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Match board · La Liga · 2026-09-19

Celta Vigo v Racing Santander

Celta Vigo
26.9%
Draw
27%
Racing Santander
46.1%
Headline value
+17.8%
Pablo Garcia · SOT
xG 1 – 1.4Celta Vigo form DDDLLRacing Santander form WLWLD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEPablo Garciashots on target (SOT)1.9091+17.8%
VALUEUnder 2.5Goals2.25+12.5%

Player props

SOT · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Pablo Garciaover 0.51.421.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+17.8%
Williot Swedbergover 0.51.791.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-13.3%
Borja Iglesiasover 0.51.561.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-16.1%
Sergio Canalesover 0.51.931.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-17.4%
Ferran Jutglaover 0.51.761.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-26.5%
Pablo Duranover 0.52.191.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-27.7%
Jones El-Abdellaouiover 0.53.561.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-29.8%
Hugo Alvarezover 0.53.751.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-37.0%
Ferran Jutglaover 1.54.861.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-31.8%
Tackles · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Aleix Febasover 0.51.071.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+1.2%
Ivan Martinover 0.51.071.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+0.2%
Alvaro Mantillaover 0.51.191.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-4.8%
Ilaix Moribaover 0.51.161.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-6.0%
Abdoulaye Fayeover 0.51.231.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-10.8%
Andre Almeidaover 0.51.331.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-14.9%
Williot Swedbergover 0.51.361.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-16.7%
Miguel Romanover 0.51.641.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 21:13 UTC
-29.1%
Jones El-Abdellaouiover 0.54.521.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-70.2%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultCelta Vigo win3.721.86 Matchbook · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-26.9%
ResultDraw3.714.04 Matchbook · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+2.2%
ResultRacing Santander win2.174.20 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+22.3%
GoalsUnder 2.51.762.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+12.5%
GoalsUnder 3.51.281.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+11.2%
CornersUnder 12.51.101.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+9.0%
GoalsUnder 1.53.244.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+8.6%
GoalsUnder 4.51.111.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+7.1%
CornersUnder 11.51.261.3529 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+5.7%
CornersUnder 10.51.431.5455 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+5.3%
CornersOver 8.51.451.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+5.3%
GoalsUnder 0.511.0217.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+3.2%
GoalsUnder 5.51.041.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+3.1%
CornersOver 9.51.801.875 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+2.3%
CornersOver 7.51.301.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+2.0%
CornersOver 6.51.141.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
+1.7%
GoalsOver 7.5299.5351.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-1.6%
GoalsOver 6.586.2521.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-3.6%
CornersUnder 7.54.353.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-5.6%
GoalsOver 5.528.0310.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-6.4%
CornersUnder 9.52.261.875 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-9.0%
CornersOver 11.54.903.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-9.0%
CornersUnder 6.57.924.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-9.6%
CornersOver 10.53.332.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-10.0%
GoalsOver 4.510.435.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-10.4%
CornersUnder 8.53.222.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-10.6%
CornersOver 12.510.914.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-11.9%
GoalsOver 1.51.451.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-12.7%
GoalsOver 3.54.522.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-14.2%
GoalsOver 2.52.321.70 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
-15.8%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (69)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Broja IglesiasAnytime scorer2.35 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Iago AspasAnytime scorer2.75 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Ferran JutglaAnytime scorer2.90 Unibet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Andres MartinAnytime scorer3.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Yassir ZabiriAnytime scorer3.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Asier VillalibreAnytime scorer3.15 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Pablo DuranAnytime scorer3.20 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Hugo GonzalezAnytime scorer3.40 AK Bets · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Giorgi GuliashviliAnytime scorer3.50 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Williot SwedbergAnytime scorer3.50 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Couhaib DriouechAnytime scorer3.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Juan Carlos AranaAnytime scorer3.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Jones El-AbdellaouiAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Hugo AlvarezAnytime scorer4.33 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Sergio CanalesAnytime scorer4.33 AK Bets · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Diego DiazAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Pablo GarciaAnytime scorer4.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Hugo MartinAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Iker LuqueAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Jorge CastellanosAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Inigo VicenteAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Aleix FebasAnytime scorer7.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Ilaix MoribaAnytime scorer7.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Andres AntanonAnytime scorer7.50 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Andres VallecilloAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Gomes Andre AlmeidaAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Sergio MartinezAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Hugo BurcioAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Javier RuedaAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Miguel RomanAnytime scorer8.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Maguette GueyeAnytime scorer9.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Marcos AlonsoAnytime scorer9.50 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Hugo PerezAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Sergio CarreiraAnytime scorer10.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Matteo PratiAnytime scorer10.50 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Carl StarfeltAnytime scorer11.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Ivan MartinAnytime scorer11.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Abdoulaye FayeAnytime scorer12.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Alvaro NunezAnytime scorer12.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Carlos SanchezAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Inigo Sainz-MazaAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Javier GalanAnytime scorer12.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Javier RodriguezAnytime scorer12.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Sebastian CaceresAnytime scorer13.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Yoel LagoAnytime scorer13.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Aaron MartinAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Alvaro MantillaAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Pedro Felipe dos SantosAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Facundo GonzalezAnytime scorer16.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Manu HernandoAnytime scorer16.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Jeanuel BelocianAnytime scorer17.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Jorge SalinasAnytime scorer17.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Pablo RamonAnytime scorer19.00 QuinnBet · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Iago AspasAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Inigo VicenteAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Jones El-AbdellaouiAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Aaron MartinAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 21:13 UTC
Couhaib DriouechAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Hugo AlvarezAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Sergio CanalesAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 21:13 UTC
Alvaro NunezAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 21:13 UTC
Hugo GonzalezAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Javier GalanAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Javier RuedaAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Williot SwedbergAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Borja IglesiasAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Ferran JutglaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Pablo DuranAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC
Diego DiazAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-17 03:13 UTC