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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-25

Manchester United v Bournemouth

Manchester United
30%
Draw
22.9%
Bournemouth
47%
Headline value
—
xG 1.4 – 1.8Manchester United form DLDDLBournemouth form WLLDD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 13 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Marcus Tavernierover 0.51.461.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+10.8%
Justin Kluivertover 0.51.541.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+7.1%
Benjamin Seskoover 0.51.311.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-1.5%
Matheus Cunhaover 0.51.531.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-6.1%
Alvaro Rodriguezover 0.51.651.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-6.1%
Bryan Mbeumoover 0.51.521.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-9.3%
Amad Dialloover 0.52.031.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-10.7%
Bruno Fernandesover 0.51.751.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-12.0%
Marcus Rashfordover 0.51.791.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-13.3%
Evanilsonover 0.52.271.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-13.9%
Amine Adliover 0.52.761.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-18.3%
David Brooksover 0.53.031.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-21.6%
Joshua Zirkzeeover 0.52.071.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-25.0%
Tackles · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Patrick Dorguover 0.51.051.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+1.4%
Luke Shawover 0.51.161.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+0.8%
Juanlu Sanchezover 0.51.091.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.2%
Veljko Milosavljevicover 0.51.211.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-4.7%
Youri Tielemansover 0.51.161.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-6.1%
Tyler Adamsover 0.51.161.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-7.1%
Noussair Mazraouiover 0.51.141.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-7.7%
Alex Scottover 0.51.231.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-9.6%
Leny Yoroover 0.51.251.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-12.5%
Ryan Christieover 0.51.381.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-15.0%
Lewis Cookover 0.51.371.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-16.1%
Diogo Dalotover 0.51.321.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-17.8%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultManchester United win3.33—no price—
ResultDraw4.364.00 Betfred · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-2.1%
ResultBournemouth win2.134.04 Matchbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+22.3%
CornersUnder 10.51.731.85 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+3.7%
GoalsOver 2.51.611.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+0.1%
CornersUnder 7.54.504.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
0.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.501.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
0.0%
CornersOver 12.53.633.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.2%
GoalsOver 3.52.522.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsOver 4.54.564.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.3%
CornersOver 8.51.411.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsOver 1.51.211.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsOver 5.59.499.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsOver 8.5175.0081.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsOver 7.559.4241.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsUnder 7.51.021.0067 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsOver 0.51.041.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsOver 6.522.4117.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-1.4%
GoalsUnder 0.524.5317.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-1.8%
GoalsUnder 6.51.051.025 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-2.0%
GoalsUnder 1.55.845.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-2.1%
CornersUnder 9.52.392.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-2.7%
CornersOver 11.53.002.7647 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-2.8%
GoalsUnder 5.51.121.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-2.9%
CornersOver 9.51.721.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-3.3%
CornersUnder 8.53.463.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-3.4%
GoalsUnder 3.51.661.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-3.4%
GoalsUnder 2.52.632.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-3.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.281.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-3.8%
CornersUnder 12.51.381.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-4.5%
CornersUnder 11.01.731.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-5.4%
CornersOver 10.52.372.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-5.4%
CornersOver 7.51.291.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-6.8%
CornersUnder 9.03.462.6552 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-8.8%
CornersUnder 10.02.391.975 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-8.9%
CornersOver 11.03.002.3158 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-9.8%
CornersOver 9.01.721.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-10.5%
CornersOver 10.02.371.7857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-13.8%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (63)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Benjamin SeskoAnytime scorer2.375 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Bryan MbeumoAnytime scorer2.80 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Santos Matheus CunhaAnytime scorer2.90 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Joshua ZirkzeeAnytime scorer3.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Bruno FernandesAnytime scorer3.25 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Marcus RashfordAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
EvanilsonAnytime scorer3.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Daniel JebbisonAnytime scorer3.80 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Alvaro RodriguezAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Patrick DorguAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Amad DialloAnytime scorer4.33 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Rayan VitorAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Shea LaceyAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
David BrooksAnytime scorer4.60 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Marcus TavernierAnytime scorer4.60 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Justin KluivertAnytime scorer4.80 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Amine AdliAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Ben DoakAnytime scorer5.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Mason MountAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Youri TielemansAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Tyler FletcherAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Andrey SantosAnytime scorer7.50 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Kobbie MainooAnytime scorer7.50 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Alex ScottAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Carlos BalebaAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Harry AmassAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Ryan ChristieAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Matthijs de LigtAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Diogo DalotAnytime scorer9.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Alex TothAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Daniel ArmerAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Harry MaguireAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Juanlu SanchezAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Ayden HeavenAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Lewis CookAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Bafode DiakiteAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Leny YoroAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Lisandro MartinezAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Luke ShawAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Noussair MazraouiAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Tyler AdamsAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Veljko MilosavljevicAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Adrien TruffertAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Antonio SilvaAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
James HillAnytime scorer15.00 Betfred · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Adam SmithAnytime scorer17.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Julio SolerAnytime scorer17.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Bruno FernandesAssistsover 0.53.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Marcus RashfordAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Matheus CunhaAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Amad DialloAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Bryan MbeumoAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Youri TielemansAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Alex TothAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Alvaro RodriguezAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
David BrooksAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Justin KluivertAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Amine AdliAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Daniel JebbisonAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Marcus TavernierAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Ryan ChristieAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Ben DoakAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Joshua ZirkzeeAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC