xOdds
World Cup · Match board

Netherlands v Morocco

Netherlands
28.6%
Draw
24.7%
Morocco
46.7%
Headline value
+21.5%
Ayoub El Kaabi · SOT
xG 1.21.6Netherlands form DWDWWMorocco form WDWWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). No match-result price captured — edge shown where a price exists.

← Classic projections view

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edge
CornersUnder 6.52.914.80 Oddschecker
+13.6%
CornersUnder 7.52.293.10 Oddschecker
+11.4%
GoalsOver 2.51.882.30 Oddschecker
+9.6%
CornersUnder 7.03.074.33 Oddschecker
+9.5%
CornersUnder 8.51.862.25 Oddschecker
+9.3%
CornersUnder 8.02.282.88 Oddschecker
+9.1%
GoalsOver 3.53.254.20 Oddschecker
+7.0%
CornersUnder 9.01.852.10 Oddschecker
+6.4%
CornersUnder 9.51.581.75 Oddschecker
+6.1%
CornersUnder 10.01.561.67 Oddschecker
+4.3%
GoalsOver 4.56.569.00 Oddschecker
+4.1%
CornersOver 11.54.515.20 Oddschecker
+2.9%
CornersOver 12.56.307.50 Oddschecker
+2.5%
CornersUnder 10.51.391.44 Oddschecker
+2.5%
CornersOver 11.04.585.00 Oddschecker
+1.8%
GoalsOver 5.515.3621.00 Oddschecker
+1.8%
CornersOver 12.06.847.50 Oddschecker
+1.3%
GoalsOver 6.540.9751.00 Oddschecker
+0.5%
CornersUnder 11.51.291.28 Oddschecker
-0.3%
GoalsOver 7.5122.9981.00 Oddschecker
-0.4%
CornersOver 10.03.503.40 Oddschecker
-0.8%
CornersOver 10.53.543.40 Oddschecker
-1.2%
GoalsOver 8.5411.0567.00 Oddschecker
-1.3%
CornersUnder 11.01.391.36 Oddschecker
-1.6%
CornersUnder 12.51.191.17 Oddschecker
-1.6%
CornersOver 9.52.722.55 Oddschecker
-2.4%
CornersUnder 12.01.281.22 Oddschecker
-3.4%
GoalsUnder 0.516.4410.00 Oddschecker
-3.9%
CornersOver 8.52.161.95 Oddschecker
-5.0%
CornersOver 9.02.772.40 Oddschecker
-5.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.181.10 Oddschecker
-6.1%
CornersOver 7.51.771.60 Oddschecker
-6.2%
GoalsUnder 1.54.333.20 Oddschecker
-8.1%
CornersOver 8.02.171.83 Oddschecker
-8.4%
GoalsUnder 3.51.451.29 Oddschecker
-8.6%
CornersOver 6.51.521.33 Oddschecker
-9.4%
GoalsUnder 2.52.131.75 Oddschecker
-10.2%
CornersOver 7.01.741.44 Oddschecker
-11.9%
ResultNetherlands win3.49 no price
ResultDraw4.05 no price
ResultMorocco win2.14 no price
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.

Player props

SOT · 7 lines
Ayoub El Kaabi o0.51.311.83 Oddschecker
+21.5%
Donyell Malen o0.51.371.70 Oddschecker
+14.2%
Ismael Saibari o0.51.561.80 Oddschecker
+8.7%
Cody Gakpo o0.51.641.53 Oddschecker
-4.3%
Brian Brobbey o0.51.701.50 Oddschecker
-7.7%
Guus Til o0.52.761.73 Oddschecker
-21.7%
Justin Kluivert o0.53.971.83 Oddschecker
-29.4%
Tackles · 19 lines
Samir El Mourabet o0.51.071.08 Oddschecker
+1.4%
Anass Saleh-Eddine o0.51.071.07 Oddschecker
+0.3%
Gessime Yassine o0.51.041.04 Oddschecker
+0.2%
Quinten Timber o0.51.121.11 Oddschecker
-1.0%
Marten De Roon o0.51.111.08 Oddschecker
-2.3%
Mats Wieffer o0.51.101.06 Oddschecker
-2.9%
Neil El Aynaoui o0.51.121.06 Oddschecker
-4.5%
Frenkie de Jong o0.51.151.07 Oddschecker
-6.7%
Jorrel Hato o0.51.211.10 Oddschecker
-8.1%
Noussair Mazraoui o0.51.151.05 Oddschecker
-8.1%
Ayyoub Bouaddi o0.51.141.04 Oddschecker
-8.5%
Ryan Gravenberch o0.51.251.11 Oddschecker
-9.8%
Youssef Belammari o0.51.241.07 Oddschecker
-12.5%
Achraf Hakimi o0.51.251.07 Oddschecker
-13.1%
Bilal El Khannous o0.51.251.07 Oddschecker
-13.5%
Sofyan Amrabat o0.51.301.07 Oddschecker
-16.6%
Denzel Dumfries o0.51.411.09 Oddschecker
-20.9%
Micky van de Ven o0.51.441.09 Oddschecker
-22.1%
Ismael Saibari o0.51.601.07 Oddschecker
-30.9%

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥13%

VALUEAyoub El Kaabi SOT1.83+21.5%
VALUEDonyell Malen SOT1.70+14.2%
VALUEUnder 6.5 Corners4.80+13.6%