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Match board · 2026-09-12

Athletic Club v Elche

Athletic Club
43.4%
Draw
28%
Elche
28.6%
Headline value
+16.3%
Fernando Nino · SOT
xG 1.3 – 1Athletic Club form WWLLLElche form LLLDD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEFernando Ninoshots on target (SOT)Lost1.60now 1.7273+16.3%
VALUEUnder 2.5GoalsWon2.20now 2.2143+14.1%

Player props

SOT · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Fernando Ninoover 0.51.271.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+20.9%
Lucas Cepedaover 0.52.032.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-0.7%
Oihan Sancetover 0.51.771.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-10.3%
Alex Berenguerover 0.51.801.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-11.2%
Nico Williamsover 0.51.771.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-15.0%
Robert Navarroover 0.51.951.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-15.3%
Nico Serranoover 0.51.831.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-18.7%
Gorka Guruzetaover 0.51.571.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-22.1%
Inaki Williamsover 0.51.851.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-23.6%
Maroan Sannadiover 0.51.831.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-25.4%
Alvaro Djaloover 0.58.841.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-63.7%
Gorka Guruzetaover 1.53.731.85 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-27.3%
Tackles · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Benat Pradosover 0.51.061.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-1.0%
Mikel Jauregizarover 0.51.101.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-2.5%
Gonzalo Villarover 0.51.171.1333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-2.6%
Buba Sangareover 0.51.101.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-3.4%
Hugo Rinconover 0.51.141.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-4.6%
Jesus Aresoover 0.51.271.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-12.7%
Inigo Ruiz de Galarretaover 0.51.271.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-14.8%
Marc Aguadoover 0.51.391.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-17.8%
Ali Houaryover 0.51.461.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-21.3%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultAthletic Club win2.301.46 IvyBet · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-25.1%
ResultDraw3.585.12 Matchbook · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+8.4%
ResultElche win3.498.25 Matchbook · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+16.5%
GoalsUnder 2.51.682.2143 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+14.4%
GoalsUnder 3.51.251.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+12.2%
GoalsUnder 1.53.024.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+12.0%
CornersUnder 7.52.553.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+10.7%
CornersUnder 6.53.735.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+8.6%
CornersUnder 8.52.072.45 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+7.4%
GoalsUnder 4.51.091.1875 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+7.4%
CornersUnder 10.51.411.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+5.9%
CornersUnder 9.51.671.8462 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+5.7%
CornersUnder 8.02.583.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+5.4%
GoalsUnder 0.59.9718.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+4.5%
CornersUnder 7.03.774.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+4.3%
GoalsUnder 5.51.031.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+3.7%
CornersUnder 11.51.311.3448 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+1.9%
CornersUnder 11.01.391.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+0.5%
CornersUnder 9.02.092.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+0.3%
CornersOver 12.55.475.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
CornersOver 12.05.555.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-0.2%
CornersUnder 10.01.691.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
CornersUnder 12.51.221.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-1.6%
GoalsOver 7.5386.2751.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-1.7%
CornersOver 11.54.213.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-2.5%
GoalsOver 6.5106.8221.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-3.8%
CornersOver 11.04.463.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-4.2%
GoalsOver 5.533.3612.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-5.3%
CornersUnder 12.01.311.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-5.7%
CornersOver 9.52.492.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-7.5%
CornersOver 10.53.472.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-7.5%
CornersOver 8.51.931.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-8.3%
CornersOver 9.02.422.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-8.7%
CornersOver 10.03.542.70 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-8.8%
CornersOver 8.01.921.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-9.8%
CornersOver 6.51.371.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-10.1%
GoalsOver 4.511.945.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-10.1%
CornersOver 7.51.651.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-12.6%
GoalsOver 1.51.491.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-13.1%
CornersOver 7.01.631.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-13.8%
GoalsOver 3.54.982.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-16.3%
GoalsOver 2.52.481.70 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-18.4%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (68)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Gorka GuruzetaAnytime scorer2.10 AK Bets · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Inaki WilliamsAnytime scorer2.50 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Maroan SannadiAnytime scorer2.65 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Robert NavarroAnytime scorer2.875 Paddy Power · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Nico WilliamsAnytime scorer2.96 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Oihan SancetAnytime scorer3.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alvaro DjaloAnytime scorer3.30 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Nico SerranoAnytime scorer3.45 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alex BerenguerAnytime scorer3.80 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Selton SanchezAnytime scorer4.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Peio CanalesAnytime scorer4.80 BetVictor · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Ezequiel PonceAnytime scorer4.82 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Abiel OsorioAnytime scorer5.90 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Fernando NinoAnytime scorer5.90 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Lucas CepedaAnytime scorer6.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Adam BoayarAnytime scorer6.10 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alejandro RegoAnytime scorer6.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Mikel JauregizarAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Nordin Al LalAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Benat PradosAnytime scorer7.27 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Facundo BuonanotteAnytime scorer7.27 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Grady DianganaAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Yago AlonsoAnytime scorer7.86 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Aitor ParedesAnytime scorer8.84 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Dani VivianAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Tete MorenteAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Ali HouaryAnytime scorer9.04 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Benat GerenabarrenaAnytime scorer9.43 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
German ValeraAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Thomas LemarAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alvaro PadillaAnytime scorer9.82 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Berchiche YuriAnytime scorer11.00 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Fernandez JosanAnytime scorer12.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Javier MorcilloAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Unai EgiluzAnytime scorer12.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Yeray AlvarezAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Inigo Ruiz de GalarretaAnytime scorer12.30 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Aymeric LaporteAnytime scorer13.30 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Hugo RinconAnytime scorer14.20 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Carvalho Martim NetoAnytime scorer14.70 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Gonzalo VillarAnytime scorer14.70 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Roy RevivoAnytime scorer14.70 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Iker MonrealAnytime scorer17.20 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Jesus AresoAnytime scorer17.20 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Ruben SanchezAnytime scorer18.10 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Federico RedondoAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Johaneko LouisjeanAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Marc AguadoAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Pedro BigasAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Buba SangareAnytime scorer26.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Matia BarzicAnytime scorer26.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Victor ChustAnytime scorer26.00 bet365 · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Bambo DiabyAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Kevin LomonacoAnytime scorer29.00 Betfred · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alex BerenguerAssistsover 0.53.90 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Nico WilliamsAssistsover 0.53.90 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Gorka GuruzetaAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Robert NavarroAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Nico SerranoAssistsover 0.54.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Selton SanchezAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Inaki WilliamsAssistsover 0.54.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Oihan SancetAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alvaro DjaloAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Maroan SannadiAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Jesus AresoAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Benat GerenabarrenaAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Inigo Ruiz de GalarretaAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Mikel JauregizarAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 03:13 UTC