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Match board · Premier League · 2026-10-10

Manchester United v Tottenham

Manchester United
60.6%
Draw
21.2%
Tottenham
18.3%
Headline value
—
xG 2 – 1Manchester United form DLDWLTottenham form LDDLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

Tackles · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Patrick Dorguover 0.51.031.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.5%
Andrey Santosover 0.51.061.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.9%
Noussair Mazraouiover 0.51.091.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.9%
Rodrigo Bentancurover 0.51.111.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.3%
Luke Shawover 0.51.131.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.5%
Marcos Senesiover 0.51.161.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.1%
Carlos Balebaover 0.51.151.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.6%
Conor Gallagherover 0.51.211.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.7%
Destiny Udogieover 0.51.181.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.8%
Diogo Dalotover 0.51.261.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-11.5%
shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Bruno Fernandesover 0.51.691.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.2%
Benjamin Seskoover 0.51.301.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.2%
Mathys Telover 0.52.402.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.9%
Bryan Mbeumoover 0.51.621.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-7.5%
Dominic Solankeover 0.52.161.85 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-7.8%
Matheus Cunhaover 0.51.541.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.3%
Mohammed Kudusover 0.53.562.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-17.3%
Omar Marmoushover 0.53.101.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-22.3%
Joshua Zirkzeeover 0.52.141.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-24.7%
Mason Mountover 0.55.782.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-28.1%
Benjamin Seskoover 1.52.332.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.6%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultManchester United win1.65—no price—
ResultDraw4.724.33 Matchbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.9%
ResultTottenham win5.484.63 Matchbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsUnder 2.52.362.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+6.0%
CornersUnder 6.56.089.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+5.3%
CornersUnder 8.53.043.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+5.1%
CornersUnder 10.51.812.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+5.1%
CornersUnder 9.52.322.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+5.0%
CornersUnder 7.54.335.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+4.9%
GoalsUnder 3.51.551.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+4.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.231.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+3.8%
GoalsUnder 1.55.026.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+3.3%
CornersUnder 12.51.341.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+3.2%
CornersUnder 7.06.087.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+3.1%
CornersUnder 11.51.541.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+3.0%
GoalsUnder 5.51.091.1176 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.1%
CornersUnder 9.03.043.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.1%
CornersUnder 8.04.334.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.9%
GoalsUnder 0.520.0923.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsUnder 6.51.031.04 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.5%
CornersUnder 10.02.322.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.4%
CornersUnder 11.01.811.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsOver 8.5262.9581.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
CornersUnder 12.01.541.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.8%
GoalsOver 7.584.0031.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.0%
GoalsOver 6.529.8415.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsOver 5.511.928.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.4%
CornersOver 12.53.953.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.0%
CornersOver 12.03.953.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.4%
GoalsOver 1.51.251.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.6%
CornersOver 9.51.761.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.3%
GoalsOver 4.55.414.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.5%
CornersOver 11.02.852.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.6%
CornersOver 11.52.852.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.6%
CornersOver 8.51.491.3529 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.8%
CornersOver 10.52.231.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-7.5%
GoalsOver 2.51.731.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-7.5%
CornersOver 7.51.301.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-7.7%
CornersOver 9.01.761.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.3%
CornersOver 6.51.201.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.8%
GoalsOver 3.52.832.2632 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.9%
CornersOver 10.02.231.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-9.7%
CornersOver 8.01.491.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-9.8%
CornersOver 7.01.301.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-10.6%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (54)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Benjamin SeskoAnytime scorer2.375 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Bryan MbeumoAnytime scorer2.88 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Santos Matheus CunhaAnytime scorer2.90 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Bruno FernandesAnytime scorer3.10 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Marcus RashfordAnytime scorer3.16 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Joshua ZirkzeeAnytime scorer3.25 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Dominic SolankeAnytime scorer3.89 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Omar MarmoushAnytime scorer4.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Shea LaceyAnytime scorer4.04 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mathys TelAnytime scorer5.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Dejan KulusevskiAnytime scorer5.25 BetVictor · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mason MountAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
James MaddisonAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mohammed KudusAnytime scorer6.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
de Oliveira SavioAnytime scorer6.10 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Conor GallagherAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Tyler FletcherAnytime scorer7.66 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mateus FernandesAnytime scorer8.06 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Youri TielemansAnytime scorer8.25 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Andrey SantosAnytime scorer8.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lucas BergvallAnytime scorer8.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Patrick DorguAnytime scorer8.50 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Kobbie MainooAnytime scorer9.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Pedro PorroAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Sandro TonaliAnytime scorer10.50 QuinnBet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Carlos BalebaAnytime scorer10.80 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Harry MaguireAnytime scorer11.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Diogo DalotAnytime scorer13.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jan Paul van HeckeAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mickey van de VenAnytime scorer13.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Rodrigo BentancurAnytime scorer13.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lisandro MartinezAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Leny YoroAnytime scorer15.20 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Matthijs de LigtAnytime scorer17.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Archie GrayAnytime scorer19.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ayden HeavenAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Luke ShawAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Noussair MazraouiAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Andrew RobertsonAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ben DaviesAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Tosin AdarabioyoAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Marcos SenesiAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Destiny UdogieAnytime scorer26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Bruno FernandesAssistsover 0.52.90 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Bryan MbeumoAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Matheus CunhaAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mohammed KudusAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Patrick DorguAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Joshua ZirkzeeAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mason MountAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Shea LaceyAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Benjamin SeskoAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mathys TelAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mateus FernandesAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC