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Match board · 2026-08-31

Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano

Barcelona
46.9%
Draw
23.8%
Rayo Vallecano
29.4%
Headline value
+24.7%
Under 3.5 · Goals
xG 1.7 – 1.3Barcelona form WWLWLRayo Vallecano form DLLWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEUnder 3.5GoalsLost2.50+24.7%
VALUEUnder 4.5GoalsLost1.6667+21.5%
VALUEUnder 2.5GoalsLost4.50+20.1%
VALUEUnder 5.5GoalsLost1.2857+13.8%

Player props

Tackles · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Marc Bernalover 0.51.041.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+2.7%
Eric Garciaover 0.51.101.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+0.3%
Florian Lejeuneover 0.51.111.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-0.2%
Andrei Ratiuover 0.51.071.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-0.7%
Oscar Valentinover 0.51.061.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-2.7%
Fermin Lopezover 0.51.151.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-3.0%
Gaviover 0.51.111.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-3.9%
Pathe Cissover 0.51.191.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-7.9%
Pedro Diazover 0.51.291.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 03:13 UTC
-11.7%
Jozhua Vertrouwdover 0.51.491.1333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-21.2%
shots on target (SOT) · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Raphinhaover 0.51.221.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-1.4%
Lamine Yamalover 0.51.281.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-6.7%
Fermin Lopezover 0.51.441.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-7.3%
Anthony Gordonover 0.51.701.35 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-15.1%
Karim Adeyemiover 0.51.821.2632 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-24.1%
Dani Olmoover 0.52.401.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-29.7%
Raphinhaover 1.51.961.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-1.4%
Lamine Yamalover 1.52.241.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-10.0%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultBarcelona win2.131.16 BRS · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-39.4%
ResultDraw4.2112.00 BetVictor · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+15.4%
ResultRayo Vallecano win3.4129.00 Matchbook · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+25.9%
GoalsUnder 3.51.552.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+24.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.231.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+21.5%
GoalsUnder 2.52.364.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+20.1%
GoalsUnder 5.51.091.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+13.8%
GoalsUnder 1.55.0211.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+10.8%
CornersOver 12.52.573.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+6.7%
GoalsUnder 6.51.031.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+5.7%
CornersOver 11.52.052.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+5.4%
CornersOver 12.02.522.90 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+5.2%
CornersOver 10.51.691.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+4.8%
CornersOver 11.02.072.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+3.9%
CornersOver 10.01.701.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+3.4%
GoalsUnder 0.520.0956.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+3.2%
GoalsUnder 7.51.011.04 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+2.7%
CornersUnder 8.53.323.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+2.4%
CornersUnder 9.03.363.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+0.9%
CornersUnder 8.05.115.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+0.5%
CornersUnder 6.58.428.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
CornersUnder 7.55.065.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-0.3%
CornersUnder 7.09.088.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsOver 9.5907.0481.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-1.1%
CornersOver 9.51.571.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-1.5%
CornersUnder 9.52.762.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-2.2%
CornersOver 9.01.551.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-2.2%
GoalsOver 8.5262.9531.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-2.9%
CornersOver 6.51.131.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-4.2%
CornersOver 8.51.431.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-5.1%
GoalsOver 7.584.0015.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-5.2%
CornersOver 7.51.251.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-5.5%
CornersUnder 10.02.792.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-5.9%
CornersOver 7.01.231.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-6.0%
GoalsOver 6.529.849.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-7.8%
CornersOver 8.01.441.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-8.1%
CornersUnder 10.52.462.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-9.3%
CornersUnder 11.02.381.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-10.3%
CornersUnder 12.51.641.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-10.4%
CornersUnder 11.51.961.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-10.8%
CornersUnder 12.01.951.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-12.4%
GoalsOver 1.51.251.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-13.3%
GoalsOver 5.511.924.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-13.8%
GoalsOver 2.51.731.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-20.1%
GoalsOver 4.55.412.55 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-20.7%
GoalsOver 3.52.831.70 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
-23.5%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (62)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

RaphinhaAnytime scorer1.80 Skybet · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Lamine YamalAnytime scorer1.83 BRS · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Toni FernandezAnytime scorer2.00 BetVictor · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Hamza AbdelkarimAnytime scorer2.20 Skybet · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Karim AdeyemiAnytime scorer2.25 Virgin Bet · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Roony BardghjiAnytime scorer2.35 Unibet · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Anthony GordonAnytime scorer2.37 Coral · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Fermin LopezAnytime scorer2.45 Coral · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Dani OlmoAnytime scorer2.62 Coral · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Hector FortAnytime scorer4.00 Betway · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Frenkie de JongAnytime scorer5.00 Unibet · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
GaviAnytime scorer5.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Marc BernalAnytime scorer5.50 Virgin Bet · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
PedriAnytime scorer5.50 Coral · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Brian FarinasAnytime scorer5.90 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Etienne EtooAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Jorge De FrutosAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Raul De TomasAnytime scorer6.10 Virgin Bet · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Alexandre AlemaoAnytime scorer6.49 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Eric GarciaAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Cavaco Joao CanceloAnytime scorer7.27 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Randy NtekaAnytime scorer7.27 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Sergio CamelloAnytime scorer7.27 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Alvaro GarciaAnytime scorer7.50 Virgin Bet · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Alvaro CortesAnytime scorer7.66 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Isi PalazonAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Jordi PesquerAnytime scorer8.25 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Marc CasadoAnytime scorer9.43 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Martin GerardAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Fran PerezAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Jules KoundeAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Pau CubarsiAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Andreas ChristensenAnytime scorer9.82 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Alex BaldeAnytime scorer11.00 William Hill · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Georgiy TsitaishviliAnytime scorer11.80 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Xavi EspartAnytime scorer12.30 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Pedro DiazAnytime scorer12.50 Virgin Bet · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Pathe CissAnytime scorer15.00 Skybet · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Ivan AlonsoAnytime scorer16.20 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Samu BecerraAnytime scorer18.60 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Adria PedrosaAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Andrei RatiuAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Marco RomanAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Luiz FelipeAnytime scorer26.00 bet365 · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Cabrera Unai LopezAnytime scorer29.00 BetVictor · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Florian LejeuneAnytime scorer29.00 BetVictor · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Marash KumbullaAnytime scorer29.00 BetVictor · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Jozhua VertrouwdAnytime scorer36.00 BetVictor · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Oscar ValentinAnytime scorer36.00 BetVictor · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Pelayo FernandezAnytime scorer36.00 BetVictor · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Marco de Las SiasAnytime scorer51.00 BetVictor · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Sergio LozanoAnytime scorer51.00 BetVictor · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Ivan BalliuAnytime scorer61.00 Paddy Power · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Lamine YamalAssistsover 0.52.70 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
RaphinhaAssistsover 0.52.90 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Anthony GordonAssistsover 0.53.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Fermin LopezAssistsover 0.53.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Karim AdeyemiAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Dani OlmoAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
GaviAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Hamza AbdelkarimAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC
Joao CanceloAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-31 09:13 UTC