xOdds
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Match board · 2026-08-28

Crystal Palace v Manchester City

Crystal Palace
36.8%
Draw
22.3%
Manchester City
40.9%
Headline value
+13.0%
Over 10.5 · Corners
xG 1.7 – 1.8Crystal Palace form LWLDLManchester City form WLDWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEOver 10.5CornersLost2.30+13.0%

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Eddie Nketiahover 0.51.571.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+5.7%
Ismaila Sarrover 0.51.651.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+5.0%
Erling Haalandover 0.51.181.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+1.1%
Rayan Cherkiover 0.52.031.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-6.2%
Jean-Philippe Matetaover 0.51.821.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-10.2%
Antoine Semenyoover 0.51.881.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-12.0%
Jack Grealishover 0.53.162.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-16.0%
Jorgen Larsenover 0.52.581.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-19.2%
Phil Fodenover 0.52.621.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-19.8%
Claudio Echeverriover 0.56.401.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-48.0%
Erling Haalandover 1.51.801.95 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+4.2%
Tackles · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Anan Khalailiover 0.51.011.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+4.7%
Jaydee Canvotover 0.51.091.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 03:13 UTC
+2.0%
Justin Devennyover 0.51.041.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+1.1%
Elliot Andersonover 0.51.091.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+0.8%
Tyrick Mitchellover 0.51.051.04 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-0.8%
Daniel Munozover 0.51.051.04 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-1.1%
Daichi Kamadaover 0.51.091.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-2.6%
Oscar Minguezaover 0.51.191.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-10.3%
Borna Sosaover 0.51.451.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-25.1%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultCrystal Palace win2.725.25 BresBet · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+17.8%
ResultDraw4.494.14 Matchbook · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-1.9%
ResultManchester City win2.44—no price—
CornersOver 10.51.772.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+13.0%
GoalsOver 3.52.162.875 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+11.6%
CornersOver 10.01.772.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+11.1%
CornersOver 9.51.521.82 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+10.7%
GoalsOver 4.53.645.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+10.1%
GoalsOver 2.51.471.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+10.0%
CornersOver 9.01.531.7778 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+9.0%
CornersOver 8.51.351.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+7.3%
GoalsOver 5.57.0213.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+6.6%
GoalsOver 1.51.161.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+6.4%
CornersOver 7.51.201.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+6.3%
CornersOver 8.01.341.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+5.6%
CornersOver 6.51.111.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+3.0%
CornersOver 7.01.221.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+2.2%
GoalsOver 6.515.3221.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsOver 7.537.4051.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
+0.7%
GoalsOver 8.5101.2867.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-0.5%
GoalsUnder 0.533.1219.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-2.2%
CornersUnder 7.55.954.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-7.0%
CornersUnder 6.510.486.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-7.1%
GoalsUnder 5.51.171.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-7.6%
CornersUnder 7.09.805.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-8.0%
CornersUnder 8.53.842.90 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-8.4%
GoalsUnder 1.57.364.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-8.6%
CornersUnder 8.05.983.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-11.1%
GoalsUnder 4.51.381.1875 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-11.7%
CornersUnder 9.52.912.15 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-12.1%
GoalsUnder 2.53.122.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-13.4%
CornersUnder 9.03.862.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-14.1%
GoalsUnder 3.51.861.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-14.1%
CornersUnder 10.52.301.70 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-15.3%
CornersUnder 10.02.901.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-17.9%
CornersUnder 11.51.951.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-18.0%
CornersUnder 11.02.281.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-19.8%
CornersUnder 12.51.721.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-21.9%
CornersUnder 12.01.991.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-28 09:13 UTC
-24.8%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.