xOdds
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Match board · 2026-08-26

Real Madrid v Real Sociedad

Real Madrid
51.4%
Draw
23.1%
Real Sociedad
25.4%
Headline value
+16.9%
Real Sociedad win · Result
xG 1.8 – 1.2Real Madrid form WWWWLReal Sociedad form LDLDD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEReal Sociedad winResult11.80+16.9%
VALUEOrri Steinn Oskarssonshots on target (SOT)1.7273+16.7%
VALUEMikel OyarzabalSOTWon1.6842+14.4%
VALUEOver 11.5CornersLost2.875+14.4%
VALUEOver 12.5CornersLost4.00+14.3%
VALUEOver 10.5CornersWon2.15+13.9%
VALUEOver 10.0CornersWon2.10+13.4%
VALUEOver 11.0CornersPush2.70+12.7%

Player props

SOT · 6 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Orri Steinn Oskarssonover 0.51.341.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+16.7%
Mikel Oyarzabalover 0.51.351.6842 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+14.4%
Kylian Mbappeover 0.51.061.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+2.4%
Jude Bellinghamover 0.51.421.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+1.2%
Federico Valverdeover 0.51.911.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-2.3%
Kylian Mbappeover 1.51.271.4167 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+8.4%
Tackles · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Eduardo Camavingaover 0.51.041.04 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-0.1%
Jude Bellinghamover 0.51.131.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-0.8%
Jon Aramburuover 0.51.041.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-1.1%
Alvaro Carrerasover 0.51.151.1333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-1.6%
Sergio Gomezover 0.51.101.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-3.1%
Arda Gulerover 0.51.321.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 03:13 UTC
-10.1%
Benat Turrientesover 0.51.271.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-11.4%
Jon Gorrotxategiover 0.51.261.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-12.7%
Aihen Munozover 0.51.291.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-14.4%
Yangel Herreraover 0.51.421.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-23.9%
Jon Aramburuover 1.51.201.1333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-5.2%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultReal Madrid win1.941.30 Matchbook · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-25.5%
ResultDraw4.326.50 BetVictor · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+7.8%
ResultReal Sociedad win3.9311.80 Matchbook · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+16.9%
CornersOver 11.52.032.875 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+14.4%
CornersOver 12.52.544.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+14.3%
CornersOver 10.51.652.15 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+13.9%
CornersOver 10.01.642.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+13.4%
CornersOver 11.02.012.70 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+12.7%
CornersOver 12.02.523.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+11.9%
GoalsUnder 3.51.551.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+10.2%
GoalsUnder 2.52.363.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+10.1%
CornersOver 9.51.501.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+9.0%
GoalsUnder 4.51.231.3529 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+7.6%
CornersOver 9.01.491.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+7.0%
GoalsUnder 1.55.027.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+6.6%
GoalsUnder 5.51.091.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+4.1%
CornersOver 8.51.371.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+3.9%
CornersOver 6.51.091.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+3.2%
GoalsUnder 0.520.0936.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+2.2%
CornersOver 7.51.221.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+2.1%
CornersOver 8.01.371.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsUnder 6.51.031.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+1.4%
CornersOver 7.01.211.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsOver 8.5262.9551.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-1.6%
GoalsOver 7.584.0023.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-3.2%
CornersUnder 7.55.574.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-4.3%
GoalsOver 6.529.8412.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-5.0%
CornersUnder 6.512.597.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-6.3%
CornersUnder 8.53.723.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-6.5%
GoalsOver 5.511.926.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-7.0%
CornersUnder 7.012.486.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-8.7%
GoalsOver 1.51.251.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-8.8%
CornersUnder 8.05.613.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-8.8%
CornersUnder 9.03.742.70 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-10.3%
GoalsOver 4.55.413.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-10.9%
CornersUnder 9.53.022.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-11.3%
GoalsOver 2.51.731.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-13.8%
GoalsOver 3.52.832.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-14.7%
CornersUnder 12.51.651.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-16.2%
CornersUnder 11.51.971.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-17.0%
CornersUnder 10.03.042.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-17.1%
CornersUnder 10.52.531.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-17.6%
CornersUnder 11.02.551.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-20.8%
CornersUnder 12.01.991.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-26 09:13 UTC
-21.2%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.