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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-17

Manchester City v Ipswich

Manchester City
53.6%
Draw
21%
Ipswich
25.4%
Headline value
—
xG 2.1 – 1.4Manchester City form WWWWWIpswich form WLWLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Julio Encisoover 0.52.092.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+3.4%
Erling Haalandover 0.51.131.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-0.1%
Mateo Kovacicover 0.52.242.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-3.0%
Enzo Fernandezover 0.51.671.45 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-9.2%
Rayan Cherkiover 0.51.591.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-10.5%
Zian Flemmingover 0.52.121.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-10.6%
Antoine Semenyoover 0.51.771.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-15.0%
Jeremy Dokuover 0.51.991.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-16.3%
Phil Fodenover 0.52.501.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-35.0%
Erling Haalandover 1.51.561.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+2.4%
Tackles · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Elliot Andersonover 0.51.091.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-2.1%
Sasa Lukicover 0.51.111.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-3.8%
Ayyoub Bouaddiover 0.51.121.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-3.8%
Exequiel Palaciosover 0.51.071.02 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-4.4%
Abdoul Ouattaraover 0.51.291.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-10.0%
Matheus Nunesover 0.51.311.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-10.9%
Marcelino Nunezover 0.51.241.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-13.5%
Mateo Kovacicover 0.51.401.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-23.6%
Exequiel Palaciosover 1.51.321.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-11.5%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultManchester City win1.87—no price—
ResultDraw4.767.86 Matchbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+8.3%
ResultIpswich win3.9414.20 Matchbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+18.4%
CornersUnder 12.51.181.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+11.1%
CornersUnder 10.51.671.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+7.6%
CornersUnder 11.51.421.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+6.6%
CornersUnder 8.52.813.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+5.3%
CornersUnder 9.52.182.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+4.1%
GoalsUnder 3.51.861.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+1.3%
GoalsUnder 2.53.123.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+0.8%
GoalsUnder 1.57.367.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
+0.3%
GoalsUnder 4.51.381.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-0.2%
GoalsUnder 6.51.071.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsUnder 0.533.1226.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsOver 9.5301.6681.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsUnder 5.51.171.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-0.9%
CornersUnder 7.54.794.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 8.5101.2841.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-1.5%
CornersOver 6.51.111.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-1.5%
GoalsOver 7.537.4021.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-2.1%
GoalsOver 6.515.3211.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsOver 5.57.025.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-3.1%
CornersUnder 11.01.671.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-3.2%
GoalsOver 4.53.643.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-3.8%
CornersUnder 10.02.182.0149 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-3.9%
CornersOver 7.51.261.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-4.2%
GoalsOver 3.52.161.9524 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-4.9%
GoalsOver 2.51.471.3684 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-5.2%
CornersUnder 6.510.236.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-6.9%
CornersOver 9.51.841.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-9.4%
CornersOver 8.51.551.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-10.6%
CornersOver 11.53.362.4286 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-11.4%
CornersOver 10.52.501.875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-13.3%
CornersOver 12.56.433.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-14.8%
CornersOver 11.03.362.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-16.1%
CornersOver 10.02.501.6842 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
-19.4%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (60)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Erling HaalandAnytime scorer1.53 Coral · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Floyd SambaAnytime scorer2.40 bet365 · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Allan AndradeAnytime scorer2.75 bet365 · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Antoine SemenyoAnytime scorer2.80 Coral · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Phil FodenAnytime scorer3.00 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Rayan CherkiAnytime scorer3.25 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Iliman-Cheikh NdiayeAnytime scorer3.30 Coral · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Jeremy DokuAnytime scorer3.50 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Ryan McAidooAnytime scorer3.75 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Enzo FernandezAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Rayan Ait NouriAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Zian FlemmingAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Chuba AkpomAnytime scorer5.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Emersonn SilvaAnytime scorer5.50 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Nico OReillyAnytime scorer5.50 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Anis MehmetiAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Julio EncisoAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Jack ClarkeAnytime scorer6.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Jaden Philogene-BidaceAnytime scorer6.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Daizen MaedaAnytime scorer7.00 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Elliot AndersonAnytime scorer7.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Kaden BraithwaiteAnytime scorer7.00 Unibet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Sindre WalleAnytime scorer7.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Mateo KovacicAnytime scorer7.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Ayyoub BouaddiAnytime scorer8.50 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Issahaku FatawuAnytime scorer8.50 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Kasey McAteerAnytime scorer8.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Josko GvardiolAnytime scorer9.00 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Rico LewisAnytime scorer9.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Marc GuehiAnytime scorer10.00 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Vitor ReisAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Ruben DiasAnytime scorer12.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Marcelino NunezAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Abduqodir KhusanovAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Matheus NunesAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Leif DavisAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Abdoul OuattaraAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Exequiel PalaciosAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Azor MatusiwaAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Cedric KipreAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Luis FlorentinoAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Sasa LukicAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Dara OSheaAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Darnell FurlongAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Jacob GreavesAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Issa DiopAnytime scorer36.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Rayan CherkiAssistsover 0.52.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Jeremy DokuAssistsover 0.53.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Floyd SambaAssistsover 0.53.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Phil FodenAssistsover 0.53.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Antoine SemenyoAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Ryan McAidooAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Rayan Ait NouriAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Enzo FernandezAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Mateo KovacicAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Elliot AndersonAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Rico LewisAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Ayyoub BouaddiAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Matheus NunesAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC
Nico OReillyAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 15:13 UTC