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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-18

Bournemouth v Sunderland

Bournemouth
31.7%
Draw
23.6%
Sunderland
44.7%
Headline value
—
xG 1.4 – 1.7Bournemouth form LLDDDSunderland form LLLDW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Malick Fofanaover 0.51.172.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+37.6%
Marcus Tavernierover 0.51.461.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
Alvaro Rodriguezover 0.51.591.55 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-1.7%
Chemsdine Talbiover 0.52.362.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-5.3%
Nilson Anguloover 0.52.922.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-10.2%
Evanilsonover 0.52.221.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-20.1%
David Brooksover 0.52.921.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-22.9%
Wilson Isidorover 0.52.621.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-24.4%
Tackles · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Enzo Le Feeover 0.51.121.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.5%
Adrien Truffertover 0.51.081.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
Nordi Mukieleover 0.51.081.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.7%
Juanlu Sanchezover 0.51.101.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-1.8%
Trai Humeover 0.51.151.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-5.1%
Dayann Methalieover 0.51.221.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-5.6%
Tyler Adamsover 0.51.161.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-7.4%
Lewis Cookover 0.51.341.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-14.3%
Thomas Meunierover 0.51.341.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-17.5%
Nilson Anguloover 0.51.451.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-19.9%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultBournemouth win3.152.10 Unibet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-15.9%
ResultDraw4.243.69 Matchbook · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-3.5%
ResultSunderland win2.243.65 Matchbook · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+17.3%
CornersUnder 8.52.232.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+6.8%
CornersUnder 9.51.812.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+5.1%
GoalsOver 4.54.966.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+4.8%
CornersUnder 7.53.213.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+4.8%
GoalsOver 2.51.671.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+4.3%
GoalsOver 3.52.673.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+4.2%
CornersUnder 10.51.501.5882 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+3.7%
GoalsOver 5.510.6013.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+1.7%
GoalsOver 1.51.231.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+1.5%
CornersUnder 9.02.232.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+1.4%
CornersUnder 11.51.391.4167 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+1.4%
GoalsOver 6.525.7726.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
+0.0%
GoalsOver 7.570.3667.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsOver 8.5213.53101.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-0.5%
CornersUnder 12.51.231.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-2.0%
CornersUnder 10.01.811.7368 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-2.5%
GoalsUnder 0.522.2012.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-3.8%
CornersOver 11.53.573.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-4.3%
CornersOver 12.55.364.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-4.4%
GoalsUnder 5.51.101.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-4.7%
GoalsUnder 1.55.414.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-6.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.251.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-6.9%
CornersOver 7.51.451.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-8.9%
GoalsUnder 3.51.601.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-8.9%
GoalsUnder 2.52.492.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-9.9%
CornersOver 10.53.002.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-10.1%
CornersOver 9.52.231.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-10.7%
CornersOver 8.51.811.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-11.6%
CornersOver 10.03.002.0435 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-15.6%
CornersOver 9.02.231.5882 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
-18.1%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (55)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

EvanilsonAnytime scorer3.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Daniel JebbisonAnytime scorer3.15 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alvaro RodriguezAnytime scorer3.20 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Brian BrobbeyAnytime scorer3.20 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Wilson IsidorAnytime scorer3.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Rayan VitorAnytime scorer3.50 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Justin KluivertAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Amine AdliAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
David BrooksAnytime scorer4.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Malick FofanaAnytime scorer4.33 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Marcus TavernierAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Timur TutierovAnytime scorer4.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Ben DoakAnytime scorer4.75 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Chemsdine TalbiAnytime scorer5.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Juan AnguloAnytime scorer5.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Nilson AnguloAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Enzo Le FeeAnytime scorer5.50 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jocelin Ta BiAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Tom ProctorAnytime scorer6.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Chris RiggAnytime scorer6.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Ryan ChristieAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alan BrowneAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alex TothAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Juanlu SanchezAnytime scorer9.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Granit XhakaAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Trai HumeAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Thomas MeunierAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jenson JonesAnytime scorer10.50 Unibet · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Antonio SilvaAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Bafode DiakiteAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Jules AhokaAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Lewis CookAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Noah SadikiAnytime scorer11.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Adrien TruffertAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Nordi MukieleAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Omar AldereteAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Tyler AdamsAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Veljko MilosavljevicAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Dayann MethalieAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
James HillAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Luke ONienAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Julio SolerAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Kevin DansoAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Adam SmithAnytime scorer17.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Reinildo MandavaAnytime scorer17.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Alex TothAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
David BrooksAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Ben DoakAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Enzo Le FeeAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Malick FofanaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Marcus TavernierAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Chemsdine TalbiAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Daniel JebbisonAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Juanlu SanchezAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC
Adrien TruffertAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-14 05:43 UTC