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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-24

Chelsea v Tottenham

Chelsea
43.8%
Draw
26.6%
Tottenham
29.6%
Headline value
—
xG 1.4 – 1.1Chelsea form WWLDLTottenham form WDLDD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

Tackles · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Valentin Barcoover 0.51.091.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+6.3%
Josh Acheampongover 0.51.071.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+2.8%
Pep Chavarriaover 0.51.161.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-4.0%
Marco Palestraover 0.51.211.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-6.1%
Conor Gallagherover 0.51.171.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-8.0%
Jorrel Hatoover 0.51.171.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-8.0%
Malo Gustoover 0.51.161.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-8.8%
Romeo Laviaover 0.51.241.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-14.4%
shots on target (SOT) · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Geovany Quendaover 0.51.822.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+5.1%
Mathys Telover 0.52.242.15 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-1.9%
Dominic Solankeover 0.51.851.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-3.0%
Omar Marmoushover 0.52.031.85 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-4.7%
Joao Pedroover 0.51.501.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-8.3%
Pedro Netoover 0.51.951.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-8.7%
Estevaoover 0.51.761.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-9.8%
Cole Palmerover 0.51.691.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-12.1%
Morgan Rogersover 0.51.971.55 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-13.7%
Danny Welbeckover 0.51.731.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-15.7%
Mohammed Kudusover 0.54.522.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-17.9%
Valentin Barcoover 0.53.652.15 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-19.1%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultChelsea win2.281.74 Matchbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-13.7%
ResultDraw3.754.43 Matchbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+4.1%
ResultTottenham win3.384.75 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+8.5%
GoalsUnder 2.51.842.55 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+15.2%
GoalsUnder 3.51.321.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+13.9%
GoalsUnder 1.53.485.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+10.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.121.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+9.1%
CornersOver 12.52.653.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+5.5%
GoalsUnder 5.51.041.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+4.9%
CornersOver 11.52.162.35 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+3.7%
GoalsUnder 0.512.1819.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+2.9%
CornersOver 10.51.801.90 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+2.9%
GoalsUnder 6.51.011.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+1.5%
CornersUnder 6.56.627.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+0.8%
CornersUnder 8.53.573.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
+0.2%
CornersUnder 7.54.794.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-0.2%
CornersOver 9.51.611.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 8.5877.0081.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-1.1%
CornersUnder 9.52.652.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-1.7%
CornersOver 8.51.391.3529 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-1.9%
GoalsOver 7.5235.4834.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-2.5%
CornersOver 11.02.162.0244 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-3.2%
GoalsOver 6.570.4917.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-4.5%
CornersUnder 10.52.252.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-5.6%
CornersUnder 10.02.652.2632 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-6.4%
CornersOver 10.01.801.6111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-6.5%
CornersOver 7.51.261.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-7.6%
CornersUnder 11.51.861.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-8.1%
GoalsOver 5.523.808.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-8.3%
CornersUnder 12.51.611.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-9.2%
CornersOver 6.51.181.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-9.2%
CornersUnder 11.02.251.7647 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-12.2%
GoalsOver 4.59.194.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-12.9%
GoalsOver 1.51.401.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-14.4%
GoalsOver 3.54.132.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-17.9%
GoalsOver 2.52.191.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
-19.6%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (54)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

de Jesus Joao PedroAnytime scorer2.10 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Danny WelbeckAnytime scorer2.375 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Cole PalmerAnytime scorer2.70 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Morgan RogersAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
EstevaoAnytime scorer3.25 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Dominic SolankeAnytime scorer3.75 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Jamie Bynoe-GittensAnytime scorer3.75 BetVictor · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Geovany QuendaAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Pedro netoAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Omar MarmoushAnytime scorer4.3333 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Mathys TelAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
James MaddisonAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Dejan KulusevskiAnytime scorer6.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Mohammed KudusAnytime scorer6.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Reece JamesAnytime scorer6.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
de Oliveira SavioAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Valentin BarcoAnytime scorer7.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Conor GallagherAnytime scorer7.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Lucas BergvallAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Mateus FernandesAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Jordan HendersonAnytime scorer9.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo BentancurAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Sandro TonaliAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Mahdi Nicoll-JazuliAnytime scorer10.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Moises CaicedoAnytime scorer11.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Romeo LaviaAnytime scorer11.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Maxence LacroixAnytime scorer12.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Jan Paul van HeckeAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Jorrel HatoAnytime scorer13.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Pedro PorroAnytime scorer13.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Pep ChavarriaAnytime scorer13.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Mickey van de VenAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Malo GustoAnytime scorer15.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Marco PalestraAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Archie GrayAnytime scorer17.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Josh AcheampongAnytime scorer18.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Andrew RobertsonAnytime scorer19.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Levi ColwillAnytime scorer19.00 Betfred · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Wesley FofanaAnytime scorer19.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Ben DaviesAnytime scorer21.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Marcos SenesiAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Tosin AdarabioyoAnytime scorer26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Destiny UdogieAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Geovany QuendaAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
EstevaoAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Cole PalmerAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Morgan RogersAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Pedro NetoAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Joao PedroAssistsover 0.54.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Valentin BarcoAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Mahdi Nicoll-JazuliAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Marco PalestraAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Mohammed KudusAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC
Pep ChavarriaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-21 05:43 UTC