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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-25

Liverpool v Brighton

Liverpool
31.7%
Draw
20.9%
Brighton
47.4%
Headline value
—
xG 1.7 – 2.1Liverpool form WWWLWBrighton form WWWWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Jack Hinshelwoodover 0.51.462.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+20.7%
Promise Davidover 0.51.641.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+6.4%
Victor Munozover 0.51.641.55 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-3.6%
Alexander Isakover 0.51.561.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-4.9%
Bradley Barcolaover 0.51.771.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-7.2%
Florian Wirtzover 0.52.301.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-11.1%
Cody Gakpoover 0.52.051.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-11.2%
Rio Ngumohaover 0.56.761.85 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-39.3%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultLiverpool win3.162.16 Matchbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-14.6%
ResultDraw4.784.00 Betfred · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-4.1%
ResultBrighton win2.113.25 Matchbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+16.6%
GoalsOver 3.51.902.45 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+11.8%
GoalsOver 4.53.014.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+11.0%
GoalsOver 2.51.371.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+9.5%
CornersOver 9.51.461.6842 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+9.1%
CornersOver 11.52.232.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+8.5%
CornersOver 12.52.883.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+8.3%
CornersOver 8.51.291.4167 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+6.8%
GoalsOver 5.55.428.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+6.7%
CornersOver 10.51.862.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+6.2%
CornersOver 7.51.141.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+4.7%
GoalsOver 1.51.121.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+4.7%
GoalsOver 6.511.0017.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+3.2%
CornersOver 11.02.232.3889 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+3.0%
GoalsOver 7.524.9341.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+1.6%
CornersOver 9.01.461.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+0.7%
GoalsOver 8.562.5681.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+0.4%
CornersOver 10.01.861.8462 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsUnder 0.544.7017.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-3.6%
GoalsUnder 6.51.101.025 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-6.7%
GoalsUnder 1.59.315.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-8.5%
GoalsUnder 5.51.231.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-10.8%
CornersUnder 7.58.334.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-11.1%
CornersUnder 8.54.412.90 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-11.8%
CornersUnder 10.52.161.7222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-11.8%
CornersUnder 12.51.531.2727 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-13.2%
CornersUnder 11.51.811.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-13.6%
GoalsUnder 2.53.722.45 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-13.9%
CornersUnder 9.53.172.15 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-15.0%
GoalsUnder 4.51.501.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-15.0%
GoalsUnder 3.52.111.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-15.8%
CornersUnder 9.04.412.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-16.2%
CornersUnder 11.02.161.5455 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-18.5%
CornersUnder 10.03.171.9167 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-20.6%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (60)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Alexander IsakAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Charalampos KostoulasAnytime scorer3.00 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Lewis KoumasAnytime scorer3.20 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Joshua Sonni-LambieAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Promise DavidAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Bradley BarcolaAnytime scorer3.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Cody GakpoAnytime scorer3.50 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Jayden DannsAnytime scorer3.50 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Georginio RutterAnytime scorer3.60 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Shane NtiAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Rio NgumohaAnytime scorer4.40 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Federico ChiesaAnytime scorer4.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Victor MunozAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Younes IbrahimAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Florian WirtzAnytime scorer4.60 William Hill · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Diego GomezAnytime scorer4.80 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Dominik SzoboszlaiAnytime scorer5.00 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Ibrahim OsmanAnytime scorer5.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Jack HinshelwoodAnytime scorer5.00 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Matt ORileyAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Zadok YohannaAnytime scorer5.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Malick YalcouyeAnytime scorer6.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Maxim De CuyperAnytime scorer6.00 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Yasin AyariAnytime scorer6.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Alexis Mac AllisterAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Pascal GrossAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
James McConnellAnytime scorer7.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Ryan GravenberchAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Trey NyoniAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Jeremie FrimpongAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Luka VuskovicAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Chema AndresAnytime scorer11.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Virgil van DijkAnytime scorer12.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Ferdi KadiogluAnytime scorer13.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Jaouen HadjamAnytime scorer13.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Ronald AraujoAnytime scorer13.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Joao Pedro CostinhaAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Milos KerkezAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Pascal StruijkAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Jeremy JacquetAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Konstantinos TsimikasAnytime scorer17.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Lewis DunkAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Luke ChambersAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Wataru EndoAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Michael SvobodaAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Olivier BoscagliAnytime scorer19.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Joe GomezAnytime scorer20.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Florian WirtzAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Shane NtiAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
James McConnellAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Federico ChiesaAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Bradley BarcolaAssistsover 0.54.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Cody GakpoAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Joshua Sonni-LambieAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Matt ORileyAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Rio NgumohaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Victor MunozAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Jayden DannsAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Maxim De CuyperAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Pascal GrossAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC