+1.0%
GoalsUnder 2.52.032.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsUnder 1.54.024.0526 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+0.2%
GoalsUnder 3.51.401.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-0.0%
GoalsUnder 4.51.161.1579 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsOver 8.5522.57101.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsUnder 5.51.061.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsUnder 0.514.8813.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsOver 7.5151.0351.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 6.548.6226.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-1.8%
CornersOver 9.52.082.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-2.0%
CornersUnder 9.51.921.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-2.5%
GoalsOver 5.517.6311.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-3.4%
GoalsOver 1.51.331.2727 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-3.4%
GoalsOver 4.57.295.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-3.7%
CornersOver 8.51.741.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-4.6%
GoalsOver 3.53.503.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-4.7%
GoalsOver 2.51.971.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-4.9%
CornersUnder 10.51.681.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-7.1%
CornersOver 7.51.551.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-8.9%
CornersUnder 11.51.491.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-10.7%
CornersOver 6.51.351.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-11.5%
CornersUnder 12.51.361.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-12.9%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (65)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Alexander SorlothAnytime scorer2.37 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jonathan DavidAnytime scorer2.40 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Julian AlvarezAnytime scorer2.65 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Ademola LookmanAnytime scorer2.75 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Carlos MartinAnytime scorer2.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Arnau OrtizAnytime scorer3.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Kang-In LeeAnytime scorer3.40 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Roberto FernandezAnytime scorer3.40 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Alex BaenaAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Marcos FernandezAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Victor MulleratAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Pere MillaAnytime scorer4.60 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Alex CalatravaAnytime scorer5.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Giuliano SimeoneAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Javier HernandezAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Bryan ZaragozaAnytime scorer5.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Alejandro GrimaldoAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jofre CarrerasAnytime scorer6.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jorge CastilloAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo MendozaAnytime scorer6.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Tyrhys DolanAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Javier GilAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Pablo BarriosAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Rafael BauzaAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Obed VargasAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Eduardo ExpositoAnytime scorer8.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Morten HjulmandAnytime scorer8.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Cristian RomeroAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Dani MartinezAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jorge DominguezAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Marcos LlorenteAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Johnny CardosoAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jorge KokeAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
David HanckoAnytime scorer11.00 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Gabriel MoscardoAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jose Flaco LopezAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Marc PubillAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Pol LozanoAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Leandro CabreraAnytime scorer13.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Quilindschy HartmanAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Adama TimeraAnytime scorer15.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Robin Le NormandAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Urko GonzalezAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Andoni GorosabelAnytime scorer17.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Roger HinojoAnytime scorer17.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Clemens RiedelAnytime scorer19.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Unai NunezAnytime scorer19.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Vanja DrkusicAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Omar El HilaliAnytime scorer26.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Alex BaenaAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Alex GrimaldoAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Julian AlvarezAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Kang-In LeeAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Ademola LookmanAssistsover 0.54.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Arnau OrtizAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo MendozaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Giuliano SimeoneAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Carlos MartinAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Jonathan DavidAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Eduardo ExpositoAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Alex CalatravaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Bryan ZaragozaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Javier HernandezAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jofre CarrerasAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Marcos LlorenteAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC