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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-18

Nottingham Forest v Arsenal

Nottingham Forest
32.3%
Draw
22.8%
Arsenal
44.9%
Headline value
—
xG 1.5 – 1.8Nottingham Forest form LLWDDArsenal form WWLWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 13 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Kai Havertzover 0.51.521.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+7.8%
Dan Ndoyeover 0.51.902.15 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+6.3%
Bukayo Sakaover 0.51.321.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+4.4%
Mikel Merinoover 0.51.861.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-0.9%
Martin Odegaardover 0.52.192.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-4.3%
Viktor Gyokeresover 0.51.821.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-4.9%
Eberechi Ezeover 0.51.991.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-5.2%
Arnaud Kalimuendoover 0.51.991.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-5.2%
Morgan Gibbs-Whiteover 0.52.191.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-8.9%
Callum Hudson-Odoiover 0.53.102.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-9.8%
Chris Woodover 0.52.191.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-16.2%
Liam Delapover 0.53.031.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-19.4%
Noni Maduekeover 0.53.101.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-22.3%
Tackles · 13 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Luca Netzover 0.51.081.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+1.9%
Declan Riceover 0.51.161.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+0.3%
Xaver Schlagerover 0.51.081.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-3.0%
Ibrahim Sangareover 0.51.081.04 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-3.2%
Bruno Guimaraesover 0.51.131.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-4.2%
Nicolas Dominguezover 0.51.081.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-4.6%
Neco Williamsover 0.51.111.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-5.4%
Ola Ainaover 0.51.171.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-5.4%
Daniel Munozover 0.51.141.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-7.4%
Ben Whiteover 0.51.271.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-8.5%
James McAteeover 0.51.321.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-9.9%
Ryan Yatesover 0.51.691.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-31.6%
Nicolas Dominguezover 1.51.371.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-12.6%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultNottingham Forest win3.096.49 Matchbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+16.9%
ResultDraw4.394.10 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-1.6%
ResultArsenal win2.231.62 Matchbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-16.8%
GoalsOver 3.52.383.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+12.6%
GoalsOver 2.51.561.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+11.7%
GoalsOver 4.54.217.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+9.5%
GoalsOver 5.58.5413.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+4.0%
CornersOver 7.51.291.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+4.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.251.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+3.1%
GoalsOver 6.519.6234.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+2.2%
CornersUnder 12.51.151.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+1.4%
CornersOver 6.51.171.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+0.7%
CornersOver 8.51.611.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+0.7%
GoalsOver 7.550.5667.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
+0.5%
GoalsOver 8.5144.68101.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-0.3%
CornersOver 9.52.062.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-0.3%
CornersUnder 10.51.511.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-0.4%
CornersOver 10.52.962.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-3.3%
CornersUnder 9.51.941.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-4.0%
GoalsUnder 0.527.1111.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-5.4%
CornersOver 11.55.003.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-6.3%
CornersUnder 6.56.824.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-6.4%
CornersOver 8.01.611.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-6.5%
CornersUnder 8.52.652.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-6.7%
CornersOver 9.02.061.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-7.1%
CornersOver 10.02.962.3448 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-8.9%
CornersOver 12.57.764.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-9.3%
CornersUnder 7.54.413.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-9.6%
GoalsUnder 1.56.313.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-10.8%
CornersUnder 10.01.941.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-12.1%
GoalsUnder 4.51.311.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-12.6%
CornersUnder 9.02.651.9655 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-13.1%
CornersUnder 8.04.412.6552 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-15.0%
GoalsUnder 3.51.721.35 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-16.0%
GoalsUnder 2.52.781.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
-16.4%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (56)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Kai HavertzAnytime scorer2.62 Coral · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Viktor GyokeresAnytime scorer2.625 Skybet · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Bukayo SakaAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Christos TzolisAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Max DowmanAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Ceadach ONeillAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Eberechi EzeAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Noni MaduekeAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Chris WoodAnytime scorer4.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Mikel MerinoAnytime scorer4.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Igor JesusAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Liam DelapAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteAnytime scorer4.75 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Arnaud KalimuendoAnytime scorer5.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Martin OdegaardAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Theo JulienneAnytime scorer5.75 Unibet · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Maalik HashiAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Moura Bruno GuimaraesAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Dan NdoyeAnytime scorer7.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Callum Hudson-OdoiAnytime scorer7.50 Skybet · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Declan RiceAnytime scorer8.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Martin ZubimendiAnytime scorer8.50 Coral · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Riccardo CalafioriAnytime scorer10.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Magalhaes GabrielAnytime scorer10.50 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
James McAteeAnytime scorer11.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Myles Lewis-SkellyAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Piero HincapieAnytime scorer11.00 BetVictor · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Daniel MunozAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Jurrien TimberAnytime scorer12.00 Skybet · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Ibrahim SangareAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Ryan YatesAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Ben WhiteAnytime scorer15.00 Skybet · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Ezri KonsaAnytime scorer15.00 Skybet · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Neco WilliamsAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Nicolas DominguezAnytime scorer15.00 Skybet · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Xaver SchlagerAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Marli SalmonAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Cristhian MosqueraAnytime scorer26.00 Skybet · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Luca NetzAnytime scorer26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Nikola MilenkovicAnytime scorer26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Jair CunhaAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Murillo dos SantosAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Ousmane DiomandeAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Ola AinaAnytime scorer36.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Bukayo SakaAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Martin OdegaardAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Noni MaduekeAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Mikel MerinoAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Max DowmanAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Declan RiceAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Eberechi EzeAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Kai HavertzAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Bruno GuimaraesAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Viktor GyokeresAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC
Dan NdoyeAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 12:43 UTC