xOdds
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Match board · 2026-08-29

Tottenham v Newcastle

Tottenham
35.4%
Draw
24.7%
Newcastle
39.9%
Headline value
+29.4%
Mikey Moore · SOT
xG 1.4 – 1.5Tottenham form LWLDWNewcastle form DLWDW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

BESTMikey Mooreshots on target (SOT)Void1.6667+29.4%
VALUEOver 12.0CornersWon3.30+13.6%
VALUEOver 12.5CornersWon3.30+12.7%

Player props

SOT · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Mikey Mooreover 0.51.121.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+29.4%
Anthony Elangaover 0.52.012.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+5.4%
Dominic Solankeover 0.51.491.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-1.7%
Harvey Barnesover 0.51.821.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-2.1%
Bazoumana Toureover 0.52.762.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-7.2%
Yoane Wissaover 0.51.911.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-7.7%
Richarlisonover 0.51.621.375 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-11.0%
Nick Woltemadeover 0.52.431.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-13.4%
Mohammed Kudusover 0.52.331.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-15.0%
Mathys Telover 0.52.301.70 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-15.4%
Conor Gallagherover 0.54.522.45 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-18.7%
Jacob Murphyover 0.55.282.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-25.5%
Tackles · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Amar Dedicover 0.51.071.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+3.9%
Jacob Ramseyover 0.51.061.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+0.9%
Pedro Porroover 0.51.091.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+0.6%
Mateus Fernandesover 0.51.051.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-0.0%
Aladji Bambaover 0.51.081.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-2.7%
Marcos Senesiover 0.51.161.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-3.8%
Destiny Udogieover 0.51.151.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-6.9%
Lewis Mileyover 0.51.181.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-7.9%
Conor Gallagherover 0.51.291.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-14.2%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultTottenham win2.832.25 PricedUp · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-9.0%
ResultDraw4.043.84 Matchbook · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
ResultNewcastle win2.513.25 AK Bets · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+9.1%
CornersOver 12.02.283.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+13.6%
CornersOver 12.52.333.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+12.7%
CornersOver 11.52.042.55 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+9.7%
CornersOver 11.02.052.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+7.0%
CornersUnder 6.55.428.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+6.7%
CornersUnder 7.05.327.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+4.5%
CornersUnder 7.54.255.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+4.5%
CornersUnder 8.53.053.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+4.2%
CornersUnder 9.52.352.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+4.1%
GoalsUnder 3.51.491.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+3.8%
GoalsUnder 1.54.665.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+3.3%
GoalsUnder 4.51.201.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+3.2%
GoalsUnder 2.52.242.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+2.9%
CornersUnder 9.02.913.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+2.1%
CornersUnder 8.04.174.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsUnder 5.51.081.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+1.7%
GoalsUnder 0.518.1723.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+1.1%
CornersOver 10.01.881.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+0.8%
CornersOver 10.51.881.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
+0.7%
GoalsOver 8.5327.0381.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 7.5101.1736.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-1.8%
CornersUnder 10.02.352.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-1.9%
GoalsOver 5.513.4810.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-2.1%
GoalsOver 6.534.8218.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-2.7%
GoalsOver 1.51.271.2143 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-3.8%
GoalsOver 4.55.944.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-4.0%
CornersUnder 10.52.131.95 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-4.4%
GoalsOver 2.51.801.6471 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-5.3%
CornersOver 8.51.491.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-6.1%
GoalsOver 3.53.032.55 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-6.2%
CornersOver 9.51.741.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-6.2%
CornersOver 7.51.311.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-6.9%
CornersUnder 11.02.111.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-8.1%
CornersOver 9.01.751.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-8.1%
CornersOver 6.51.231.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-9.3%
CornersOver 7.01.311.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-9.5%
CornersUnder 11.51.961.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-11.4%
CornersOver 8.01.531.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-11.6%
CornersUnder 12.01.951.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-15.5%
CornersUnder 12.51.751.3684 Oddschecker · 2026-08-29 09:13 UTC
-16.1%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.