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Match board · La Liga · 2026-09-19

Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano

Osasuna
44.1%
Draw
25.5%
Rayo Vallecano
30.4%
Headline value
—
xG 1.5 – 1.2Osasuna form LLWWDRayo Vallecano form WLWLD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Ante Budimirover 0.51.351.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-7.5%
Alexandre Alemaoover 0.51.691.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-9.9%
Alvaro Garciaover 0.51.831.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-10.6%
Pedro Diazover 0.53.391.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-26.0%
Randy Ntekaover 0.52.861.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-27.0%
Romain Del Castilloover 0.53.031.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-28.9%
Aimar Orozover 0.58.201.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-49.7%
Raul Moroover 0.510.511.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-52.4%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultOsasuna win2.272.30 Unibet · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
+0.7%
ResultDraw3.923.40 Matchbook · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-3.9%
ResultRayo Vallecano win3.293.25 10bet · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-0.4%
CornersUnder 8.52.142.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
+6.8%
CornersUnder 6.53.745.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+6.7%
CornersUnder 7.52.933.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
+6.3%
GoalsOver 2.51.972.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+3.0%
GoalsOver 3.53.503.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+2.3%
CornersUnder 10.51.511.55 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
+1.8%
CornersUnder 11.51.311.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
+1.6%
GoalsOver 4.57.298.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.2%
CornersUnder 9.51.891.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsOver 5.517.6317.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.2%
GoalsOver 6.548.6241.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsOver 7.5151.0367.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsOver 8.5522.5767.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.3%
CornersOver 12.55.184.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-1.8%
CornersUnder 12.51.241.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsUnder 0.514.889.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.8%
CornersOver 9.52.131.95 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-4.3%
GoalsUnder 1.54.023.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.161.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.6%
CornersOver 10.52.972.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-6.3%
GoalsUnder 3.51.401.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-6.4%
CornersOver 11.54.263.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-6.9%
GoalsUnder 2.52.031.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-7.8%
CornersOver 7.51.521.3448 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-8.5%
CornersOver 8.51.881.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
-9.9%
CornersOver 6.51.361.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-13.4%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (67)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Ante BudimirAnytime scorer2.10 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Asier BonelAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Raul GarciaAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Jonathan DubasinAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Jorge De FrutosAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Raul De TomasAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Sergio CamelloAnytime scorer3.40 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Alexandre AlemaoAnytime scorer3.60 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Etienne EtooAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Romain Del CastilloAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Randy NtekaAnytime scorer3.75 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Alvaro GarciaAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Bouare GnangoroAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Raul MoroAnytime scorer4.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Isi PalazonAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Ivan AlonsoAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Ruben GarciaAnytime scorer5.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Fran PerezAnytime scorer5.25 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Rayane BelaidAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Asier OsambelaAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Kike BarjaAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Marco RomanAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Mauro EchegoyenAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Aimar OrozAnytime scorer6.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Bordonado Moi GomezAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Georgiy TsitaishviliAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Pedro DiazAnytime scorer7.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Abel BretonesAnytime scorer7.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Iker MunozAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Samu BecerraAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Florian LejeuneAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Pathe CissAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Alejandro CatenaAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Jon MoncayolaAnytime scorer9.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Lucas TorroAnytime scorer9.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Cabrera Unai LopezAnytime scorer9.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Diego RicoAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Inigo ArguibideAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Jozhua VertrouwdAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marco de Las SiasAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Valentin RosierAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Adria PedrosaAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Rockson YeboahAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Unai SantosAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Andrei RatiuAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Enzo BoyomoAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Jorge HerrandoAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Oscar ValentinAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Luiz FelipeAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Marash KumbullaAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Mujaid SadickAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Pelayo FernandezAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Sergio LozanoAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Ivan BalliuAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 15:13 UTC
Jonathan DubasinAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Santos Ruben GarciaAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Asier BonelAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Kike BarjaAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Raul GarciaAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Alvaro GarciaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Fran PerezAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Raul MoroAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Andrei RatiuAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Ante BudimirAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Cabrera Unai LopezAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Diego RicoAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Jon MoncayolaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC