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Match board · 2026-08-27

Celta Vigo v Osasuna

Celta Vigo
36.8%
Draw
26.4%
Osasuna
36.8%
Headline value
+20.7%
Under 8.5 · Corners
xG 1.3 – 1.3Celta Vigo form DWDWWOsasuna form DLLLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEUnder 8.5CornersWon2.00+20.7%
VALUEUnder 7.5CornersLost2.70+19.8%
VALUEUnder 6.5CornersLost4.00+19.0%
VALUEUnder 9.5CornersWon1.60+18.2%
VALUEUnder 9.0CornersWon1.8333+16.4%
VALUEUnder 8.0CornersPush2.40+15.8%
VALUEUnder 7.0CornersLost3.50+15.1%
VALUEUnder 10.5CornersWon1.35+14.2%
VALUEUnder 10.0CornersWon1.50+13.0%

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 6 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Ante Budimirover 0.51.491.5238 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+1.4%
Williot Swedbergover 0.52.011.7692 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-6.7%
Jones El-Abdellaouiover 0.53.472.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-14.7%
Hugo Alvarezover 0.53.752.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-18.8%
Ferran Jutglaover 0.52.241.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-24.7%
Raul Moroover 0.513.012.95 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 03:13 UTC
-26.2%
Tackles · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Aleix Febasover 0.51.131.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+1.2%
Jon Moncayolaover 0.51.151.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-3.4%
Yoel Lagoover 0.51.311.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-6.8%
Enzo Boyomoover 0.51.241.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-9.2%
Williot Swedbergover 0.51.391.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 03:13 UTC
-9.9%
Javier Galanover 0.51.221.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-10.4%
Abel Bretonesover 0.51.341.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-11.1%
Jorge Herrandoover 0.51.421.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-11.3%
Javier Ruedaover 0.51.341.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-12.9%
Lucas Torroover 0.51.361.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-14.2%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultCelta Vigo win2.722.05 IvyBet · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-12.0%
ResultDraw3.793.40 Skybet · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-3.0%
ResultOsasuna win2.724.33 Matchbook · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+13.7%
CornersUnder 8.51.412.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+20.7%
CornersUnder 7.51.762.70 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+19.8%
CornersUnder 6.52.274.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+19.0%
CornersUnder 9.51.241.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+18.2%
CornersUnder 9.01.411.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+16.4%
CornersUnder 8.01.742.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+15.8%
CornersUnder 7.02.293.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+15.1%
CornersUnder 10.51.131.35 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+14.2%
CornersUnder 10.01.261.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+13.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.081.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+9.1%
CornersUnder 11.01.131.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+8.8%
CornersUnder 12.51.041.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+6.5%
GoalsOver 3.53.794.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+5.3%
GoalsOver 2.52.082.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+4.7%
CornersUnder 12.01.091.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+4.6%
GoalsOver 4.58.1611.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+3.2%
GoalsOver 5.520.3921.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
GoalsOver 6.558.2451.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-0.2%
GoalsOver 7.5187.4867.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsOver 8.5672.5267.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsUnder 0.513.4610.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsUnder 4.51.141.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-4.6%
GoalsUnder 3.51.361.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-6.4%
GoalsUnder 1.53.743.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-6.6%
GoalsUnder 2.51.931.65 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-8.8%
CornersOver 12.025.917.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-9.5%
CornersOver 12.528.657.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-9.8%
CornersOver 11.513.145.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-11.6%
CornersOver 11.014.035.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-12.9%
CornersOver 10.08.213.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-17.2%
CornersOver 10.58.553.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-17.7%
CornersOver 9.55.182.45 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-21.5%
CornersOver 6.51.791.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-21.8%
CornersOver 7.52.321.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-22.1%
CornersOver 9.05.122.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-22.1%
CornersOver 7.02.341.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-23.9%
CornersOver 8.53.411.85 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-24.7%
CornersOver 8.03.391.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-25.1%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.