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Match board · 2026-08-15

Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla
30.5%
Draw
28.9%
Rayo Vallecano
40.6%
Headline value
+15.7%
Under 7.5 · Corners
xG 1 – 1.2Sevilla form LLWWWRayo Vallecano form LWWDD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEUnder 7.5CornersWon3.75+15.7%
VALUEUnder 8.0Corners3.50+14.1%
VALUESergio Camelloshots on target (SOT)Void1.75+13.9%
VALUEUnder 8.5Corners2.625+12.8%

Player props

SOT · 7 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Sergio Camelloover 0.51.411.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+13.9%
Randy Ntekaover 0.51.691.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+4.8%
Isi Palazonover 0.52.142.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+1.3%
Alvaro Garciaover 0.52.011.95 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-1.4%
Jorge De Frutosover 0.52.031.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-3.0%
Raul De Tomasover 0.52.031.85 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-4.7%
Isaac Romeroover 0.53.391.55 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-35.0%
Tackles · 7 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Andrei Ratiuover 0.51.121.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-0.5%
Kike Salasover 0.51.161.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-1.0%
Oscar Valentinover 0.51.081.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-1.9%
Lucien Agoumeover 0.51.101.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-2.7%
Jose Carmonaover 0.51.141.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-3.8%
Julio Diazover 0.51.411.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-14.6%
Manu Buenoover 0.53.971.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-63.7%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultSevilla win3.282.45 Matchbook · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-10.3%
ResultDraw3.463.25 10bet · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-1.8%
ResultRayo Vallecano win2.473.35 Matchbook · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+10.7%
CornersUnder 7.52.363.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+15.7%
CornersUnder 8.02.343.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+14.1%
CornersUnder 8.51.962.625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+12.8%
CornersUnder 6.53.425.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+12.0%
CornersUnder 9.01.932.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+10.2%
CornersUnder 7.03.515.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+8.5%
CornersUnder 9.51.751.95 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+5.9%
CornersUnder 10.51.511.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+3.9%
CornersUnder 11.51.301.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+3.4%
CornersUnder 10.01.741.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+2.8%
CornersUnder 12.51.191.22 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+2.4%
GoalsUnder 2.51.611.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+2.3%
GoalsUnder 1.52.823.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+2.1%
GoalsUnder 3.51.221.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+1.9%
GoalsUnder 0.59.0310.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+1.1%
CornersUnder 11.01.481.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+0.8%
GoalsUnder 4.51.081.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
+0.4%
CornersUnder 12.01.311.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsOver 6.5134.0251.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-1.2%
GoalsOver 7.5505.6767.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 4.513.7911.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-1.8%
GoalsOver 5.540.1420.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-2.5%
GoalsOver 3.55.544.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-3.0%
CornersOver 12.56.394.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-5.2%
GoalsOver 2.52.652.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-5.8%
CornersOver 12.06.094.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-5.8%
CornersOver 11.54.303.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-7.0%
CornersOver 11.04.223.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-7.1%
CornersOver 10.52.982.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-7.2%
CornersOver 10.03.012.375 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-8.9%
CornersOver 9.52.341.875 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-10.5%
CornersOver 9.02.371.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-12.3%
CornersOver 6.51.411.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-15.9%
CornersOver 8.52.041.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-16.2%
CornersOver 7.51.741.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-17.4%
CornersOver 8.02.051.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-17.9%
CornersOver 7.01.741.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-15 09:13 UTC
-22.7%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.