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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-23

Ipswich v Nottingham Forest

Ipswich
28.4%
Draw
22.3%
Nottingham Forest
49.3%
Headline value
—
xG 1.4 – 1.9Ipswich form LWLWLNottingham Forest form LLLWD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

Tackles · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Luca Netzover 0.51.071.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+2.9%
Xaver Schlagerover 0.51.051.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+1.6%
Ola Ainaover 0.51.121.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+0.6%
Ibrahim Sangareover 0.51.071.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-1.6%
Daniel Munozover 0.51.111.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-3.3%
Neco Williamsover 0.51.121.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-3.7%
James McAteeover 0.51.271.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-4.3%
Cedric Kipreover 0.52.011.2143 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-32.5%
Ryan Yatesover 0.51.751.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-33.7%
Nicolas Dominguezover 1.51.471.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-14.0%
shots on target (SOT) · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Dan Ndoyeover 0.51.691.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.7%
Morgan Gibbs-Whiteover 0.51.801.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-9.7%
Arnaud Kalimuendoover 0.51.701.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-10.3%
Igor Jesusover 0.51.621.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-11.6%
Julio Encisoover 0.52.071.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-15.3%
Callum Hudson-Odoiover 0.52.541.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-16.2%
Chris Woodover 0.51.881.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-20.1%
Daizen Maedaover 0.52.581.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-21.3%
Liam Delapover 0.52.241.45 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-24.4%
Zian Flemmingover 0.51.971.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-26.9%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultIpswich win3.523.20 Matchbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-2.8%
ResultDraw4.483.60 Skybet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-5.5%
ResultNottingham Forest win2.032.39 Matchbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+7.4%
GoalsOver 3.52.382.90 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+7.5%
GoalsOver 2.51.561.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+6.2%
GoalsOver 4.54.215.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+5.6%
GoalsOver 1.51.191.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+4.1%
GoalsOver 5.58.5411.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+2.6%
GoalsOver 6.519.6226.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+1.3%
GoalsOver 7.550.5651.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+0.0%
GoalsOver 8.5144.68101.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsUnder 0.527.1113.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-4.0%
GoalsUnder 5.51.131.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-5.8%
GoalsUnder 1.56.314.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-7.2%
GoalsUnder 4.51.311.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-9.4%
GoalsUnder 3.51.721.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-10.7%
GoalsUnder 2.52.782.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-11.7%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (61)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Chris WoodAnytime scorer2.75 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Liam DelapAnytime scorer2.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Igor JesusAnytime scorer3.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Arnaud KalimuendoAnytime scorer3.10 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Zian FlemmingAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Emersonn SilvaAnytime scorer3.30 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteAnytime scorer3.30 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Chuba AkpomAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Anis MehmetiAnytime scorer3.60 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Jack ClarkeAnytime scorer3.90 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Callum Hudson-OdoiAnytime scorer4.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Julio EncisoAnytime scorer4.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Sindre WalleAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Daizen MaedaAnytime scorer4.20 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Dan NdoyeAnytime scorer4.20 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Jaden Philogene-BidaceAnytime scorer4.20 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Kasey McAteerAnytime scorer4.75 BetVictor · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Issahaku FatawuAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Marcelino NunezAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
James McAteeAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Nicolas DominguezAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Daniel MunozAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Ryan YatesAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Ibrahim SangareAnytime scorer9.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Neco WilliamsAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Exequiel PalaciosAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Sasa LukicAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Xaver SchlagerAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Abdoul OuattaraAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Luis FlorentinoAnytime scorer11.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Cedric KipreAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Murillo dos SantosAnytime scorer12.00 Betfred · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Dara OSheaAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Jair CunhaAnytime scorer13.00 Betfred · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Leif DavisAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Luca NetzAnytime scorer13.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Nikola MilenkovicAnytime scorer13.00 Betfred · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Ousmane DiomandeAnytime scorer13.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Ola AinaAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Azor MatusiwaAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Darnell FurlongAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Issa DiopAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Jacob GreavesAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Dan NdoyeAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Callum Hudson-OdoiAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Daniel MunozAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Jack ClarkeAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
James McAteeAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Julio EncisoAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Luca NetzAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Zian FlemmingAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC
Anis MehmetiAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Arnaud KalimuendoAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC
Issahaku FatawuAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC
Jaden Philogene-BidaceAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC
Sindre WalleAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC
Daizen MaedaAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Kasey McAteerAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Liam DelapAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Neco WilliamsAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 05:43 UTC