xOdds
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Match board · 2026-08-19

Atletico Madrid v Malaga

Atletico Madrid
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Draw
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Malaga
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Headline value
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xG 0 – 0Atletico Madrid form WLWWL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

Tackles · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Johnny Cardosoover 0.51.051.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-19 09:13 UTC
+1.5%
Matteo Ruggeriover 0.51.121.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-19 09:13 UTC
-3.1%
Jorge Kokeover 0.51.151.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-19 09:13 UTC
-3.8%
David Hanckoover 0.51.191.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-19 09:13 UTC
-4.9%
David Larrubiaover 0.51.191.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-19 09:13 UTC
-7.0%
Jose Salinasover 0.51.251.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-19 03:13 UTC
-8.9%
Pablo Arriazaover 0.51.231.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-19 09:13 UTC
-9.7%
Carlos Pugaover 0.51.171.04 Oddschecker · 2026-08-19 09:13 UTC
-10.4%
shots on target (SOT) · 3 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Carlos Martinover 0.53.102.55 Oddschecker · 2026-08-18 03:13 UTC
-6.9%
David Larrubiaover 0.55.062.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-19 09:13 UTC
-20.3%
Carlos Martinover 1.516.982.625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-18 03:13 UTC
-32.2%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Result — model coming. Fair + edge light up when the inputs are available.
Goals — model coming. Fair + edge light up when the inputs are available.