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Match board · La Liga · 2026-10-17

Real Betis v Barcelona

Real Betis
12.9%
Draw
12.6%
Barcelona
74.5%
Headline value
+20.2%
Over 4.5 · Goals
xG 1.6 – 3.6Real Betis form WDWWWBarcelona form WWWWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEOver 4.5Goals2.55+20.2%
VALUEOver 5.5Goals4.40+19.2%
VALUEOver 3.5Goals1.6667+16.2%
VALUEOver 6.5Goals8.00+14.3%

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Fermin Lopezover 0.51.411.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+1.5%
Anthony Gordonover 0.51.421.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-3.2%
Antonyover 0.51.561.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-3.8%
Lamine Yamalover 0.51.251.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-4.8%
Alarcon Iscoover 0.51.861.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-6.3%
Cucho Hernandezover 0.51.761.55 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-7.7%
Abdessamad Ezzalzouliover 0.51.881.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-10.4%
Dani Olmoover 0.52.031.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-14.3%
Karim Adeyemiover 0.51.641.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-16.0%
Troy Parrottover 0.51.881.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-18.2%
Rodrigo Riquelmeover 0.52.921.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-20.3%
Giovani Lo Celsoover 0.52.811.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-33.6%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultReal Betis win7.747.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-1.4%
ResultDraw7.955.90 Matchbook · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-4.4%
ResultBarcelona win1.341.44 Ladbrokes · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+5.1%
GoalsOver 4.51.682.55 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+20.2%
GoalsOver 5.52.394.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+19.2%
GoalsOver 3.51.311.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+16.2%
GoalsOver 6.53.748.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+14.3%
GoalsOver 2.51.121.2727 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+10.5%
CornersUnder 12.51.151.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+9.7%
GoalsOver 7.56.4515.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+8.8%
CornersUnder 9.51.882.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+7.9%
CornersUnder 8.52.392.875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+7.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.331.45 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+6.2%
CornersUnder 10.51.581.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+6.0%
GoalsOver 8.512.2026.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+4.3%
CornersUnder 9.02.392.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+3.3%
GoalsOver 1.51.041.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+3.2%
GoalsOver 9.525.2167.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+2.5%
CornersUnder 10.01.881.95 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+2.1%
CornersUnder 7.54.094.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+0.6%
CornersUnder 11.01.581.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsUnder 0.5181.2734.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-2.4%
CornersOver 7.51.321.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-4.4%
GoalsUnder 1.529.249.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-7.7%
CornersOver 10.52.712.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-9.5%
CornersOver 11.54.022.875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-9.9%
CornersOver 8.51.721.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-10.5%
CornersOver 9.52.141.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-11.2%
CornersOver 12.57.504.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-11.7%
GoalsUnder 7.51.181.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-12.6%
GoalsUnder 2.59.194.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-14.1%
GoalsUnder 6.51.371.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-17.7%
CornersOver 11.04.022.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-18.0%
CornersOver 10.02.711.8182 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-18.1%
CornersOver 9.02.141.4667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-21.5%
GoalsUnder 3.54.202.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-21.6%
GoalsUnder 5.51.721.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-23.7%
GoalsUnder 4.52.461.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-24.6%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (56)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Lamine YamalAnytime scorer2.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
RaphinhaAnytime scorer2.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Gabriel JesusAnytime scorer2.02 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Hamza AbdelkarimAnytime scorer2.40 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Karim AdeyemiAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Anthony GordonAnytime scorer2.90 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Fermin LopezAnytime scorer3.10 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Troy ParrottAnytime scorer3.10 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Cucho HernandezAnytime scorer3.20 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Dani OlmoAnytime scorer3.20 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Brian FarinasAnytime scorer3.60 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
AntonyAnytime scorer3.90 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Abdessamad EzzalzouliAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alarcon IscoAnytime scorer4.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jose MoranteAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Giovani Lo CelsoAnytime scorer4.60 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Iker LosadaAnytime scorer5.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo RiquelmeAnytime scorer5.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Aitor RuibalAnytime scorer5.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
PedriAnytime scorer5.75 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Marc BernalAnytime scorer6.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Pablo FornalsAnytime scorer6.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
GaviAnytime scorer6.68 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Andreas ChristensenAnytime scorer6.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jordi PesquerAnytime scorer6.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
RodriAnytime scorer6.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Cavaco Joao CanceloAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Nelson DeossaAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alvaro FidalgoAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jules KoundeAnytime scorer7.50 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Xavi EspartAnytime scorer7.50 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alex BaldeAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Eric GarciaAnytime scorer8.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Pau CubarsiAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Martin GerardAnytime scorer10.30 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Dani CeballosAnytime scorer11.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Facundo BernalAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Marc RocaAnytime scorer11.09 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Junior FirpoAnytime scorer11.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Marc BartraAnytime scorer12.62 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Angel OrtizAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Diego LlorenteAnytime scorer15.76 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Francisco GarciaAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Hector BellerinAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Natan BernardoAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Valentin GomezAnytime scorer19.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Lamine YamalAssistsover 0.52.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
RaphinhaAssistsover 0.53.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Karim AdeyemiAssistsover 0.53.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Fermin LopezAssistsover 0.53.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Anthony GordonAssistsover 0.53.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Dani OlmoAssistsover 0.53.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Joao CanceloAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Giovani Lo CelsoAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Hamza AbdelkarimAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alarcon IscoAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC