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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-25

Hull City v Brentford

Hull City
25.2%
Draw
26%
Brentford
48.8%
Headline value
—
xG 1 – 1.5Hull City form LDLDDBrentford form LDWDD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

Tackles · 7 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Mohamed Belloumiover 0.51.041.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+5.9%
Timothy Iroegbunamover 0.51.041.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+2.9%
Mamadou Sangareover 0.51.081.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+1.6%
Mikkel Damsgaardover 0.51.151.1333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-1.2%
Regan Slaterover 0.51.141.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-3.9%
Christos Mouzakitisover 0.51.361.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-13.9%
Brooke Norton-Cuffyover 0.51.861.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-33.8%
shots on target (SOT) · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Mohamed Belloumiover 0.51.791.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+1.4%
Mikkel Damsgaardover 0.52.862.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-5.1%
Kevin Schadeover 0.51.691.55 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-5.2%
Keane Lewis-Potterover 0.52.582.15 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-7.8%
Jaidon Anthonyover 0.52.071.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-8.8%
Igor Thiagoover 0.51.751.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-11.5%
Callum Wilsonover 0.51.951.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-25.6%
Oliver McBurnieover 0.53.161.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-26.3%
Sorba Thomasover 0.520.502.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-38.6%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultHull City win3.96—no price—
ResultDraw3.854.20 Coral · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+2.2%
ResultBrentford win2.051.74 Matchbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-8.7%
CornersUnder 6.52.846.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+19.9%
CornersUnder 7.52.394.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+19.7%
CornersUnder 10.51.331.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+17.3%
CornersUnder 8.51.942.875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+16.7%
CornersUnder 9.51.592.1176 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+15.6%
CornersUnder 11.51.221.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+13.2%
GoalsUnder 3.51.321.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+9.1%
CornersUnder 12.51.141.2727 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+9.0%
GoalsUnder 2.51.842.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+8.9%
GoalsUnder 1.53.484.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+6.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.121.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+5.8%
GoalsUnder 5.51.041.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+2.5%
GoalsUnder 0.512.1817.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
+2.3%
GoalsOver 8.5877.0081.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsOver 7.5235.4851.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-1.5%
GoalsOver 6.570.4921.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsOver 5.523.8010.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-5.8%
GoalsOver 4.59.195.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-9.1%
GoalsOver 1.51.401.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-10.5%
GoalsOver 3.54.132.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-12.1%
CornersOver 12.58.084.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-12.6%
GoalsOver 2.52.191.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-14.4%
CornersOver 11.55.532.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-17.6%
CornersOver 8.52.061.45 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-20.4%
CornersOver 9.52.691.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-20.8%
CornersOver 10.54.042.15 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-21.8%
CornersOver 7.51.721.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-21.9%
CornersOver 6.51.541.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
-24.1%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (55)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Igor ThiagoAnytime scorer2.15 Betfred · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Callum WilsonAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Kevin SchadeAnytime scorer3.10 Coral · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Jaidon AnthonyAnytime scorer3.50 Coral · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Oliver McBurnieAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Gustavo Nunes GomesAnytime scorer3.80 Unibet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Dango OuattaraAnytime scorer4.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Fabio CarvalhoAnytime scorer4.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Robinio VazAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Joe GelhardtAnytime scorer4.33 AK Bets · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Mohamed BelloumiAnytime scorer4.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Mohamed-Ali ChoAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Mikkel DamsgaardAnytime scorer5.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Keane Lewis-PotterAnytime scorer5.50 Coral · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Elliot StroudAnytime scorer6.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Sorba ThomasAnytime scorer6.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Abdulkadir OmurAnytime scorer7.00 Unibet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Mamadou SangareAnytime scorer7.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Vitaly JaneltAnytime scorer7.00 Unibet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Yegor YarmolyukAnytime scorer7.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Jens Hjerto-DahlAnytime scorer7.50 QuinnBet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Mathias JensenAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Oscar ZambranoAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
El Hadji DioufAnytime scorer8.25 IvyBet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Matt CrooksAnytime scorer8.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Hidemasa MoritaAnytime scorer10.50 Betfred · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Nobel MendyAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Regan SlaterAnytime scorer12.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Nathan CollinsAnytime scorer13.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Paddy McNairAnytime scorer13.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Timothy IroegbunamAnytime scorer13.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Jannik SchusterAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Matt TargettAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Michael KayodeAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Semi AjayiAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Aaron HickeyAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Benjamin FredrickAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
John EganAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Kristoffer AjerAnytime scorer17.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Lucas Gourna-DouathAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Rico HenryAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Sepp van den BergAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Christos MouzakitisAnytime scorer19.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Lucas HerringtonAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Ryan GilesAnytime scorer19.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Brooke Norton-CuffyAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Lewie CoyleAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Mikkel DamsgaardAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Sorba ThomasAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Jaidon AnthonyAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Keane Lewis-PotterAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Kevin SchadeAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Callum WilsonAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Igor ThiagoAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC
Mathias JensenAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 12:43 UTC