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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-10

Sunderland v Brighton

Sunderland
36.2%
Draw
20.1%
Brighton
43.7%
Headline value
+28.4%
Charalampos Kostoulas · SOT
xG 2 – 2.2Sunderland form LLDWLBrighton form WWDLW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

BESTMalick Fofanashots on target (SOT)1.6667now 1.9091+26.1%
BESTOver 3.5Goals3.0244now 3.20+27.4%
VALUEOver 4.5Goals6.00now 6.50+24.3%
VALUEOver 2.5Goals1.80now 1.85+23.4%
VALUEMalick YalcouyeSOTVoid2.375+18.8%
VALUEOver 5.5Goals12.00+16.4%
BESTCharalampos KostoulasSOTLost2.10now 1.6667+28.4%
VALUEUnder 8.5Corners2.875now 2.50+19.9%
VALUEOver 1.5GoalsWon1.2727now 1.2857+13.6%
VALUEUnder 6.5CornersLost5.50+12.9%

Player props

SOT · 13 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Malick Fofanaover 0.51.161.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+33.7%
Malick Yalcouyeover 0.51.642.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+18.8%
Charalampos Kostoulasover 0.51.311.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+16.1%
Ibrahim Osmanover 0.52.032.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+9.3%
Promise Davidover 0.51.541.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+7.1%
Yasin Ayariover 0.52.242.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.1%
Enzo Le Feeover 0.52.672.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.6%
Chris Riggover 0.53.472.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-9.3%
Chemsdine Talbiover 0.52.501.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-12.4%
Nilson Anguloover 0.52.862.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-12.7%
Brian Brobbeyover 0.51.881.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-13.4%
Diego Gomezover 0.53.311.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-22.1%
Wilson Isidorover 0.52.241.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-24.2%
Tackles · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Diego Gomezover 0.51.081.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+6.0%
Trai Humeover 0.51.131.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.3%
Nordi Mukieleover 0.51.141.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.0%
Enzo Le Feeover 0.51.131.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.2%
Malick Yalcouyeover 0.51.181.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.3%
Yasin Ayariover 0.51.411.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-09 21:13 UTC
-16.4%
Thomas Meunierover 0.51.441.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-17.9%
Chema Andresover 0.51.441.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-20.4%
Nilson Anguloover 0.51.621.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-24.0%
Jaouen Hadjamover 0.51.691.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-26.4%
Olivier Boscagliover 0.51.791.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-09 03:13 UTC
-28.7%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultSunderland win2.763.20 Matchbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+5.0%
ResultDraw4.983.50 BetVictor · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.5%
ResultBrighton win2.292.38 QuinnBet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.7%
GoalsOver 3.51.653.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+29.2%
GoalsOver 4.52.446.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+25.6%
GoalsOver 2.51.271.85 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+24.9%
GoalsOver 5.54.0512.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+16.4%
CornersUnder 8.51.832.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+14.7%
GoalsOver 1.51.081.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+14.4%
CornersUnder 6.53.215.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+12.9%
CornersUnder 9.51.541.8696 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+11.4%
CornersUnder 7.52.623.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+9.7%
GoalsOver 6.57.5526.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+9.4%
CornersUnder 9.01.832.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+9.2%
CornersUnder 7.03.214.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+8.9%
CornersUnder 10.01.541.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+7.0%
CornersUnder 10.51.401.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+6.3%
CornersUnder 8.02.623.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+6.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.251.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+5.0%
GoalsOver 7.515.6467.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+4.9%
CornersUnder 11.01.401.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+2.3%
GoalsOver 8.535.80101.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.8%
CornersUnder 12.51.181.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
+1.1%
CornersUnder 12.01.251.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
0.0%
CornersOver 12.56.435.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-2.6%
CornersOver 12.06.435.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-4.4%
GoalsUnder 0.566.6915.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.2%
CornersOver 11.05.003.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-7.8%
CornersOver 11.55.003.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-7.8%
CornersOver 10.03.522.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-9.7%
CornersOver 10.53.522.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-9.7%
CornersOver 7.51.621.3684 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-11.3%
CornersOver 9.02.852.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-14.9%
CornersOver 9.52.852.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-14.9%
CornersOver 7.01.621.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-15.2%
CornersOver 6.51.451.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-15.7%
CornersOver 8.52.211.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-16.6%
GoalsUnder 1.512.824.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-17.2%
CornersOver 8.02.211.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-18.3%
GoalsUnder 5.51.331.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-18.8%
GoalsUnder 4.51.701.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-26.7%
GoalsUnder 2.54.762.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-27.8%
GoalsUnder 3.52.531.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-31.9%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (57)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Charalampos KostoulasAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Juan AnguloAnytime scorer2.90 Unibet · 2026-10-09 03:13 UTC
Brian BrobbeyAnytime scorer3.25 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Promise DavidAnytime scorer3.45 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Wilson IsidorAnytime scorer3.50 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Georginio RutterAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Chemsdine TalbiAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ibrahim OsmanAnytime scorer4.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Zadok YohannaAnytime scorer4.72 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Diego GomezAnytime scorer4.75 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Enzo Le FeeAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jack HinshelwoodAnytime scorer5.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Malick YalcouyeAnytime scorer5.31 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Matt ORileyAnytime scorer5.31 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jocelin Ta BiAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Nilson AnguloAnytime scorer5.50 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Malick FofanaAnytime scorer5.80 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Chris RiggAnytime scorer6.50 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Maxim De CuyperAnytime scorer6.50 QuinnBet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Pascal GrossAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Yasin AyariAnytime scorer6.68 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Alan BrowneAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Trai HumeAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Chema AndresAnytime scorer8.64 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Daniel BallardAnytime scorer9.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ferdi KadiogluAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Luka VuskovicAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Thomas MeunierAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Granit XhakaAnytime scorer12.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Noah SadikiAnytime scorer12.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Nordi MukieleAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jules AhokaAnytime scorer13.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Dayann MethalieAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Pascal StruijkAnytime scorer15.00 Betfred · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Omar AldereteAnytime scorer16.00 Betfred · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lewis DunkAnytime scorer17.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Olivier BoscagliAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jaouen HadjamAnytime scorer19.10 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Joao Pedro CostinhaAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Michael SvobodaAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Kevin DansoAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Luke ONienAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Reinildo MandavaAnytime scorer26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Matt ORileyAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Maxim De CuyperAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Chemsdine TalbiAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Zadok YohannaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Charalampos KostoulasAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Enzo Le FeeAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ibrahim OsmanAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jocelin Ta BiAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Malick YalcouyeAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Pascal GrossAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Promise DavidAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Chris RiggAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Malick FofanaAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Nilson AnguloAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC