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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-17

Brentford v Liverpool

Brentford
47.2%
Draw
22.2%
Liverpool
30.6%
Headline value
—
xG 1.9 – 1.5Brentford form DWDDDLiverpool form LWDWD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Dominik Szoboszlaiover 0.51.752.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+9.6%
Victor Munozover 0.51.631.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+5.8%
Kevin Schadeover 0.51.631.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-5.3%
Alexander Isakover 0.51.481.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-6.0%
Bradley Barcolaover 0.51.861.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-9.9%
Cody Gakpoover 0.51.881.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-10.4%
Callum Wilsonover 0.52.161.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-25.2%
Jaidon Anthonyover 0.52.431.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-28.1%
Igor Thiagoover 0.51.821.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-28.3%
Rio Ngumohaover 0.53.971.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-29.4%
Federico Chiesaover 0.56.071.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-47.2%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultBrentford win2.122.55 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+8.0%
ResultDraw4.503.79 Matchbook · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-4.2%
ResultLiverpool win3.262.82 Matchbook · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-4.8%
GoalsOver 3.52.262.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+2.1%
GoalsOver 4.53.914.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsOver 2.51.511.5455 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+1.3%
GoalsOver 5.57.728.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+1.2%
GoalsOver 1.51.171.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
+0.7%
GoalsOver 6.517.2917.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsOver 7.543.3434.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsOver 8.5120.5967.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsUnder 0.529.9617.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-2.5%
GoalsUnder 6.51.061.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-2.8%
GoalsUnder 1.56.815.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-3.5%
GoalsUnder 5.51.151.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-4.6%
GoalsUnder 4.51.341.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-5.6%
GoalsUnder 2.52.942.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-6.0%
GoalsUnder 3.51.791.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
-7.3%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (57)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Igor ThiagoAnytime scorer2.30 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Alexander IsakAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Callum WilsonAnytime scorer2.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Kevin SchadeAnytime scorer3.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jayden DannsAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Cody GakpoAnytime scorer3.50 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Federico ChiesaAnytime scorer3.60 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Bradley BarcolaAnytime scorer3.70 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Lewis KoumasAnytime scorer3.70 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Fabio CarvalhoAnytime scorer3.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Dango OuattaraAnytime scorer3.90 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jaidon AnthonyAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Gustavo Nunes GomesAnytime scorer4.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Rio NgumohaAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Victor MunozAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Florian WirtzAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Dominik SzoboszlaiAnytime scorer5.50 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Mikkel DamsgaardAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Keane Lewis-PotterAnytime scorer6.00 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
James McConnellAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Alexis Mac AllisterAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Mamadou SangareAnytime scorer7.00 Ladbrokes · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Mathias JensenAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Trey NyoniAnytime scorer8.00 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Yegor YarmolyukAnytime scorer8.00 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
El Hadji DioufAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Ryan GravenberchAnytime scorer8.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Vitaly JaneltAnytime scorer9.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jeremie FrimpongAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Virgil van DijkAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Nathan CollinsAnytime scorer10.50 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jannik SchusterAnytime scorer11.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Wataru EndoAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Michael KayodeAnytime scorer12.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Milos KerkezAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Aaron HickeyAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Joe GomezAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Konstantinos TsimikasAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Kristoffer AjerAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Rico HenryAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Ronald AraujoAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Sepp van den BergAnytime scorer13.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Benjamin FredrickAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jeremy JacquetAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Dominik SzoboszlaiAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Florian WirtzAssistsover 0.54.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Bradley BarcolaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Federico ChiesaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Igor ThiagoAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
James McConnellAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Cody GakpoAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jeremie FrimpongAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Lewis KoumasAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Rio NgumohaAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Victor MunozAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jayden DannsAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC
Jaidon AnthonyAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-13 05:43 UTC