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Match board · 2026-08-31

Aston Villa v Arsenal

Aston Villa
44.4%
Draw
24.5%
Arsenal
31.1%
Headline value
+15.3%
Christos Tzolis · SOT
xG 1.61.3Aston Villa form LWWDLArsenal form WWWWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

VALUEChristos TzolisSOT1.67+15.3%

Player props

SOT · 10 lines
Christos Tzolis o0.51.331.67 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+15.3%
Martin Odegaard o0.52.032.20 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+3.9%
Bukayo Saka o0.51.511.55 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+1.9%
Ollie Watkins o0.51.541.57 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+1.4%
Kai Havertz o0.51.601.57 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-1.2%
Viktor Gyokeres o0.51.651.48 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-7.2%
Noni Madueke o0.52.471.75 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-16.6%
Eberechi Eze o0.52.501.73 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-17.9%
Mikel Merino o0.53.311.91 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-22.1%
Ethan Nwaneri o0.52.431.52 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-24.5%
Tackles · 9 lines
Piero Hincapie o0.51.071.20 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+10.4%
Boubacar Kamara o0.51.081.10 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+1.7%
Matty Cash o0.51.151.17 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+1.1%
Declan Rice o0.51.161.17 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+0.2%
Matteo Ruggeri o0.51.111.08 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-1.9%
Emiliano Buendia o0.51.121.09 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-2.4%
Lamare Bogarde o0.51.141.10 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-3.3%
Ian Maatsen o0.51.141.08 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-4.6%
Ben White o0.51.451.09 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-22.7%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edge
ResultAston Villa win2.257.08 Matchbook · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+30.3%
ResultDraw4.094.33 Matchbook · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+1.4%
ResultArsenal win3.221.55 Matchbook · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-33.4%
CornersOver 6.51.071.15 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+7.0%
CornersOver 7.51.261.33 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+4.3%
CornersUnder 10.51.541.57 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+1.2%
CornersOver 8.51.541.57 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+1.2%
CornersOver 12.54.594.75 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+0.7%
GoalsOver 4.55.946.00 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
+0.2%
GoalsOver 2.51.801.80 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-0.1%
GoalsOver 3.53.033.00 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-0.3%
GoalsOver 7.5101.1767.00 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-0.5%
GoalsOver 5.513.4812.00 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-0.9%
GoalsOver 6.534.8226.00 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-1.0%
GoalsOver 8.5327.0367.00 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-1.2%
GoalsOver 1.51.271.25 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-1.5%
CornersUnder 9.51.921.87 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-1.5%
CornersUnder 11.51.361.33 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-1.7%
GoalsUnder 0.518.1713.00 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-2.2%
GoalsUnder 5.51.081.05 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-2.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.201.15 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-3.5%
GoalsUnder 1.54.664.00 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-3.5%
CornersOver 11.53.753.30 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-3.6%
CornersOver 9.52.081.91 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-4.3%
GoalsUnder 3.51.491.40 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-4.5%
CornersUnder 8.52.842.50 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-4.8%
CornersUnder 12.51.281.20 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-5.1%
GoalsUnder 2.52.242.00 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-5.4%
CornersOver 10.52.842.45 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-5.7%
CornersUnder 7.54.823.50 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-7.8%
CornersUnder 6.515.674.75 Oddschecker · 26 Aug 12:43Z
-14.7%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.