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Match board · 2026-08-27

Barcelona v Athletic Club

Barcelona
51.4%
Draw
24%
Athletic Club
24.6%
Headline value
+22.3%
Over 12.5 · Corners
xG 1.7 – 1.1Barcelona form WLWLWAthletic Club form LLDLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEOver 12.5CornersWon3.80+22.3%
VALUEOver 11.5CornersWon2.80+19.9%
VALUEOver 12.0CornersWon3.40+17.5%
VALUEUnder 3.5GoalsWon1.9091+16.8%
VALUEOver 11.0CornersWon2.50+16.7%
VALUEUnder 2.5GoalsWon3.20+15.7%
VALUEOver 10.5CornersWon2.10+15.6%
VALUEOver 10.0CornersWon2.00+13.4%
VALUEOver 9.5CornersWon1.6667+12.8%

Player props

Tackles · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Marc Bernalover 0.51.021.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+3.6%
Eric Garciaover 0.51.071.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
Benat Pradosover 0.51.051.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-0.3%
Hugo Rinconover 0.51.101.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-0.8%
Gaviover 0.51.061.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-1.1%
Mikel Jauregizarover 0.51.101.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-2.6%
Adama Boiroover 0.51.221.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-7.9%
Inigo Ruiz de Galarretaover 0.51.181.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-8.4%
Andoni Gorosabelover 0.51.171.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-10.1%
Jesus Aresoover 0.51.261.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-10.6%
Marc Casadoover 0.51.231.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-14.2%
shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Raphinhaover 0.51.221.2143 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-0.6%
Gorka Guruzetaover 0.51.821.7692 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-1.5%
Oihan Sancetover 0.52.272.14 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 03:13 UTC
-2.7%
Inaki Williamsover 0.52.121.95 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-4.0%
Fermin Lopezover 0.51.501.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-4.7%
Lamine Yamalover 0.51.321.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-6.0%
Anthony Gordonover 0.51.611.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-9.3%
Karim Adeyemiover 0.51.831.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-20.4%
Dani Olmoover 0.52.621.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-29.6%
Raphinhaover 1.51.972.0244 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+1.3%
Lamine Yamalover 1.52.412.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-8.5%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultBarcelona win1.951.25 Matchbook · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-28.6%
ResultDraw4.167.27 Matchbook · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+10.3%
ResultAthletic Club win4.0714.20 Matchbook · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+17.5%
CornersOver 12.52.063.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+22.3%
CornersOver 11.51.802.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+19.9%
CornersOver 12.02.133.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+17.5%
GoalsUnder 3.51.451.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+16.8%
CornersOver 11.01.762.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+16.7%
GoalsUnder 2.52.133.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+15.7%
CornersOver 10.51.582.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+15.6%
CornersOver 10.01.582.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+13.4%
CornersOver 9.51.371.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+12.8%
GoalsUnder 4.51.181.375 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+12.0%
CornersOver 9.01.361.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+11.4%
CornersOver 8.51.231.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+10.0%
GoalsUnder 1.54.337.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+9.8%
GoalsUnder 5.51.071.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+7.8%
CornersOver 7.51.121.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+7.7%
CornersOver 8.01.241.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+5.9%
CornersOver 6.51.051.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+5.2%
CornersOver 7.01.111.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+4.1%
GoalsUnder 6.51.031.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+3.4%
GoalsUnder 0.516.4436.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
+3.3%
GoalsOver 8.5411.0551.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-1.7%
GoalsOver 7.5122.9921.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-4.0%
GoalsOver 6.540.9711.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-6.7%
CornersUnder 6.520.757.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-8.5%
GoalsOver 5.515.366.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-10.2%
CornersUnder 7.021.416.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-10.7%
CornersUnder 7.59.524.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-11.2%
CornersUnder 8.09.284.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-12.3%
CornersUnder 8.55.383.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-13.7%
CornersUnder 9.53.672.35 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-15.3%
GoalsOver 4.56.563.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-15.5%
CornersUnder 9.05.542.875 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-16.7%
CornersUnder 10.52.721.8462 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-17.4%
CornersUnder 10.03.712.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-18.5%
GoalsOver 3.53.252.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-19.2%
GoalsOver 2.51.881.375 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-19.7%
CornersUnder 11.52.251.5455 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-20.3%
CornersUnder 11.02.741.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-21.3%
CornersUnder 12.51.951.3529 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-22.5%
CornersUnder 12.02.251.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-08-27 09:13 UTC
-24.8%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.