xOdds
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Match board · 2026-08-23

Manchester City v Bournemouth

Manchester City
41.6%
Draw
26.2%
Bournemouth
32.2%
Headline value
+17.7%
Bournemouth win · Result
xG 1.4 – 1.2Manchester City form LDWWDBournemouth form DDWWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEBournemouth winResult6.88+17.7%
VALUEUnder 2.5Goals2.875+17.1%
VALUEUnder 3.5Goals1.7647+16.9%
VALUEUnder 4.5Goals1.3333+12.7%

Player props

Tackles · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Elliot Andersonover 0.51.061.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+1.9%
Adrien Truffertover 0.51.041.04 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-0.1%
Tyler Adamsover 0.51.081.04 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-3.7%
Matheus Nunesover 0.51.261.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 03:13 UTC
-9.3%
Alex Tothover 0.51.421.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-19.8%
Mateo Kovacicover 0.51.441.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-20.4%
Rayan Ait Nouriover 0.51.661.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-31.5%
Lewis Cookover 0.52.581.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-55.4%
shots on target (SOT) · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Erling Haalandover 0.51.181.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-2.5%
Antoine Semenyoover 0.51.791.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-12.8%
Rayan Cherkiover 0.51.971.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-12.8%
Savinhoover 0.51.951.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-15.3%
Omar Marmoushover 0.52.011.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-23.5%
Phil Fodenover 0.52.761.5455 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-28.5%
Claudio Echeverriover 0.56.071.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-55.0%
Erling Haalandover 1.51.771.70 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-2.2%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultManchester City win2.41—no price—
ResultDraw3.815.02 Matchbook · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+6.3%
ResultBournemouth win3.116.88 Matchbook · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+17.7%
GoalsUnder 2.51.932.875 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+17.1%
GoalsUnder 3.51.361.7647 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+16.9%
GoalsUnder 4.51.141.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+12.7%
GoalsUnder 1.53.746.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+11.3%
GoalsUnder 5.51.051.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+6.2%
GoalsUnder 0.513.4631.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+4.2%
GoalsUnder 6.51.021.04 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+2.1%
CornersOver 12.53.103.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+2.0%
CornersUnder 7.55.045.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+1.7%
CornersUnder 8.53.423.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+1.5%
CornersOver 11.02.332.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+1.3%
CornersUnder 6.57.378.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+1.1%
CornersOver 12.03.123.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+0.9%
CornersOver 11.52.372.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+0.5%
CornersUnder 10.52.052.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
CornersUnder 9.52.652.625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-0.4%
CornersUnder 7.07.667.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-1.2%
CornersOver 10.51.961.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 8.5672.5267.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
CornersOver 9.51.611.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
CornersOver 10.01.981.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-1.9%
CornersUnder 8.05.054.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-2.4%
CornersOver 8.51.411.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-2.6%
CornersUnder 11.51.731.65 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-2.8%
CornersOver 7.51.251.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-3.2%
CornersOver 9.01.611.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-3.2%
GoalsOver 7.5187.4826.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-3.3%
CornersUnder 12.51.481.40 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-3.7%
CornersUnder 9.03.553.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-4.1%
CornersOver 6.51.161.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-4.5%
CornersUnder 10.02.562.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-5.3%
CornersOver 8.01.401.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-5.6%
GoalsOver 6.558.2413.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-6.0%
CornersOver 7.01.251.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-6.0%
CornersUnder 11.02.051.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-6.7%
GoalsOver 5.520.397.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-8.4%
CornersUnder 12.01.741.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-9.3%
GoalsOver 1.51.361.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-14.2%
GoalsOver 4.58.163.6842 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-14.9%
GoalsOver 2.52.081.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-20.6%
GoalsOver 3.53.792.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-23 09:13 UTC
-21.2%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.