xOdds
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Match board · 2026-08-20

Rayo Vallecano v Alaves

Rayo Vallecano
37.6%
Draw
29.9%
Alaves
32.5%
Headline value
+20.8%
Sergio Camello · SOT
xG 1.1 – 1Rayo Vallecano form LLWWDAlaves form WLWWD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUESergio Camelloshots on target (SOT)1.75+20.8%

Player props

SOT · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Sergio Camelloover 0.51.281.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+20.8%
Alvaro Garciaover 0.51.931.98 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+1.3%
Isi Palazonover 0.52.011.95 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-1.4%
Lucas Boyeover 0.51.791.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-6.5%
Pablo Ibanezover 0.53.032.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 03:13 UTC
-7.0%
Randy Ntekaover 0.52.071.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-9.6%
Jorge De Frutosover 0.52.191.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-14.3%
Raul De Tomasover 0.52.191.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-16.2%
Mariano Diazover 0.55.782.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-31.5%
Tackles · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Abde Rebbachover 0.51.091.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+5.4%
Florian Lejeuneover 0.51.121.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 03:13 UTC
+2.7%
Andrei Ratiuover 0.51.081.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-1.0%
Oscar Valentinover 0.51.071.04 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-2.8%
Antonio Blancoover 0.51.121.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-3.1%
Pathe Cissover 0.51.251.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-8.9%
Jozhua Vertrouwdover 0.51.271.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-8.9%
Cabrera Unai Lopezover 0.51.331.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-12.4%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultRayo Vallecano win2.662.37 Matchbook · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-4.6%
ResultDraw3.343.15 10bet · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-1.8%
ResultAlaves win3.083.65 Matchbook · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+5.1%
CornersUnder 7.52.704.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+12.1%
CornersUnder 8.02.753.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+9.7%
CornersUnder 6.54.196.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+8.5%
CornersUnder 9.02.212.70 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+8.2%
CornersUnder 8.52.262.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+7.9%
CornersUnder 7.04.266.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+6.8%
CornersUnder 9.51.882.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+5.7%
CornersUnder 11.51.361.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+4.6%
CornersUnder 10.51.571.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+3.7%
CornersUnder 10.01.882.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+3.1%
GoalsUnder 1.52.632.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+2.3%
GoalsUnder 3.51.191.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+2.0%
GoalsUnder 2.51.541.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsUnder 0.58.179.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+1.1%
CornersUnder 12.51.241.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+0.9%
GoalsUnder 4.51.071.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+0.4%
CornersUnder 11.01.611.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
CornersUnder 12.01.371.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsOver 6.5170.5967.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 7.5672.9367.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 4.516.1013.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-1.5%
GoalsOver 5.548.9023.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-2.3%
GoalsOver 3.56.205.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-2.9%
CornersOver 12.55.244.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-4.7%
GoalsOver 2.52.852.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-5.0%
CornersOver 12.05.103.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-7.1%
CornersOver 11.53.823.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-7.1%
CornersOver 10.52.762.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-7.2%
CornersOver 9.52.141.8462 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-7.4%
CornersOver 11.03.672.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-8.5%
CornersOver 8.51.791.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-9.5%
CornersOver 10.02.672.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-10.1%
CornersOver 6.51.311.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-12.8%
CornersOver 9.02.161.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-13.8%
CornersOver 7.51.591.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-14.0%
CornersOver 8.01.831.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-16.7%
CornersOver 7.01.561.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-20 09:13 UTC
-19.3%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.