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Match board · Premier League · 2026-09-19

Everton v Ipswich

Everton
48.8%
Draw
26%
Ipswich
25.2%
Headline value
—
xG 1.5 – 1Everton form DDDWLIpswich form WLLWL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hallover 0.51.531.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.7%
Chuba Akpomover 0.51.791.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.9%
Julio Encisoover 0.51.911.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.3%
Carlos Alcarazover 0.51.801.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-6.4%
Zian Flemmingover 0.52.031.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-14.3%
Thierno Barryover 0.51.651.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-14.5%
Daizen Maedaover 0.52.711.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-17.7%
Jack Grealishover 0.52.671.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-24.4%
Tyrique Georgeover 0.52.241.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-28.8%
Tyler Diblingover 0.511.621.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-45.9%
Brennan Johnsonover 0.56.761.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-48.9%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultEverton win2.051.81 Betfair · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-6.5%
ResultDraw3.853.94 Matchbook · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.6%
ResultIpswich win3.964.63 Matchbook · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+3.6%
GoalsUnder 2.51.842.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+6.8%
GoalsUnder 3.51.321.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+6.5%
GoalsUnder 1.53.484.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+5.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.121.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+3.4%
GoalsUnder 5.51.041.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.7%
GoalsUnder 0.512.1813.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.5%
GoalsOver 8.5877.0067.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.4%
GoalsOver 7.5235.4851.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.5%
GoalsOver 6.570.4926.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-2.4%
GoalsOver 5.523.8011.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.9%
GoalsOver 4.59.195.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-7.3%
GoalsOver 1.51.401.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-8.7%
GoalsOver 2.52.191.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-9.9%
GoalsOver 3.54.132.90 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-10.2%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (59)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Thierno BarryAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Braiden GrahamAnytime scorer2.75 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Tyrique GeorgeAnytime scorer3.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Brennan JohnsonAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jack GrealishAnytime scorer3.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Zian FlemmingAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Emersonn SilvaAnytime scorer4.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Anis MehmetiAnytime scorer4.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Carlos AlcarazAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Chuba AkpomAnytime scorer4.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Daizen MaedaAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jack ClarkeAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Tyler DiblingAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jaden Philogene-BidaceAnytime scorer4.60 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Julio EncisoAnytime scorer4.75 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Sindre WalleAnytime scorer4.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Issahaku FatawuAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Merlin RohlAnytime scorer5.75 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
James GarnerAnytime scorer5.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kasey McAteerAnytime scorer5.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Hayden HackneyAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Harrison ArmstrongAnytime scorer6.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Harvey FosterAnytime scorer7.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marcelino NunezAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Christian NorgaardAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Michael KeaneAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ainsley Maitland-NilesAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Charlie ComptonAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
James TarkowskiAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jarrad BranthwaiteAnytime scorer8.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jake OBrienAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Exequiel PalaciosAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Vitaliy MykolenkoAnytime scorer10.50 Unibet · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Luis FlorentinoAnytime scorer12.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Sasa LukicAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Abdoul OuattaraAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Cedric KipreAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Dara OSheaAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Darnell FurlongAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Leif DavisAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Azor MatusiwaAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Issa DiopAnytime scorer19.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jacob GreavesAnytime scorer19.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Jack GrealishAssistsover 0.53.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Carlos AlcarazAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
James GarnerAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kiernan Dewsbury-HallAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ainsley Maitland-NilesAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Hayden HackneyAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Merlin RohlAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Tyler DiblingAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Tyrique GeorgeAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Brennan JohnsonAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Harrison ArmstrongAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Charlie ComptonAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Jack ClarkeAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Julio EncisoAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Zian FlemmingAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC