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Match board · Ligue 1 · 2026-10-24

Toulouse v Estac Troyes

Toulouse
57.8%
Draw
20.2%
Estac Troyes
22%
Headline value
—
xG 2.2 – 1.3Toulouse form WDWDLEstac Troyes form LLLLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 5 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Jacen Russell-Roweover 0.51.641.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-12.4%
Aron Donnumover 0.52.541.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-22.6%
Santiago Hidalgoover 0.51.591.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-22.9%
Abu Francisover 0.5100.501.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-68.2%
Santiago Hidalgoover 1.53.841.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-29.5%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultToulouse win1.731.70 William Hill · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
ResultDraw4.954.20 Betfred · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-3.6%
ResultEstac Troyes win4.55—no price—
GoalsOver 3.52.162.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+6.3%
GoalsOver 2.51.471.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+6.0%
GoalsOver 4.53.644.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+5.7%
GoalsOver 5.57.029.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+3.1%
GoalsOver 1.51.161.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+3.1%
GoalsOver 6.515.3221.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsOver 7.537.4041.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+0.2%
GoalsOver 0.51.031.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsOver 8.5101.2881.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsUnder 7.51.031.005 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.2%
GoalsUnder 0.533.1217.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.9%
GoalsUnder 6.51.071.025 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-4.1%
GoalsUnder 1.57.365.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-6.4%
GoalsUnder 5.51.171.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-7.6%
GoalsUnder 4.51.381.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-9.3%
GoalsUnder 2.53.122.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-10.0%
GoalsUnder 3.51.861.55 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-10.8%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (67)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Casper TengstedtAnytime scorer2.375 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Julien VignoloAnytime scorer2.375 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Santiago HidalgoAnytime scorer2.45 Unibet · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jacen Russell-RoweAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ilyas AziziAnytime scorer2.88 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Renaud RipartAnytime scorer3.20 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Sion OppongAnytime scorer3.20 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Aron DonnumAnytime scorer3.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ibrahim TraoreAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Timothee NkadaAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Abu FrancisAnytime scorer4.33 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Aymen AmaaouchAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jeremy Le DouaronAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mathis SakaAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Thomas JorgensenAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Amadou DiakiteAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Angel GomezAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Kandet DiawaraAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Niklas SchmidtAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rafik MessaliAnytime scorer5.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alexis VossahAnytime scorer5.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mathis AmougouAnytime scorer5.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Dermane KarimAnytime scorer5.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Hugo PicardAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Merwan IfnaouiAnytime scorer6.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
David OdoguAnytime scorer6.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Cristian Casseres JrAnytime scorer6.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ismail DialloAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Niko SigurAnytime scorer7.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Yacouba KoneAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Christ TapeAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Iron GomisAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Anis OuzenadjiAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Antoine MilleAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Christ BatolaAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mouhamed DiopAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rasmus NicolaisenAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Seny KoumbassaAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Noah DonkorAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Roman MurcyAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alexandre PhiliponeauAnytime scorer10.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mark McKenzieAnytime scorer10.50 Unibet · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Enisio CarneiroAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Idrissa SoukounaAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ismael BouraAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Yvann TitiAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Adrien MonfrayAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Junior DiazAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lassana SimakhaAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lucas MaronnierAnytime scorer13.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Paolo GozziAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Tom AkpakounAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Aron DonnumAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Cristian Casseres JrAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ilyas AziziAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Niklas SchmidtAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Santiago HidalgoAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Thomas JorgensenAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ismail DialloAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Julien VignoloAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Sion OppongAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jacen Russell-RoweAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mathis SakaAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alexis VossahAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Angel GomezAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Casper TengstedtAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mathis AmougouAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC