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Match board · La Liga · 2026-10-10

Alaves v Atletico Madrid

Alaves
27.8%
Draw
25.8%
Atletico Madrid
46.4%
Headline value
—
xG 1.1 – 1.5Alaves form DLLWWAtletico Madrid form WWWLW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Miguel Rodriguezover 0.51.551.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+6.8%
Mariano Diazover 0.51.461.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+6.8%
Rodrigo Mendozaover 0.51.862.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+3.7%
Julian Alvarezover 0.51.381.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
Giuliano Simeoneover 0.52.432.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.3%
Jonathan Davidover 0.51.631.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-7.9%
Lucas Boyeover 0.51.771.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.8%
Alex Baenaover 0.52.091.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-9.3%
Kang-In Leeover 0.52.121.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-10.6%
Alexander Sorlothover 0.51.471.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-12.0%
Ademola Lookmanover 0.52.031.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-14.3%
Alexander Sorlothover 1.53.172.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-13.9%
Tackles · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Antonio Blancoover 0.51.061.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.2%
Marcos Llorenteover 0.51.091.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.6%
Abde Rebbachover 0.51.151.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-1.9%
Johnny Cardosoover 0.51.091.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.2%
Morten Hjulmandover 0.51.131.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.4%
Jorge Kokeover 0.51.151.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.8%
Nahuel Tenagliaover 0.51.161.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.9%
Alex Grimaldoover 0.51.161.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.4%
Marc Pubillover 0.51.251.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-9.8%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultAlaves win3.604.75 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+6.8%
ResultDraw3.883.80 BetVictor · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.5%
ResultAtletico Madrid win2.151.85 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-7.6%
CornersOver 12.53.814.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+4.0%
CornersOver 11.52.813.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+3.3%
CornersOver 12.03.814.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.4%
CornersOver 11.02.813.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.2%
GoalsUnder 3.51.361.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.2%
GoalsUnder 2.51.932.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsUnder 1.53.744.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.141.1579 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.4%
CornersOver 6.51.131.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.9%
GoalsUnder 0.513.4615.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.8%
CornersOver 10.52.272.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.5%
CornersOver 7.51.291.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.4%
GoalsUnder 5.51.051.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.1%
CornersOver 10.02.272.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsOver 7.5187.4881.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsOver 8.5672.52101.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.8%
CornersUnder 8.52.782.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsOver 6.558.2426.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.1%
CornersOver 8.51.561.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.7%
CornersOver 9.51.891.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.7%
GoalsOver 5.520.3913.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.8%
CornersUnder 9.52.122.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.9%
GoalsOver 4.58.166.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.1%
CornersUnder 7.54.413.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.6%
CornersUnder 9.02.782.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.0%
CornersOver 7.01.291.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.5%
GoalsOver 1.51.361.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.5%
GoalsOver 3.53.793.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.9%
CornersOver 9.01.891.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.0%
CornersUnder 6.58.656.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.1%
CornersUnder 8.04.413.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.1%
CornersOver 8.01.561.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.2%
CornersUnder 10.02.121.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.3%
GoalsOver 2.52.081.8696 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.3%
CornersUnder 10.51.791.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.9%
CornersUnder 7.08.655.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.6%
CornersUnder 11.01.791.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-7.6%
CornersUnder 12.51.361.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.551.3684 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.6%
CornersUnder 12.01.551.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-10.6%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (62)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Alexander SorlothAnytime scorer2.67 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jonathan DavidAnytime scorer2.78 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Julian AlvarezAnytime scorer3.01 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lucas BoyeAnytime scorer3.11 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Arnau OrtizAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ademola LookmanAnytime scorer3.30 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Miguel CuboAnytime scorer3.50 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Alex BaenaAnytime scorer3.80 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Kang-In LeeAnytime scorer3.89 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mariano DiazAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Antonio MartinezAnytime scorer4.04 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Aitor ManasAnytime scorer4.63 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Miguel RodriguezAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jorge CastilloAnytime scorer5.25 Unibet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Giuliano SimeoneAnytime scorer5.41 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Rodrigo MendozaAnytime scorer6.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Alejandro GrimaldoAnytime scorer8.06 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Pablo BarriosAnytime scorer8.84 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mikel RodriguezAnytime scorer9.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Obed VargasAnytime scorer9.43 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Cristian RomeroAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Angel Hidalgo PerezAnytime scorer10.00 Betfred · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jorge KokeAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Selu DialloAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Marcos LlorenteAnytime scorer11.80 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Morten HjulmandAnytime scorer12.30 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Facundo GarcesAnytime scorer13.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Abde RebbachAnytime scorer13.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
David HanckoAnytime scorer13.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Pablo IbanezAnytime scorer14.20 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Carles AlenaAnytime scorer15.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Johnny CardosoAnytime scorer16.20 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Denis SuarezAnytime scorer16.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Marc PubillAnytime scorer16.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Nahuel TenagliaAnytime scorer17.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jorge DominguezAnytime scorer18.10 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Antonio BlancoAnytime scorer18.60 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Hugo NovoaAnytime scorer19.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ville KoskiAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ander GuevaraAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Carlos ProtesoniAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Javier GilAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Robin Le NormandAnytime scorer21.00 Paddy Power · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Youseff EnriquezAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Dani MartinezAnytime scorer26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Nicolas ValentiniAnytime scorer26.00 Paddy Power · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Castro Jonny OttoAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Xanet OlaizAnytime scorer41.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Alex BaenaAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Alex GrimaldoAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Arnau OrtizAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Julian AlvarezAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Kang-In LeeAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ademola LookmanAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Giuliano SimeoneAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jonathan DavidAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Alexander SorlothAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Miguel RodriguezAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Rodrigo MendozaAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Carles AlenaAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Denis SuarezAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Pablo BarriosAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC