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Match board · La Liga · 2026-09-20

Valencia v Real Sociedad

Valencia
34.6%
Draw
30.9%
Real Sociedad
34.6%
Headline value
+15.3%
Under 2.5 · Goals
xG 1 – 1Valencia form WLLLLReal Sociedad form LWDWL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEUnder 2.5Goals1.9091+15.3%
VALUEUnder 1.5Goals3.80+14.3%

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Orri Steinn Oskarssonover 0.51.291.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+5.8%
Luka Sucicover 0.51.881.95 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+1.9%
Mikel Oyarzabalover 0.51.501.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-2.5%
Arnaut Danjumaover 0.51.701.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-8.8%
Javi Guerraover 0.53.312.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-17.4%
Goncalo Guedesover 0.52.671.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-25.0%
Daniel Rabaover 0.52.121.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-26.1%
Arsen Zakharyanover 0.56.762.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-32.8%
Hugo Duroover 0.53.161.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-33.6%
Tackles · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Guido Rodriguezover 0.51.061.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+0.9%
Jose Gayaover 0.51.121.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-4.5%
Jon Pachecoover 0.51.221.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-7.0%
Benat Turrientesover 0.51.221.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-7.9%
Jesus Vazquezover 0.51.211.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-9.7%
Hector Fortover 0.51.241.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-14.8%
Alvaro Odriozolaover 0.51.361.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-17.6%
Mamadou Sarrover 0.51.401.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-18.4%
Aihen Munozover 0.51.311.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-19.2%
Ander Barrenetxeaover 0.51.541.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-23.9%
Javi Guerraover 0.51.721.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-31.9%
Jon Aramburuover 1.51.251.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-13.4%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultValencia win2.892.82 Matchbook · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-0.9%
ResultDraw3.243.50 Matchbook · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+2.3%
ResultReal Sociedad win2.892.53 Matchbook · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-5.0%
GoalsUnder 2.51.481.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+15.3%
GoalsUnder 1.52.463.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+14.3%
GoalsUnder 3.51.171.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+12.4%
CornersOver 10.52.232.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+8.6%
CornersOver 11.52.953.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+7.6%
GoalsUnder 4.51.061.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+5.9%
CornersOver 9.51.962.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+4.5%
GoalsUnder 0.57.3911.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+4.4%
CornersOver 8.51.691.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+2.1%
CornersOver 7.51.381.4167 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
+2.1%
CornersOver 6.51.251.2308 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-0.9%
CornersUnder 6.55.084.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-1.4%
GoalsOver 7.5911.8167.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-1.4%
GoalsOver 6.5220.5734.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-2.5%
CornersUnder 8.52.452.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-4.7%
CornersUnder 7.53.663.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-4.9%
GoalsOver 5.560.3713.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-6.0%
CornersUnder 9.52.041.7692 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-7.4%
GoalsOver 4.518.997.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-9.0%
CornersUnder 10.51.821.475 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-12.7%
CornersUnder 11.51.511.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-13.9%
GoalsOver 3.57.003.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-15.1%
GoalsOver 2.53.091.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
-20.1%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (75)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Sadiq UmarAnytime scorer2.40 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Mikel OyarzabalAnytime scorer2.80 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Orri Steinn OskarssonAnytime scorer2.80 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Daniel RabaAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Hugo DuroAnytime scorer3.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Aimar BlazquezAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Goncalo GuedesAnytime scorer3.80 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Arnaut DanjumaAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Job OchiengAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Ryunosuke SatoAnytime scorer4.40 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Luka SucicAnytime scorer4.50 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Diego LopezAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Jaume DuraAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Ander BarrenetxeaAnytime scorer4.80 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Alex MarchalAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Arsen ZakharyanAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Gomes Andre AlmeidaAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 12:43 UTC
Pablo MarinAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Takefusa KuboAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Luis RiojaAnytime scorer5.50 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Javi GuerraAnytime scorer5.75 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
David OtorbiAnytime scorer6.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Harvey ElliottAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Barragan Carlos SolerAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Filip UgrinicAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Jose PepeluAnytime scorer7.50 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Hector FortAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Mouctar DiakhabyAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Benat TurrientesAnytime scorer9.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Cesar TarregaAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Marcos NavarroAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 12:43 UTC
Yangel HerreraAnytime scorer9.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Aaron MayolAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Alex PanachAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 12:43 UTC
Aliou DiengAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Guido RodriguezAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Rodrigo GamonAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Aihen MunozAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Jon GorrotxategiAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Jesus VazquezAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Jon AramburuAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Pablo MaffeoAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Sergio GomezAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Arnau MartinezAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Dimitri FoulquierAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Jon MartinAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Jon PachecoAnytime scorer13.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Jose GayaAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Justin de HaasAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Mamadou SarrAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Alvaro OdriozolaAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Igor ZubeldiaAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Iker CordobaAnytime scorer15.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Jose Manuel CopeteAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Luken BeitiaAnytime scorer15.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Daniel RabaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Diego LopezAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 12:43 UTC
Takefusa KuboAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 12:43 UTC
Alex MarchalAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
David OtorbiAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 12:43 UTC
Harvey ElliottAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 12:43 UTC
Javi GuerraAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 12:43 UTC
Luka SucicAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 12:43 UTC
Aaron MayolAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Ander BarrenetxeaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Goncalo GuedesAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Jaume DuraAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Luis RiojaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Ryunosuke SatoAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 12:43 UTC
Aimar BlazquezAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Arnaut DanjumaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Arsen ZakharyanAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Filip UgrinicAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Mikel OyarzabalAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC
Sergio GomezAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 12:43 UTC