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Match board · 2026-09-14

Leeds v Newcastle

Leeds
35.4%
Draw
24.7%
Newcastle
39.9%
Headline value
—
xG 1.4 – 1.5Leeds form DDWLWNewcastle form DWDLW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

Tackles · 10 lines
Sean Longstaff o0.51.041.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+5.8%
Anton Stach o0.51.071.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+1.5%
Ethan Ampadu o0.51.081.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+0.5%
James Justin o0.51.071.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
Aladji Bamba o0.51.131.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-4.8%
Jayden Bogle o0.51.231.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-5.9%
Amar Dedic o0.51.231.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-6.1%
Gabriel Gudmundsson o0.51.231.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-11.3%
Lewis Miley o0.51.371.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-14.8%
Valentino Livramento o0.51.541.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-22.5%
SOT · 13 lines
Matias Fernandez-Pardo o0.51.531.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+5.4%
Anthony Elanga o0.52.052.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+1.2%
Anton Stach o0.52.162.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+0.8%
Harvey Barnes o0.51.881.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-2.3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin o0.51.481.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-3.7%
Harry Wilson o0.52.191.95 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-5.6%
Brenden Aaronson o0.52.402.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-8.3%
Yoane Wissa o0.51.931.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-10.1%
Bazoumana Toure o0.52.761.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-18.3%
Noah Okafor o0.52.501.70 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-18.9%
Lukas Nmecha o0.51.991.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-18.9%
Daniel James o0.53.101.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-25.6%
Jacob Murphy o0.55.062.15 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-26.8%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edge
ResultLeeds win2.832.50 10bet · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-4.6%
ResultDraw4.043.60 Betfred · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-3.0%
ResultNewcastle win2.513.01 Matchbook · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+6.6%
CornersUnder 7.53.724.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+5.9%
CornersOver 12.53.113.70 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+5.1%
CornersUnder 8.03.744.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+4.5%
CornersOver 12.03.133.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+4.1%
CornersUnder 8.52.863.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+3.7%
CornersUnder 6.56.037.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+2.3%
CornersUnder 9.02.913.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+2.1%
CornersUnder 7.06.127.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+2.0%
CornersUnder 9.52.242.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+1.2%
CornersOver 11.52.692.70 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
+0.1%
GoalsOver 2.51.801.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsOver 3.53.033.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsOver 4.55.945.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsOver 7.5101.1767.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-0.5%
CornersUnder 10.51.831.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 5.513.4812.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 6.534.8226.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
CornersOver 11.02.702.625 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsOver 8.5327.0367.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-1.2%
GoalsOver 1.51.271.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-1.5%
CornersUnder 10.02.312.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-2.1%
GoalsUnder 0.518.1713.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-2.2%
GoalsUnder 5.51.081.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-2.7%
CornersUnder 11.51.591.5238 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-2.8%
CornersOver 10.02.152.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-3.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.201.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-3.5%
GoalsUnder 1.54.664.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-3.5%
GoalsUnder 2.52.242.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-4.2%
CornersUnder 11.01.871.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-4.3%
GoalsUnder 3.51.491.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-4.5%
CornersOver 10.52.212.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-4.7%
CornersUnder 12.01.591.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-6.4%
CornersOver 9.51.811.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-6.6%
CornersOver 9.01.761.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-6.9%
CornersUnder 12.51.471.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-7.1%
CornersOver 6.51.201.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-7.5%
CornersOver 8.51.541.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-8.3%
CornersOver 8.01.531.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-9.7%
CornersOver 7.51.371.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-10.2%
CornersOver 7.01.361.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
-12.2%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (55)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Dominic Calvert-LewinAnytime scorer2.75 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Lukas NmechaAnytime scorer2.90 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Yoane WissaAnytime scorer3.25 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Noah OkaforAnytime scorer3.60 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Matias Fernandez-PardoAnytime scorer3.70 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Harry WilsonAnytime scorer3.90 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Daniel JamesAnytime scorer4.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Harvey BarnesAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Jean NegoceAnytime scorer4.80 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Bazoumana ToureAnytime scorer5.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Brenden AaronsonAnytime scorer5.00 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Anthony ElangaAnytime scorer5.50 Skybet · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Anton StachAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Jacob MurphyAnytime scorer6.00 Skybet · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Ao TanakaAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Jacob RamseyAnytime scorer6.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Sean LongstaffAnytime scorer6.50 Paddy Power · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Joe WillockAnytime scorer7.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Alfie CresswellAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Rhys ChadwickAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
James JustinAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Lewis MileyAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Nico GonzalezAnytime scorer10.00 Skybet · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Sean SteurAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Aladji BambaAnytime scorer11.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Jaka BijolAnytime scorer11.00 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Fabian ScharAnytime scorer12.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Ilia GruevAnytime scorer13.00 Skybet · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Jayden BogleAnytime scorer13.00 Skybet · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Lewis HallAnytime scorer13.00 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Malick ThiawAnytime scorer13.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Tarik MuharemovicAnytime scorer13.00 Coral · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Gabriel GudmundssonAnytime scorer14.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Nico ElvediAnytime scorer14.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Amar DedicAnytime scorer15.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Ethan AmpaduAnytime scorer15.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Sven BotmanAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Melvin BardAnytime scorer17.00 Skybet · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Jayden LienouAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Valentino LivramentoAnytime scorer20.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Jacob MurphyAssistso0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Bazoumana ToureAssistso0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Anton StachAssistso0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Daniel JamesAssistso0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Harry WilsonAssistso0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Matias Fernandez-PardoAssistso0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Anthony ElangaAssistso0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Brenden AaronsonAssistso0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Jean-Matteo BahoyaAssistso0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Noah OkaforAssistso0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Sean LongstaffAssistso0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Aladji BambaAssistso0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Harvey BarnesAssistso0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Ilia GruevAssistso0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC
Melvin BardAssistso0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-11 05:43 UTC