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Match board · Premier League · 2026-09-19

Nottingham Forest v Coventry

Nottingham Forest
43.4%
Draw
28%
Coventry
28.6%
Headline value
—
xG 1.3 – 1Nottingham Forest form WDDLDCoventry form LLLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

Tackles · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Xaver Schlagerover 0.51.101.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-1.5%
Luca Netzover 0.51.141.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-2.5%
Ibrahim Sangareover 0.51.101.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-3.2%
Neco Williamsover 0.51.121.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-3.7%
Daniel Munozover 0.51.131.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-5.2%
Nicolas Dominguezover 0.51.121.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-5.8%
Frank Onyekaover 0.51.441.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-21.6%
Jay Dasilvaover 0.51.541.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-23.9%
Ryan Yatesover 0.51.911.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-36.6%
Caleb Yirenkyiover 0.53.471.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-60.1%
shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Dan Ndoyeover 0.51.881.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-2.3%
Daniel Munozover 0.52.622.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-5.4%
Sidiki Cherifover 0.51.931.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-6.1%
Morgan Gibbs-Whiteover 0.51.701.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-12.5%
James McAteeover 0.52.431.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-13.4%
Igor Jesusover 0.51.761.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-16.5%
Arnaud Kalimuendoover 0.51.851.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-19.2%
Chris Woodover 0.52.031.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-24.0%
Callum Hudson-Odoiover 0.52.711.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-28.3%
Nicolas Dominguezover 0.54.521.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-30.3%
Liam Delapover 0.52.921.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-30.9%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultNottingham Forest win2.301.69 Matchbook · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
-15.8%
ResultDraw3.584.04 Matchbook · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
+3.2%
ResultCoventry win3.495.61 Matchbook · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
+10.8%
GoalsUnder 2.51.682.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+12.0%
GoalsUnder 3.51.251.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+10.7%
GoalsUnder 1.53.024.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+10.0%
GoalsUnder 4.51.091.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+5.9%
GoalsUnder 0.59.9713.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+2.3%
GoalsUnder 5.51.031.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsOver 7.5386.2767.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.2%
GoalsOver 6.5106.8226.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.9%
GoalsOver 5.533.3612.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-5.3%
GoalsOver 4.511.945.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-9.0%
GoalsOver 1.51.491.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-13.1%
GoalsOver 3.54.983.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-13.3%
GoalsOver 2.52.481.7692 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-16.1%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (58)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Chris WoodAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Igor JesusAnytime scorer2.625 Skybet · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Liam DelapAnytime scorer2.625 Skybet · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteAnytime scorer2.70 Coral · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Arnaud KalimuendoAnytime scorer2.75 Coral · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Taiwo AwoniyiAnytime scorer3.60 Unibet · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Callum Hudson-OdoiAnytime scorer3.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Dan NdoyeAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Ellis SimmsAnytime scorer4.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Sidiki CherifAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Brandon Thoms-AsanteAnytime scorer5.00 Skybet · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Ephron Mason-ClarkAnytime scorer5.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Yann GbohoAnytime scorer5.50 Skybet · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
James McAteeAnytime scorer5.75 Coral · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Victor TorpAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Gustavo HamerAnytime scorer6.50 Skybet · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Loum TchaounaAnytime scorer6.50 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Nicolas DominguezAnytime scorer6.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Daniel MunozAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Jack RudoniAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Ibrahim SangareAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Ryan YatesAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Tatsuhiro SakamotoAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Neco WilliamsAnytime scorer8.50 Coral · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Xaver SchlagerAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Caleb YirenkyiAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Josh EcclesAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Luca NetzAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Nikola MilenkovicAnytime scorer11.00 Unibet · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Ousmane DiomandeAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Jair CunhaAnytime scorer13.00 Coral · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Matt GrimesAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Ola AinaAnytime scorer14.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Frank OnyekaAnytime scorer15.00 Skybet · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Murillo dos SantosAnytime scorer15.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Bobby ThomasAnytime scorer17.00 Skybet · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Ethan PinnockAnytime scorer19.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Miguel BrauAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Stephen MfuniAnytime scorer21.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Aurele AmendaAnytime scorer22.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Jay DasilvaAnytime scorer22.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Milan van EwijkAnytime scorer23.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Joel LatibeaudiereAnytime scorer26.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-16 05:43 UTC
Dan NdoyeAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Callum Hudson-OdoiAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Daniel MunozAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
James McAteeAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Luca NetzAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Arnaud KalimuendoAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Gustavo HamerAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Neco WilliamsAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Chris WoodAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ephron Mason-ClarkAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Igor JesusAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Liam DelapAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nicolas DominguezAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Victor TorpAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC