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Match board · Ligue 1 · 2026-10-25

Marseille v Le Havre

Marseille
44.9%
Draw
22.8%
Le Havre
32.3%
Headline value
—
xG 1.8 – 1.5Marseille form WWLLLLe Havre form LLLDL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Ally Samattaover 0.51.301.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
+13.4%
Josh Majaover 0.51.771.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-3.6%
Amine Haritover 0.52.121.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-14.6%
Amine Gouiriover 0.51.561.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-19.0%
Igor Paixaoover 0.51.731.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-22.3%
Timothy Weahover 0.53.471.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-25.7%
Faris Moumbagnaover 0.52.401.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-31.6%
Neal Maupayover 0.52.241.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-32.4%
Angel Gomesover 0.52.711.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-34.6%
Himad Abdelliover 0.53.391.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-45.5%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultMarseille win2.231.61 Betfair · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-17.2%
ResultDraw4.394.63 Betfair · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
+1.2%
ResultLe Havre win3.095.50 Betfred · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
+14.1%
GoalsOver 2.51.561.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
+2.1%
GoalsOver 3.52.382.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
+2.0%
GoalsOver 4.54.214.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
+1.5%
CornersOver 7.51.291.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
+0.9%
GoalsOver 1.51.191.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
+0.8%
GoalsOver 5.58.549.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsOver 0.51.041.04 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
+0.2%
GoalsOver 7.550.5641.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-0.5%
GoalsOver 8.5144.6881.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-0.5%
CornersUnder 12.51.191.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-0.6%
CornersOver 8.51.541.5238 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsOver 6.519.6217.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-0.8%
CornersOver 9.51.911.875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsUnder 7.51.021.0067 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsUnder 0.527.1117.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-2.2%
CornersUnder 11.51.381.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsUnder 6.51.051.025 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-2.7%
CornersUnder 10.51.641.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-2.8%
CornersOver 10.52.562.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-3.0%
CornersOver 11.53.633.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-3.2%
GoalsUnder 5.51.131.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-4.0%
GoalsUnder 1.56.315.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-4.1%
CornersUnder 9.52.101.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-4.8%
CornersUnder 8.52.852.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-4.9%
GoalsUnder 4.51.311.2308 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-5.0%
CornersUnder 7.54.503.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-5.6%
GoalsUnder 2.52.782.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-6.2%
CornersOver 12.56.254.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-6.2%
GoalsUnder 3.51.721.55 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
-6.5%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (62)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Amine GouiriAnytime scorer2.20 bet365 · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Neal MaupayAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Faris MoumbagnaAnytime scorer2.625 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Igor PaixaoAnytime scorer3.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Angel GomesAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Keyliane AbdallahAnytime scorer3.25 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Joan TincresAnytime scorer3.40 Unibet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Himad AbdelliAnytime scorer3.75 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Josh MajaAnytime scorer4.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Tadjidine MmadiAnytime scorer4.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Andy LogboAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Mbwana SamattaAnytime scorer4.3333 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Rayan FofanaAnytime scorer4.3333 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Amine HaritAnytime scorer4.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Mokrane BentoumiAnytime scorer5.50 Unibet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Kaito MizutaAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Rassoul NdiayeAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Sota NakamuraAnytime scorer6.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Timothy WeahAnytime scorer6.50 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Derek CorneliusAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Hakim DongopandjiAnytime scorer7.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Ismail BounebAnytime scorer7.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Nouhoum KamissokoAnytime scorer7.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Amir RichardsonAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Pierre HojbjergAnytime scorer10.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Tochukwu NnadiAnytime scorer10.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Enzo KoffiAnytime scorer11.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Guy ZohouriAnytime scorer11.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Geoffrey KondogbiaAnytime scorer12.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Kelyann BezahafAnytime scorer13.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Nayef AguerdAnytime scorer13.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Stephan ZagadouAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Ulisses GarciaAnytime scorer13.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Vincent SassoAnytime scorer13.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Djibril OuziadAnytime scorer15.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Simon EbonogAnytime scorer15.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Bamo MeiteAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Daren MosengoAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
EmersonAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Junior MwangaAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Timothee PembeleAnytime scorer18.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Alexi KoumAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
CJ Egan-RileyAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Ayumu SekoAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Elias JelertAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Ahmed ToubaAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Mohamed Lamine NDiayeAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Igor PaixaoAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Keyliane AbdallahAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Amine GouiriAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Emerson PalmieriAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Amine HaritAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Neal MaupayAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Faris MoumbagnaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Himad AbdelliAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Kelyann BezahafAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Tadjidine MmadiAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Ulisses GarciaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Timothy WeahAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Angel GomesAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Nouhoum KamissokoAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC
Pierre HojbjergAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-19 12:43 UTC